Premier League - Regular Season - 14
Wednesday 3 December 202519:30
1/4

Score & Verdict

Wolves
0
-
Nottingham Forest
1

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72
Wolves
vs
0.78
Nottingham Forest

FutMetrix Score

25
skip
-49
vs Pre
Slide 1 of 4
25
FULL TIME
Wed 3 Dec
Wolves
0-1
Nottingham Forest
Intensity
20
⚖️ Balance
20
🏆 Stakes
6
🎲 Upset
0
-49 vs pre-game
Jesus ends Wolves' misery from the spot

Jesus Ends Wolves' Agony in Relegation Six-Pointer

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 25/100. A suffocating clash where one clinical moment separated two drowning teams, but neither deserved celebration.

When One Chance Decides Everything

Molineux held its breath for 71 minutes. Wolves, winless in five and bleeding points like a championship contender in reverse, pressed without penetration. Nottingham Forest, themselves mired in mid-table mediocrity, absorbed and waited. The Stakes were suffocating—a six-pointer in a relegation dogfight where Wolves sit 20th on two points and Forest cling to 16th on 15. One team would leave Wolverhampton with oxygen. The other would suffocate further.

Then came the moment. Igor Jesus, who had already seen a goal disallowed for offside in the 38th minute via VAR, finally broke through in the 72nd. O. Hutchinson's assist—clinical, precise—found Jesus in space, and the finish was ruthless. 1-0. The Intensity never spiked. No late heroics. No drama. Just execution from the away side.

This was a match defined by what didn't happen. Twelve corners for Wolves generated nothing. A barrage of set-piece pressure—corner after corner—yielded only frustration. Forest's defensive discipline, built on a foundation of two yellow cards and 11 fouls, held firm. The Balance shifted once, decisively, and never returned. Wolves mustered five shots total; only one found the target. Forest's efficiency—10 shots, three on target—proved the difference.

The VAR incident in the 38th minute haunted Wolves. Jesus was marginally offside when he finished, and the technology confirmed it. But it also confirmed what Wolves already knew: they were one moment away from catastrophe all along. When that moment came in the 72nd, they couldn't recover.

Possession was nearly split (49-51), passing accuracy identical (80% for both), but the gulf in clinical finishing was a chasm. Wolves' 0.72 expected goals versus Forest's 0.78 tells the story of a match where margins were razor-thin, but execution was not. Forest took their chance. Wolves didn't.

Key Questions

What does this mean for Wolves's season?

Catastrophic. Wolves remain on two points with five consecutive losses. Relegation is no longer a threat—it's a trajectory. This six-pointer loss is a dagger.

Why is this match rated 40/100?

Minimal Intensity (3.7/10): one goal, no late drama, four yellow cards. High Stakes (10/10) saved it from oblivion. Dull execution, vital consequences.

Why is this match rated 25/100?

Our Futmetrix algorithm analyzed intensity, balance, and stakes. The final score of 25/100 places this match in the "Skip It" category.

Match Statistics

Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Passes
Pass Accuracy
Yellow Cards

Match Events

🟨19'
N. Milenkovic
38'
Igor Jesus
HT
52'🟨
Joao Gomes
🟨61'
E. Anderson
67'🟨
Y. Mosquera
67'🔄
J. Bellegarde
↑ Hwang Hee-Chan
🔄67'
I. Sangare
↑ R. Yates
🔄67'
D. Ndoye
↑ C. Hudson-Odoi
72'
Igor Jesus
Assist: O. Hutchinson
81'🔄
J. Tchatchoua
↑ K. Hoever
81'🔄
J. Arias
↑ T. Arokodare
81'🔄
Y. Mosquera
↑ M. Mane
85'🔄
Joao Gomes
↑ M. Munetsi
🔄90'+3
M. Gibbs-White
↑ N. Dominguez
FT

Player Match Cards

Wolves

3-4-3
GK
Sam Johnstone
NPC
NPC
95
Minutes
95
Minute
22%
Pass A
6.5
Rating
DEF
Yerson Mosquera
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
4
Tackle
50%
Duel W
Emmanuel Agbadou
NPC
NPC
95
Minutes
95
Minute
49%
Pass A
6.3
Rating
Toti Gomes
Provocateur
Provocateur
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls
4
Duels
0
Pens W
MID
Jackson Tchatchoua
👻InvisibleNothing to note
André
NPC
NPC
95
Minutes
95
Minute
37%
Pass A
6.6
Rating
João Gomes
NPC
NPC
85
Minutes
85
Minute
31%
Pass A
6.5
Rating
David Möller Wolfe
Janitor
Janitor
2
Cleanups
2
Cleanu
2
Interc
0
Blocks
ATK
Jhon Arias
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
2
Tackle
54%
Duel W
Jørgen Strand Larsen
NPC
NPC
95
Minutes
95
Minute
8%
Pass A
6.2
Rating
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
Wall
Wall
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
2
Tackle
44%
Duel W
Bench
José Sá
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
Matt Doherty
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Santiago Bueno
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Ki-Jana Hoever
Cameo
Cameo
14
Minutes
14
Minute
10
Touche
None
Events
81'
Marshall Munetsi
Cameo
Cameo
10
Minutes
10
Minute
7
Touche
None
Events
85'
Hee-Chan Hwang
Janitor
Janitor
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
1
Interc
0
Blocks
67'
Tawanda Chirewa
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Tolu Arokodare
Cameo
Cameo
14
Minutes
14
Minute
6
Touche
None
Events
81'
Mateus Mané
Cameo
Cameo
14
Minutes
14
Minute
2
Touche
None
Events
81'

Nottingham Forest

4-2-3-1
GK
Matz Sels
👻InvisibleNothing to note
DEF
Nicolò Savona
NPC
NPC
95
Minutes
95
Minute
33%
Pass A
6.6
Rating
Nikola Milenković
👻InvisibleNothing to note
Morato
NPC
NPC
95
Minutes
95
Minute
35%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
Neco Williams
Provocateur
Provocateur
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls
4
Duels
0
Pens W
MID
Ibrahim Sangaré
Janitor
Janitor
2
Cleanups
2
Cleanu
1
Interc
1
Blocks
Elliot Anderson
Magnet
Magnet
81
Activity
81
Activi
68
Passes
13
Duels
Omari Hutchinson
Architect
Architect
3
Key Passes
3
Key Pa
1
Assist
18%
Pass A
Morgan Gibbs-White
Architect
Architect
4
Key Passes
4
Key Pa
0
Assist
26%
Pass A
Dan Ndoye
NPC
NPC
67
Minutes
67
Minute
13%
Pass A
6.2
Rating
ATK
Igor Jesus
Sniper
Sniper
50%
Conversion
50%
Conver
1
Goals
2
Shots
Bench
John Victor
Spectator
Spectator
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
Jair
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Willy Boly
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Zach Abbott
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Ryan Yates
👻InvisibleNothing to note
67'
Nicolás Domínguez
Cameo
Cameo
2
Minutes
2
Minute
3
Touche
None
Events
90'
James McAtee
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Callum Hudson-Odoi
👻InvisibleNothing to note
67'
Arnaud Kalimuendo
Cameo
Cameo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events

Head to Head Record

06/01/2025
Premier League
Molineux Stadium
31/08/2024
Premier League
The City Ground
13/04/2024
Premier League
The City Ground
09/12/2023
Premier League
Molineux Stadium
01/04/2023
Premier League
The City Ground
11/01/2023
League Cup
The City Ground
15/10/2022
Premier League
Molineux Stadium
24/08/2021
League Cup
The City Ground
20/01/2018
Championship
Molineux Stadium
16/09/2017
Championship
City Ground
Wolves Win
Nottingham Forest Win
Draw

After Matchweek 14

P
14
GF
27
GA
7
GD
+20
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
P
14
GF
32
GA
16
GD
+16
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
P
14
GF
20
GA
14
GD
+6
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
P
14
GF
25
GA
15
GD
+10
L
Loss
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
W
Win
P
14
GF
18
GA
11
GD
+7
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
P
14
GF
18
GA
14
GD
+4
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
D
Draw
D
Draw
P
14
GF
24
GA
20
GD
+4
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
D
Draw
W
Win
P
14
GF
22
GA
21
GD
+1
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
D
Draw
D
Draw
P
14
GF
21
GA
21
GD
0
D
Draw
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
W
Win
P
14
GF
15
GA
17
GD
-2
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
D
Draw
P
14
GF
23
GA
18
GD
+5
D
Draw
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
P
14
GF
19
GA
18
GD
+1
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
14
GF
21
GA
22
GD
-1
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
L
Loss
P
14
GF
21
GA
24
GD
-3
L
Loss
L
Loss
D
Draw
L
Loss
L
Loss
15Fulham17
P
14
GF
19
GA
22
GD
-3
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
P
14
GF
14
GA
22
GD
-8
W
Win
L
Loss
W
Win
W
Win
D
Draw
17Leeds14
P
14
GF
16
GA
26
GD
-10
W
Win
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
14
GF
16
GA
28
GD
-12
D
Draw
L
Loss
D
Draw
W
Win
W
Win
P
14
GF
15
GA
28
GD
-13
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
P
14
GF
7
GA
29
GD
-22
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
L
Loss
Home Team
Away Team