Samsunspor vs NS Trabzonspor

Bragging Rights Ignite the Black Sea

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 76/100. This regional clash is about more than just three points; it is a battle for territorial supremacy between a Trabzonspor side chasing the summit and a Samsunspor team desperate to halt their rival's momentum.

The Setup

When Trabzonspor travels to the Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu on February 07, 2026, they do so with the weight of expectation. Sitting in 3rd place with 42 points, the visitors have established themselves as away specialists, boasting a 60% win rate on their travels. This clinical efficiency provides a sharp contrast to the Form of Samsunspor, who have struggled to turn their home ground into a fortress this season. Currently 7th in the table, the hosts have won just 30% of their home fixtures, a statistic that must improve if they are to upset the regional hierarchy. With the Stakes heightened by local pride, expect a frantic opening period where tactical Balance may briefly give way to raw intensity.

Key Battle

The technical heart of this derby lies in the duel between Ali Diabaté and Ernest Muçi. Diabaté has been the creative spark for the hosts, maintaining a high 7.5 average rating and acting as the primary transition point for Samsunspor’s attacks. However, he faces a Trabzonspor unit led by the clinical Ernest Muçi, whose recent output of three goals in five matches has made him the most dangerous individual on the pitch. If the home midfield cannot track Muçi’s movement between the lines, the defensive Balance will shatter quickly.

Our Prediction

While the atmosphere will be electric, the data suggests a breakthrough for the visitors. Trabzonspor possesses superior Stars and a deeper bench, allowing them to weather the inevitable early pressure from Samsunspor. We expect the visitors to exploit defensive gaps late in the second half through the pace of Oleksandr Zubkov. A hard-fought 1-2 victory for the away side feels the most likely outcome, cementing their place in the top three while leaving the hosts to rue missed opportunities in a high-intensity affair.