La Liga - Regular Season - 14
Sunday 30 November 202517:30
1/4

Score & Verdict

Celta Vigo
0
-
Espanyol
1

Expected Goals (xG)

0.63
Celta Vigo
vs
0.38
Espanyol

FutMetrix Score

49
average
-4
vs Pre
Slide 1 of 4
49
FULL TIME
Sun 30 Nov
Celta Vigo
0-1
Espanyol
Intensity
39
⚖️ Balance
20
🏆 Stakes
33
🎲 Upset
63
-4 vs pre-game
García's late strike stuns Celta in Vigo

García's 86th-Minute Ambush: Espanyol Steals Victory in Vigo With Late Intensity Surge

Average Futmetrix Score: 49/100. Espanyol captured a victory of critical Stakes on hostile ground, weaponizing VAR chaos and substitute firepower to keep their European assault alive.

VAR Drama and Late Punishment

Celta Vigo dominated possession (61%) and created clear-cut chances, but the football gods demanded precision. In the 26th minute, Borja Iglesias watched a penalty evaporate under VAR review—a twist that fractured Celta's momentum. The hosts fired 11 shots with relentless pressure, yet accuracy abandoned them. Meanwhile, Espanyol lurked with surgical intent: just 39% possession but lethal purpose.

The Substitute's Blade

Kike García's introduction at minute 60 rewired the match's geometry. The visiting striker—rated 7.9—struck with predatory timing. In the 86th minute, when Celta thought victory was sealed, Exposito, another Balance-shifting substitute, delivered the perfect assist. García didn't hesitate. His finish was pure Intensity: the dagger that shattered Celta's resistance and delivered an Upset Factor of seismic proportions. With a 22% probability gap, this was a victory no model predicted.

Season Stakes

Espanyol (6th, 24 points) consolidates their European battle position, while Celta (12th, 16 points) leaves empty-handed despite relentless attacking Intensity. Fernando Calero's defensive masterclass (7.5 rating) held firm under constant siege. This is the kind of victory that defines seasons: stolen, late, and forged in character.

Key Questions

How did VAR change this match?

VAR cancelled Celta's penalty in the 26th minute. Borja Iglesias lost a golden opportunity that could have rewritten the entire narrative.

How dramatic was the late winner by Kike García?

Extremely. In the 86th minute, when Celta breathed victory, García converted Exposito's assist to steal three points in enemy territory.

How did substitute Kike García change the game?

Entered at minute 60 and proved lethal. His 86th-minute goal was the turning point: Espanyol shifted from survival to tactical dominance.

Why is this match rated 49/100?

Our Futmetrix algorithm analyzed intensity, balance, and stakes. The final score of 49/100 places this match in the "Average" category.

Match Statistics

Possession
On Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Passes
Pass Accuracy
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards

Match Events

26'
Borja Iglesias
HT
🔄60'
R. Terrats
↑ K. Garcia
70'🔄
J. Rueda
↑ I. Moriba
70'🔄
I. Aspas
↑ J. El Abdellaoui
🟨72'
Urko González
🔄76'
R. Fernandez Jaen
↑ Exposito
🔄76'
P. Milla
↑ Jofre
🔄76'
F. Calero
↑ C. Riedel
79'🔄
F. Beltran
↑ P. Duran
79'🔄
B. Iglesias
↑ W. Swedberg
86'
K. Garcia
Assist: Exposito
87'🔄
M. Roman
↑ F. Jutgla
🔄90'
T. Dolan
↑ J. Salinas
90'+5🟨
Ferran Jutglà
🟨90'+5
Carlos Romero
FT

Player Match Cards

Celta Vigo

3-4-3
GK
I. Radu
Sunday Leaguer
Sunday Leaguer
5.9
Rating
5.9
Rating
0
Duels
17
Poss L
DEF
J. Rodriguez
Sweeper
Sweeper
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanu
3
Interc
0
Blocks
C. Starfelt
Magnet
Magnet
96
Activity
96
Activi
87
Passes
9
Duels
M. Alonso
Magnet
Magnet
120
Activity
120
Activi
115
Passes
5
Duels
MID
J. Rueda
NPC
NPC
70
Minutes
70
Minute
16%
Pass A
6.2
Rating
F. Beltran
NPC
NPC
79
Minutes
79
Minute
41%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
M. Roman
NPC
NPC
87
Minutes
87
Minute
32%
Pass A
6.7
Rating
S. Carreira
Magnet
Magnet
90
Activity
90
Activi
75
Passes
15
Duels
ATK
I. Aspas
NPC
NPC
70
Minutes
70
Minute
19%
Pass A
6.2
Rating
B. Iglesias
Sweeper
Sweeper
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
0
Interc
1
Blocks
B. Zaragoza
Sweeper
Sweeper
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
1
Interc
0
Blocks
Bench
I. Villar
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
O. Mingueza
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
J. Aidoo
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
M. Ristic
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
C. Dominguez
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
I. Moriba
👻InvisibleNothing to note
70'
W. Swedberg
Cameo
Cameo
11
Minutes
11
Minute
5
Touche
None
Events
79'
H. Sotelo
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
H. Alvarez
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
F. Jutgla
👻InvisibleNothing to note
87'
P. Duran
Cameo
Cameo
11
Minutes
11
Minute
6
Touche
None
Events
79'
J. El Abdellaoui
Sweeper
Sweeper
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
1
Interc
0
Blocks
70'

Espanyol

4-4-2
GK
M. Dmitrovic
👻InvisibleNothing to note
DEF
O. El Hilali
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
40%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
F. Calero
Sweeper
Sweeper
6
Cleanups
6
Cleanu
3
Interc
3
Blocks
L. Cabrera
Sweeper
Sweeper
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanu
2
Interc
1
Blocks
C. Romero
👻InvisibleNothing to note
MID
T. Dolan
Provocateur
Provocateur
4
Fouls Won
4
Fouls
7
Duels
0
Pens W
P. Lozano
NPC
NPC
90
Minutes
90
Minute
37%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
U. Gonzalez
Sweeper
Sweeper
2
Cleanups
2
Cleanu
2
Interc
0
Blocks
R. Terrats
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
2
Tackle
83%
Duel W
ATK
P. Milla
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
1
Tackle
67%
Duel W
R. Fernandez Jaen
Sweeper
Sweeper
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
0
Interc
1
Blocks
Bench
A. Fortuno
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
R. Sanchez
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
J. Salinas
Cameo
Cameo
1
Minutes
1
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
90'
M. Rubio
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
C. Riedel
Cameo
Cameo
14
Minutes
14
Minute
4
Touche
None
Events
76'
Exposito
Super Sub
Super Sub
0
Impact
0
Impact
14
Minute
6.9
Rating
76'
C. Pickel
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
J. Hernandez
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
L. Koleosho
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Jofre
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
1
Tackle
80%
Duel W
76'
K. Garcia
Clutch Hero
Clutch Hero
0
Goal Time
0
Goal T
0
Impact
7.9
Rating
60'
A. Roca
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events

Head to Head Record

12/04/2025
La Liga
Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
30/11/2024
La Liga
RCDE Stadium
18/03/2023
La Liga
RCDE Stadium
03/01/2023
Copa del Rey
RCDE Stadium
13/08/2022
La Liga
Abanca-Balaídos
10/04/2022
La Liga
RCDE Stadium
17/12/2021
La Liga
Abanca-Balaídos
19/07/2020
La Liga
RCDE Stadium
26/09/2019
La Liga
Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo Win
Espanyol Win
Draw

After Matchweek 14

P
14
GF
39
GA
16
GD
+23
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
P
14
GF
29
GA
13
GD
+16
D
Draw
D
Draw
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
P
14
GF
29
GA
13
GD
+16
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
P
14
GF
27
GA
11
GD
+16
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
P
14
GF
22
GA
14
GD
+8
W
Win
D
Draw
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
P
14
GF
18
GA
16
GD
+2
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
P
14
GF
13
GA
15
GD
-2
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
P
14
GF
14
GA
17
GD
-3
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
14
GF
13
GA
15
GD
-2
D
Draw
D
Draw
D
Draw
L
Loss
W
Win
P
14
GF
19
GA
21
GD
-2
L
Loss
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
11Elche16
P
14
GF
15
GA
17
GD
-2
L
Loss
D
Draw
D
Draw
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
14
GF
16
GA
19
GD
-3
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
P
14
GF
19
GA
23
GD
-4
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
14Alaves15
P
14
GF
12
GA
15
GD
-3
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
P
14
GF
13
GA
22
GD
-9
D
Draw
W
Win
D
Draw
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
14
GF
15
GA
22
GD
-7
D
Draw
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
D
Draw
P
14
GF
12
GA
18
GD
-6
D
Draw
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
18Girona12
P
14
GF
13
GA
26
GD
-13
D
Draw
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
D
Draw
P
14
GF
16
GA
26
GD
-10
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
P
14
GF
7
GA
22
GD
-15
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
D
Draw
D
Draw
Home Team
Away Team
Celta Vigo 0-1 Espanyol (49/100) - Match Report | Futmetrix