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Futmetrix Verdict
52
FT
Thu, Mar 12
Bologna
1-1
AS Roma
⚡ Intensity 34
⚖️ Balance 40
🏆 Stakes 67
🎲 Upset 15
Pellegrini rescues Roma in tense stalemate.

Win Probability

  • Bologna 30%
  • Draw 31%
  • AS Roma 39%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Pellegrini Salvages Vital Draw in All-Italian Standoff

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 52/100. A tightly contested first leg ensures this European knockout tie remains on a knife-edge ahead of the return trip to Rome.

Tactical Trench Warfare

European knockout football brings immediate tension. Bologna edged possession with 51% of the ball, methodically trying to dismantle a resolute visiting defense in front of an expectant home crowd. The Stakes of this Round of 16 clash dictated a cautious but heavily physical opening period, highlighted by 13 total fouls from the hosts and 18 from AS Roma. Despite forcing seven corners and applying sustained set-piece pressure throughout the first half, Bologna found themselves repeatedly thwarted by a masterclass from standout defender Daniele Ghilardi. The tactical chess match yielded several half-chances, but the opening 45 minutes concluded without a breakthrough, setting the stage for a much more dramatic second act.

The Breakdown and Breakthrough

The tactical gridlock shattered mere minutes after the restart, rewarding the home side's persistence. In the 50th minute, F. Bernardeschi found crucial space inside the penalty area and finished decisively following a sharp, line-breaking delivery from J. Rowe. That opening strike completely ignited the Intensity of the contest, forcing the visitors to abandon their deep defensive crouch and push bodies forward. The Roma manager's response was swift and calculated, looking directly to the bench to salvage the evening's result. The introduction of fresh legs was specifically designed to test Bologna's tiring defensive structure, as the capital club rapidly ramped up their attacking efforts in desperate search of a vital equalizer to take back home.

A Tie in the Balance

The crucial turning point arrived in the 71st minute via a classic super-sub intervention. L. Pellegrini, stepping onto the pitch with immediate attacking purpose, buried the equalizing goal to completely silence the home supporters. His pinpoint strike restored the Balance on the scoreboard and shifted the psychological momentum firmly back toward the visiting side. Both teams subsequently pushed for a late winner, navigating the remaining minutes with a mix of ambition and caution, but the 1-1 final scoreline accurately reflects a match where fine margins dictated the outcome. The result leaves everything totally unresolved; these familiar foes will clash again on March 19th, where a thrilling winner-takes-all second leg awaits in Rome.

Key Questions

What does this mean for Bologna's season?

The 1-1 home draw keeps their European ambitions alive but forces them to chase a crucial away victory in the decisive second leg.

How did substitute Federico Bernardeschi change the game?

Though actually deployed as a starter rather than a substitute, Bernardeschi was the primary catalyst, breaking the deadlock in the 50th minute to ignite the match.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
51%
49%
Bologna 51%
AS Roma 49%
Shots
13
8
Bologna 13
AS Roma 8
Shots on Target
4
2
Bologna 4
AS Roma 2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
1.35
Bologna 1.46
AS Roma 1.35
Passes
412
391
Bologna 412
AS Roma 391
Pass Accuracy
76%
77%
Bologna 76%
AS Roma 77%
Corners
7
3
Bologna 7
AS Roma 3
Fouls
13
18
Bologna 13
AS Roma 18
Yellow Cards
3
2
Bologna 3
AS Roma 2
Red Cards
0
0
Bologna 0
AS Roma 0

Match Events

13' 🟨 Juan Miranda
Wesley 🟨 15'
HT
B. Zaragoza R. Vaz 🔄 46'
47' 🟨 João Mário
50' F. Bernardeschi (J. Rowe)
57' 🟨 Nicolò Casale
D. Rensch K. Tsimikas 🔄 58'
N. El Aynaoui L. Pellegrini 🔄 66'
Z. Celik M. Hermoso 🔄 66'
Bryan Cristante 🟨 67'
L. Pellegrini 71'
71' 🔄 J. Rowe N. Cambiaghi
79' 🔄 J. Miranda C. Lykogiannis
79' 🔄 S. Castro T. Dallinga
84' 🔄 Joao Mario N. Zortea
84' 🔄 N. Casale M. Vitik
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Bologna

Goalkeepers
Łukasz Skorupski
MAGNET
MAGNET
52
Activity
52
Activity
51
Passes
1
Duels
Defenders
João Mário
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
30%
Pass Acc
Nicolò Casale
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Jhon Lucumí
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
56%
Duel Win %
Juan Miranda
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
11
Late Mins
11
Late Mins
79
Total Mins
79
Entry
Midfielders
Lewis Ferguson
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Remo Freuler
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tommaso Pobega
ENFORCER
ENFORCER
5
Tackles
5
Tackles
9
Duels Won
100%
Win %
Forwards
Federico Bernardeschi
DRIBBLER
DRIBBLER
6
Dribbles
6
Dribbles
9
Attempts
67%
Success %
Santiago Castro
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
11
Late Mins
11
Late Mins
79
Total Mins
79
Entry
Jonathan Rowe
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7.3
Rating
BENCH
Federico Ravaglia
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Torbjørn Heggem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nadir Zortea
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Martin Vitík
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Charalampos Lykogiannis
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nikola Moro
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Simon Sohm
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Riccardo Orsolini
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Thijs Dallinga
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nicolò Cambiaghi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
19
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Benjamín Domínguez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jens Odgaard
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

AS Roma

Goalkeepers
Mile Svilar
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Zeki Çelik
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
65
Total Mins
66
Entry
Evan Ndicka
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
6
Cleanups
6
Cleanups
6
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Daniele Ghilardi
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
5
Tackles
79%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Devyne Rensch
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
58
Total Mins
58
Entry
Neil El Aynaoui
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
66
Total Mins
66
Entry
Niccolò Pisilli
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Wesley
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Bryan Cristante
MAGNET
MAGNET
50
Activity
50
Activity
42
Passes
8
Duels
Bryan Zaragoza
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
Donyell Malen
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
4
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
BENCH
Giorgio De Marzi
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Pierluigi Gollini
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Mario Hermoso
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Konstantinos Tsimikas
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jan Ziółkowski
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lorenzo Pellegrini
SUPER SUB
SUPER SUB
1
Goal
1
Goal
24
Minutes
7.6
Rating
Stephan El Shaarawy
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Robinio Vaz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
03/19/2026 AS Roma 3 - 4 (AET) Bologna UEFA Europa League Stadio Olimpico
03/12/2026 Bologna 1 - 1 AS Roma UEFA Europa League
08/23/2025 AS Roma 1 - 0 Bologna Serie A Stadio Olimpico
01/12/2025 Bologna 2 - 2 AS Roma Serie A Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
11/10/2024 AS Roma 2 - 3 Bologna Serie A Stadio Olimpico
04/22/2024 AS Roma 1 - 3 Bologna Serie A Stadio Olimpico
12/17/2023 Bologna 2 - 0 AS Roma Serie A Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
05/14/2023 Bologna 0 - 0 AS Roma Serie A Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
01/04/2023 AS Roma 1 - 0 Bologna Serie A Stadio Olimpico
05/01/2022 AS Roma 0 - 0 Bologna Serie A Stadio Olimpico
03/19/2026
3 - 4 (AET)
UEFA Europa League Stadio Olimpico
03/12/2026
UEFA Europa League
08/23/2025
Serie A Stadio Olimpico
01/12/2025
Serie A Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
11/10/2024
Serie A Stadio Olimpico
04/22/2024
Serie A Stadio Olimpico
12/17/2023
Serie A Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
05/14/2023
Serie A Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
01/04/2023
Serie A Stadio Olimpico
05/01/2022
Serie A Stadio Olimpico
Bologna Win
AS Roma Win
Draw

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