Premier League - Regular Season - 8
Saturday 18 October 202514:00
1/4

Score & Verdict

Brighton
2
-
Newcastle
1

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91
Brighton
vs
1.45
Newcastle

FutMetrix Score

49
average
+33
vs Pre
Slide 1 of 4
49
FINAL
Sat 18 Oct
Brighton
2-1
Newcastle
Intensité
44
⚖️ Équilibre
56
🏆 Enjeu
0
🎲 Surprise
0
+33 vs avant-match
Welbeck's Late Strike Edges Newcastle Chaos

Welbeck's 84th-Minute Dagger Silences Newcastle's Set-Piece Siege

Moyen Score Futmetrix: 49/100. Three goals and relentless shot volume masked a match devoid of tactical coherence or genuine drama.

When Chaos Masquerades as Competition

Danny Welbeck arrived at the Amex as a predator sensing blood. By the 41st minute, he'd drawn first—a finish from Brighton's build-up play, assisted by Rutter. The Intensity felt manufactured: Newcastle arrived with possession (54%) but no precision. A barrage of 16 shots yielded just three on target. This wasn't pressure; it was noise.

The Balance tilted violently. Newcastle equalized at 76 through Woltemade, courtesy of substitute L. Miley's assist off the bench—a moment of genuine craft in an otherwise blunt affair. Three lead changes in 90 minutes suggested drama, but the lead changes felt inevitable rather than earned. Brighton's 46% possession masked their clinical finishing; Newcastle's dominance in the midfield translated to wasted ammunition.

Then came the 84th minute. Welbeck, unassisted, struck again. Game over. Not a climax—merely the inevitable conclusion to a match that had spent 84 minutes searching for meaning.

The Shooting Gallery That Wasn't

Twenty-nine combined shots. Eight on target. This is where Intensity becomes a statistical mirage. Brighton's 5 shots on target from 13 attempts (38% accuracy) suggested ruthlessness; Newcastle's 3 from 16 (19%) screamed desperation. The corner count (12 total, 8 for Brighton) added set-piece pressure, but Jan Paul van Hecke's defensive mastery neutralized most threats. One yellow card. No red cards. No VAR interventions. The match lacked teeth.

Newcastle's xG of 1.45 versus their single goal underscored the problem: they created half-chances in abundance but lacked the finishing touch. Brighton's 0.91 xG with two goals? Efficiency born from Welbeck's clinical nature, not systematic superiority.

The Stakes Whisper, They Don't Roar

Brighton sit 10th with 12 points. Newcastle languish 14th with 9. Neither team faces existential pressure; neither needed this win desperately enough to abandon caution. The Stakes remained muted—a match between mid-table clubs playing out mid-table football. Possession without penetration. Shots without consequence. Possession percentage (Newcastle 54%, Brighton 46%) became the match's defining paradox: dominance that didn't dominate.

Welbeck's brace (8.6 rating) was the sole bright spot—a forward making the most of limited service. But one man's excellence cannot salvage a match built on volume rather than vision.

Key Questions

What made Danny Welbeck the Man of the Match?

Two clinical finishes (41', 84') and three key passes. Welbeck converted half-chances into goals—the only player to impose individual will on a chaotic match.

How did substitute L. Miley impact Newcastle's equalizer?

Introduced at 46', Miley provided the assist for Woltemade's 76th-minute leveler. A rare moment of creative clarity in Newcastle's otherwise wasteful performance.

Why is this match rated 41/100?

Three lead changes and 29 shots created illusion of drama. Reality: low tactical coherence, poor finishing, and Stakes too muted to sustain tension. Volume without substance.

Pourquoi ce match est noté 49/100 ?

Notre algorithme Futmetrix a analysé l'intensité, l'équilibre et l'enjeu. Le score de 49/100 place ce match dans la catégorie "Moyen".

Statistiques du Match

Possession
Tirs
xG
Passes Totales
Précision
Fautes
Cartons Jaunes
Cartons Rouges

Événements du Match

36'🔄
D. Gomez
↑ M. De Cuyper
41'
D. Welbeck
Passe Décisive: G. Rutter
HT
🔄46'
Joelinton
↑ L. Miley
🔄46'
A. Elanga
↑ J. Murphy
🔄70'
A. Gordon
↑ H. Barnes
🔄70'
S. Tonali
↑ J. Ramsey
71'🔄
G. Rutter
↑ S. Tzimas
71'🔄
C. Baleba
↑ J. Milner
76'
N. Woltemade
Passe Décisive: L. Miley
84'
D. Welbeck
🔄86'
Bruno Guimaraes
↑ W. Osula
89'🔄
Y. Minteh
↑ D. Coppola
90'🔄
D. Welbeck
↑ C. Kostoulas
🟨90'+7
Dan Burn
FT

Cartes Joueurs

Brighton

4-2-3-1
GK
B. Verbruggen
Provocateur
Provocateur
1
Fouls Won
1
Fouls
1
Duels
0
Pens W
DEF
M. Wieffer
Figurant
Figurant
90
Minutes
90
Minute
27%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
J. P. van Hecke
Mur
Mur
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
3
Tackle
89%
Duel W
L. Dunk
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
F. Kadioglu
Provocateur
Provocateur
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls
5
Duels
0
Pens W
MID
C. Baleba
Figurant
Figurant
71
Minutes
71
Minute
32%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
Y. Ayari
Architecte
Architecte
3
Key Passes
3
Key Pa
0
Assist
50%
Pass A
Y. Minteh
Mur
Mur
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
5
Tackle
69%
Duel W
G. Rutter
Passeur
Passeur
1
Assists
1
Assist
2
Key Pa
7.3
Rating
D. Gomez
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
ATK
D. Welbeck
Hat-Trick
Hat-Trick
2
Goals
2
Buts
2
On Tar
8.6
Rating
Bench
J. Steele
Spectateur
Spectateur
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
O. Boscagli
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
M. De Cuyper
Tireur Fou
Tireur Fou
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Buts
1
On Tar
36'
D. Coppola
Caméo
Caméo
8
Minutes
8
Minute
2
Touche
None
Events
89'
J. Milner
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
71'
S. Tzimas
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
71'
T. Watson
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
C. Kostoulas
Caméo
Caméo
8
Minutes
8
Minute
2
Touche
None
Events
90'
N. Oriola
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events

Newcastle

4-3-3
GK
N. Pope
Figurant
Figurant
90
Minutes
90
Minute
11%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
DEF
K. Trippier
Figurant
Figurant
90
Minutes
90
Minute
49%
Pass A
6.7
Rating
M. Thiaw
Tireur Fou
Tireur Fou
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Buts
0
On Tar
S. Botman
Tireur Fou
Tireur Fou
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Buts
0
On Tar
D. Burn
Janitor
Janitor
5
Cleanups
5
Cleanu
3
Interc
2
Blocks
MID
Bruno Guimaraes
Provocateur
Provocateur
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls
5
Duels
0
Pens W
S. Tonali
Janitor
Janitor
2
Cleanups
2
Cleanu
2
Interc
0
Blocks
Joelinton
Janitor
Janitor
2
Cleanups
2
Cleanu
2
Interc
0
Blocks
ATK
A. Elanga
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
N. Woltemade
Hat-Trick
Hat-Trick
1
Goals
1
Buts
1
On Tar
7.3
Rating
A. Gordon
Architecte
Architecte
2
Key Passes
2
Key Pa
0
Assist
21%
Pass A
Bench
A. Ramsdale
Spectateur
Spectateur
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
F. Schar
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
E. Krafth
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
H. Barnes
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
70'
J. Willock
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
J. Ramsey
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
70'
L. Miley
Joker
Joker
0
Impact
0
Impact
45
Minute
7
Rating
46'
J. Murphy
Tireur Fou
Tireur Fou
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Buts
0
On Tar
46'
W. Osula
Caméo
Caméo
12
Minutes
12
Minute
1
Touche
None
Events
86'

Face-à-Face

04/05/2025
Premier League
American Express Stadium
02/03/2025
FA Cup
St. James' Park
19/10/2024
Premier League
St. James' Park
11/05/2024
Premier League
St. James' Park
02/09/2023
Premier League
The American Express Community Stadium
28/07/2023
Premier League - Summer Series
Red Bull Arena
18/05/2023
Premier League
St. James' Park
13/08/2022
Premier League
The American Express Community Stadium
05/03/2022
Premier League
St. James' Park
Victoire Brighton
Victoire Newcastle
Nul

Après J8

MJ
8
BP
15
BC
3
Diff.
+12
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
D
Nul
W
Victoire
MJ
8
BP
17
BC
6
Diff.
+11
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
D
Nul
W
Victoire
MJ
8
BP
14
BC
11
Diff.
+3
D
Nul
W
Victoire
D
Nul
D
Nul
W
Victoire
MJ
8
BP
14
BC
11
Diff.
+3
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
MJ
8
BP
16
BC
9
Diff.
+7
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
D
Nul
MJ
8
BP
14
BC
7
Diff.
+7
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
D
Nul
D
Nul
W
Victoire
MJ
8
BP
9
BC
6
Diff.
+3
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
D
Nul
D
Nul
MJ
8
BP
12
BC
8
Diff.
+4
D
Nul
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
D
Nul
MJ
8
BP
11
BC
12
Diff.
-1
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
MJ
8
BP
12
BC
11
Diff.
+1
W
Victoire
D
Nul
W
Victoire
D
Nul
L
Défaite
MJ
8
BP
8
BC
8
Diff.
0
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
D
Nul
D
Nul
MJ
8
BP
9
BC
9
Diff.
0
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
D
Nul
L
Défaite
D
Nul
MJ
8
BP
11
BC
12
Diff.
-1
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
D
Nul
MJ
8
BP
7
BC
7
Diff.
0
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
D
Nul
W
Victoire
MJ
8
BP
8
BC
12
Diff.
-4
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
MJ
8
BP
7
BC
13
Diff.
-6
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
D
Nul
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
MJ
8
BP
9
BC
15
Diff.
-6
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
D
Nul
L
Défaite
MJ
8
BP
5
BC
15
Diff.
-10
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
D
Nul
L
Défaite
MJ
8
BP
6
BC
18
Diff.
-12
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
D
Nul
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
MJ
8
BP
5
BC
16
Diff.
-11
L
Défaite
D
Nul
D
Nul
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
Domicile
Extérieur