Premier League - Regular Season - 12
Saturday 22 November 202515:00
1/4

Score & Verdict

Liverpool
0
-
Nottingham Forest
3

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02
Liverpool
vs
1.32
Nottingham Forest

FutMetrix Score

36
skip
-2
vs Pre
Slide 1 of 4
36
FINAL
Sat 22 Nov
Liverpool
0-3
Nottingham Forest
Intensité
28
⚖️ Équilibre
8
🏆 Enjeu
0
🎲 Surprise
100
-2 vs avant-match
Forest's Clinical Counter Dismantles Liverpool

Murillo's Masterclass Exposes Liverpool's Toothless Dominance

À Éviter Score Futmetrix: 36/100. A tactical demolition wrapped in statistical irony—75% possession yields zero goals, while Forest's surgical efficiency delivers three.

When Possession Becomes a Liability

Liverpool controlled the tempo from kickoff, threading 617 passes through a suffocating midfield press. Yet here's the rub: Nottingham Forest turned the Reds' dominance into a liability. The Balance tilted decisively when Murillo struck in the 33rd minute—a statement goal that exposed Liverpool's defensive fragility. By halftime, Nicolò Savona had doubled the lead off Neco Williams' assist, and the Stakes had shifted seismically.

The Upset wasn't just about the scoreline. Forest absorbed 21 Liverpool shots—more than half from inside the box—yet their goalkeeper made only three saves. Liverpool's 2.02 xG evaporated into the Anfield night. Meanwhile, Forest's seven shots on target converted at a 43% rate. This wasn't luck; it was clinical ruthlessness against profligacy. The Intensity climbed with 14 corners and 36 combined shots, but only one side made their chances count.

By the 78th minute, Morgan Gibbs-White sealed the rout with Forest's third. Liverpool's form—LLWLL entering this fixture—suggested vulnerability, but few predicted this magnitude of collapse. Forest, sitting 16th with just 12 points, had executed a 53% probability upset, the kind that reshuffles mid-table narratives and haunts managers for months.

Murillo's 9.2 rating and Savona's 8.5 weren't inflated—both defenders orchestrated possession switches that turned Liverpool's 75% control into a trap. The Reds' 89% pass accuracy masked a deeper malaise: they couldn't translate territorial dominance into cutting chances. Forest's 72% pass accuracy and 25% possession told a different story—one of efficiency, timing, and cold finishing.

Key Questions

How did Nottingham Forest pull off this shock result?

Clinical finishing. Forest converted 3 of 7 shots on target (43%) while Liverpool wasted 21 attempts. Defensive shape and counter-pressing neutralized Liverpool's possession advantage entirely.

What made Murillo the Man of the Match?

Murillo (9.2 rating) scored and orchestrated possession switches. His defensive positioning suffocated Liverpool's box threats while initiating Forest's lethal transitions.

Why is this match rated 50/100?

High shot volume (36 total) and corner pressure (14) created Intensity, but lopsided Balance and predictable narrative arc limit watchability. Upset factor salvages the rating.

Pourquoi ce match est noté 36/100 ?

Notre algorithme Futmetrix a analysé l'intensité, l'équilibre et l'enjeu. Le score de 36/100 place ce match dans la catégorie "À Éviter".

Statistiques du Match

Événements du Match

33'
Murillo
HT
46'
N. Savona
Passe Décisive: N. Williams
55'🔄
I. Konate
↑ H. Ekitike
🔄61'
N. Dominguez
↑ O. Hutchinson
66'🟨
Ryan Gravenberch
68'🔄
A. Isak
↑ F. Chiesa
68'🔄
M. Kerkez
↑ A. Robertson
78'🔄
C. Jones
↑ R. Ngumoha
78'
M. Gibbs-White
🔄86'
D. Ndoye
↑ C. Hudson-Odoi
🔄86'
Igor Jesus
↑ R. Yates
87'🟨
Federico Chiesa
FT

Cartes Joueurs

Liverpool

4-3-3
GK
Alisson
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
DEF
Dominik Szoboszlai
Architecte
Architecte
5
Key Passes
5
Key Pa
0
Assist
90%
Pass A
Ibrahima Konaté
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
Virgil van Dijk
Aimant
Aimant
113
Activity
113
Activi
100
Passes
13
Duels
Miloš Kerkez
Architecte
Architecte
2
Key Passes
2
Key Pa
0
Assist
30%
Pass A
MID
Curtis Jones
Aimant
Aimant
78
Activity
78
Activi
64
Passes
14
Duels
Ryan Gravenberch
Janitor
Janitor
2
Cleanups
2
Cleanu
2
Interc
0
Blocks
Alexis Mac Allister
Figurant
Figurant
95
Minutes
95
Minute
44%
Pass A
6.3
Rating
ATK
Mohamed Salah
Architecte
Architecte
2
Key Passes
2
Key Pa
0
Assist
35%
Pass A
Alexander Isak
Figurant
Figurant
68
Minutes
68
Minute
6%
Pass A
6
Rating
Cody Gakpo
Mur
Mur
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbl
2
Tackle
50%
Duel W
Bench
Giorgi Mamardashvili
Spectateur
Spectateur
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
Andrew Robertson
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
68'
Joe Gomez
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Calvin Ramsay
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Wataru Endo
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Trey Nyoni
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Hugo Ekitiké
Janitor
Janitor
1
Cleanups
1
Cleanu
0
Interc
1
Blocks
55'
Federico Chiesa
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
68'
Rio Ngumoha
Dribbleur
Dribbleur
3
Dribbles
3
Dribbl
3
Attemp
100%
Succes
78'

Nottingham Forest

4-2-3-1
GK
Matz Sels
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
DEF
Nicolò Savona
Hat-Trick
Hat-Trick
1
Goals
1
Buts
1
On Tar
8.5
Rating
Nikola Milenković
Janitor
Janitor
5
Cleanups
5
Cleanu
1
Interc
4
Blocks
Murillo
Hat-Trick
Hat-Trick
1
Goals
1
Buts
2
On Tar
9.2
Rating
Neco Williams
Janitor
Janitor
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanu
3
Interc
0
Blocks
MID
Ibrahim Sangaré
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
Elliot Anderson
Architecte
Architecte
3
Key Passes
3
Key Pa
0
Assist
31%
Pass A
Dan Ndoye
Figurant
Figurant
86
Minutes
86
Minute
13%
Pass A
6.9
Rating
Morgan Gibbs-White
Hat-Trick
Hat-Trick
1
Goals
1
Buts
1
On Tar
7.2
Rating
Nicolás Domínguez
Figurant
Figurant
61
Minutes
61
Minute
8%
Pass A
6.5
Rating
ATK
Igor Jesus
Provocateur
Provocateur
4
Fouls Won
4
Fouls
9
Duels
0
Pens W
Bench
John Victor
Spectateur
Spectateur
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conced
0
Minute
Jair
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Willy Boly
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Morato
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Ryan Yates
Caméo
Caméo
9
Minutes
9
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
86'
James McAtee
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events
Omari Hutchinson
👻InvisibleRien à signaler
61'
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Caméo
Caméo
9
Minutes
9
Minute
3
Touche
None
Events
86'
Arnaud Kalimuendo
Caméo
Caméo
0
Minutes
0
Minute
0
Touche
None
Events

Face-à-Face

14/01/2025
Premier League
The City Ground
14/09/2024
Premier League
Anfield
02/03/2024
Premier League
The City Ground
29/10/2023
Premier League
Anfield
22/04/2023
Premier League
Anfield
22/10/2022
Premier League
The City Ground
20/03/2022
FA Cup
The City Ground
Victoire Liverpool
Victoire Nottingham Forest
Nul

Après J12

MJ
12
BP
24
BC
6
Diff.
+18
W
Victoire
D
Nul
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
MJ
12
BP
23
BC
11
Diff.
+12
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
MJ
12
BP
24
BC
10
Diff.
+14
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
MJ
12
BP
15
BC
11
Diff.
+4
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
MJ
12
BP
16
BC
9
Diff.
+7
W
Victoire
D
Nul
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
D
Nul
MJ
12
BP
19
BC
16
Diff.
+3
W
Victoire
D
Nul
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
MJ
12
BP
14
BC
11
Diff.
+3
L
Défaite
D
Nul
D
Nul
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
MJ
12
BP
19
BC
20
Diff.
-1
D
Nul
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
D
Nul
MJ
12
BP
20
BC
14
Diff.
+6
L
Défaite
D
Nul
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
MJ
12
BP
19
BC
19
Diff.
0
L
Défaite
D
Nul
D
Nul
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
MJ
12
BP
13
BC
13
Diff.
0
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
D
Nul
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
MJ
12
BP
18
BC
20
Diff.
-2
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
MJ
12
BP
18
BC
19
Diff.
-1
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
MJ
12
BP
13
BC
15
Diff.
-2
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
15Fulham14
MJ
12
BP
13
BC
16
Diff.
-3
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
MJ
12
BP
13
BC
20
Diff.
-7
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
D
Nul
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
MJ
12
BP
15
BC
25
Diff.
-10
D
Nul
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
18Leeds11
MJ
12
BP
11
BC
22
Diff.
-11
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
L
Défaite
MJ
12
BP
14
BC
24
Diff.
-10
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
W
Victoire
W
Victoire
MJ
12
BP
7
BC
27
Diff.
-20
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
L
Défaite
Domicile
Extérieur