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Futmetrix Verdict
52
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Bournemouth
3-0
AC Milan
⚡ Intensity
75
⚖️ Balance
20
🏆 Stakes
3
🎲 Upset
0
Two penalties, one red card, total control
Futmetrix Verdict
26
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Sturm Graz
1-0
Marseille
⚡ Intensity
22
⚖️ Balance
31
🏆 Stakes
11
🎲 Upset
60
Diakité struck; Marseille never answered
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
H. Diarra 25'
HT
46' ↓ C. De Ketelaere ↑R. Lukaku
I. Sarr (M. Niakhate) 51'
56' ↓ K. De Bruyne ↑N. Raskin
56' ↓ J. Doku ↑D. Lukebakio
63' ↓ H. Vanaken ↑D. Moreira
64' B. Mechele
↓ P. Gueye ↑L. Camara 66'
L. Camara 67'
↓ H. Diarra ↑P. M. Sarr 73'
↓ I. Ndiaye ↑I. Mbaye 73'
78' ↓ M. De Cuyper ↑T. Meunier
86' R. Lukaku (T. Meunier)
89' Y. Tielemans (L. Trossard)
90' R. Garcia
↓ S. Mane ↑N. Jackson 93'
↓ I. Jakobs ↑M. Diouf 93'
↓ I. Gueye ↑B. Sapoko Ndiaye 96'
109' ↓ L. Trossard ↑A. Onana
120'+5 Y. Tielemans
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Belgium
Goalkeepers
Thibaut Courtois 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
131
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Timothy Castagne 
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
52%
Pass Acc
Brandon Mechele
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
121%
Pass Acc
Arthur Theate 
MAGNET
116
Activity
116
Activity
111
Passes
5
Duels
Maxim De Cuyper 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Midfielders
Youri Tielemans 
CLUTCH HERO
89
Goal Time
89
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
8.3
Rating
Hans Vanaken 
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
4
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Leandro Trossard
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
1
Assists
34%
Pass Acc
Kevin De Bruyne
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Jérémy Doku
PROVOCATEUR
4
Fouls Won
4
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Forwards
Charles De Ketelaere
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
BENCH
Mike Penders 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Senne Lammens
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Thomas Meunier 
SUPER SUB
1
Assist
1
Assist
53
Minutes
7
Rating
Koni De Winter
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Joaquin Seys
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nathan Ngoy
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nicolas Raskin
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
75
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Amadou Onana
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
22
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Axel Witsel
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Romelu Lukaku
CLUTCH HERO
86
Goal Time
86
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.7
Rating
Dodi Lukebakio
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
75
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Diego Moreira
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
68
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alexis Saelemaekers
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matias Fernandez-Pardo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Senegal
Goalkeepers
Mory Diaw
MAGNET
52
Activity
52
Activity
50
Passes
2
Duels
Defenders
Krépin Diatta 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
58%
Duel Win %
Pathé Ciss
MAGNET
88
Activity
88
Activity
85
Passes
3
Duels
Moussa Niakhaté
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
1
Assists
76%
Pass Acc
Ismail Jakobs 
NPC
93
Minutes
93
Minutes
25%
Pass Acc
6.2
Rating
Midfielders
Habib Diarra 
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Idrissa Gana Gueye
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Pape Gueye
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
66
Total Mins
66
Entry
Forwards
Iliman Ndiaye
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
73
Total Mins
73
Entry
Ismaïla Sarr
MAGNET
46
Activity
46
Activity
28
Passes
18
Duels
Sadio Mané
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
24%
Pass Acc
BENCH
Yehvann Diouf
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
El Hadji Malick Diouf
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
38
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kalidou Koulibaly
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Abdoulaye Seck
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Antoine Mendy
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mamadou Sarr
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lamine Camara 
FRIENDLY FIRE
Pen Given
Mistake
Pen Given
Mistake
2
Fouls
5.6
Rating
Pape Matar Sarr
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
58
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bara Ndiaye
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
2
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Ibrahim Mbaye
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
58
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nicolas Jackson
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
38
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Assane Diao
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bamba Dieng
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Pape Cherif Ndiaye
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Belgium
Senegal
Belgium
Senegal
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Epic Extra-Time Comeback Sends the Belgians Through
Must-Watch Futmetrix Score: 100/100. A jaw-dropping five-goal thriller saw the European favorites overturn a two-goal deficit to book their Round of 16 ticket deep in the agony of extra time.
The Early Shock
Set the stage at Lumen Field for this Round of 32 clash. Senegal came out swinging, showing no fear against their heavily favored opponents. Despite edging possession, Belgium found themselves repeatedly exposed on the counter-attack. A stunning breakthrough arrived in the 25th minute when H. Diarra found the net, shifting the early momentum completely. The Intensity of the African side was palpable, overwhelming the midfield battles. Just after the restart, things went from bad to worse for the favorites. I. Sarr struck in the 51st minute, courtesy of a brilliant feed from M. Niakhate, making it 2-0. Senegal looked incredibly dangerous, generating a massive 3.22 expected goals over the course of the tie. They dictated the terms, effectively shutting down passing lanes and forcing rushed decisions.
The Late Salvage
With their World Cup dreams slipping away, Belgium desperately needed a lifeline. The manager turned to the bench, and those substitutions completely altered the match's Balance. T. Meunier and R. Lukaku were introduced, providing immediate physical presence. As the clock ticked down, the pressure mounted. In the 86th minute, the towering Lukaku bundled home a crucial goal from Meunier's assist, instantly transforming the atmosphere inside the stadium. Senegal retreated into a low block, trying to survive the barrage. It wasn't enough. Just three minutes later, L. Trossard unlocked the defense with a precise ball, allowing Y. Tielemans to smash home a spectacular 89th-minute equalizer. This rapid-fire comeback rescued the favorites from the brink of an early exit, forcing an unexpected extra thirty minutes.
The Ultimate Heartbreak
The extra time period was a gruelling test of endurance and nerve. The sheer Stakes of this single-leg knockout tie hung heavy over every pass and tackle. Senegal tried to re-establish their attacking rhythm but looked visibly exhausted from their earlier high-pressing efforts. Both sides threw caution to the wind in a chaotic back-and-forth, knowing a penalty shootout was looming. However, the final twist arrived in the absolute dying embers of the match. Deep into stoppage time of the extra period, a desperate challenge inside the box handed Belgium a 120th-minute penalty. Tielemans stepped up with the weight of a nation on his shoulders. He buried the spot-kick, completing his hero brace and sealing a historic 3-2 victory. The dramatic turnaround punches their ticket to the Round of 16.
Key Questions
What caused the 5-goal thriller?
A combined 35 shots and high expected goals meant action was inevitable, capped off by relentless attacking pressure and brilliant tactical substitutions.
How dramatic was the late winner by Ismaïla Sarr?
Sarr's 51st-minute strike was stunning and looked decisive, but the true dramatic winner belonged to Tielemans from the penalty spot in extra time.
Did Belgium deserve the late equalizer?
Yes, edging possession and unleashing 19 total shots, their relentless late pressure rightfully broke the Senegalese defensive lines before the final whistle.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
A World Cup Knockout with Defensive Asterisks
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 57/100. A win-or-go-home knockout tie always brings tension, but an unbalanced matchup and defensive frailties make this a clash for the purists rather than the casual fan.
The Setup
Belgium enter this July 1 showdown unbeaten, having quietly secured five points in the group phase with a solid foundation. Senegal, however, are pure chaos. The Lions of Teranga have scored eight but conceded six across three matches, averaging a dire three goals against per game in recent outings. This gaping disparity yields a rather low Balance rating for a Round of 32 tie. While the knockout format naturally elevates the Stakes, the raw Form suggests a one-sided affair if Senegal cannot plug their leaky backline. Still, an off-the-charts Stars rating hints at individual brilliance waiting to erupt and flip the script.
Key Battle
Leandro Trossard vs Pape Gueye. The Belgian attacker has been ruthless, finding pockets of space and punishing defenses. Gueye must anchor the Senegalese midfield, breaking up play and shielding a backline that has been bleeding goals all tournament. If Trossard is allowed to dictate the tempo, Senegal's World Cup dream ends here.
Our Prediction
Belgium 3-1 Senegal. Senegal's attacking verve will likely grab them a goal, but their porous defense will eventually buckle under sustained Belgian pressure. Trossard and J. Doku will exploit the massive spaces left behind on the counter.