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Futmetrix Verdict
52
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Bournemouth
3-0
AC Milan
⚡ Intensity
75
⚖️ Balance
20
🏆 Stakes
3
🎲 Upset
0
Two penalties, one red card, total control
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
Leroy Sané (Florian Wirtz) 2'
9' Nilson Angulo (Pedro Vite)
43' Piero Hincapié
↓ Aleksandar Pavlović ↑Angelo Stiller 45'
HT
Kai Havertz 47'
50' Alan Franco
↓ Kai Havertz ↑Deniz Undav 60'
↓ Joshua Kimmich ↑Malick Thiaw 60'
64' ↓ Alan Franco ↑Angelo Preciado
↓ Felix Nmecha ↑Maximilian Beier 64'
64' ↓ Enner Valencia ↑Kevin Rodriguez
71' ↓ Piero Hincapié ↑Pervis Estupinan
↓ Florian Wirtz ↑Pascal Groß 73'
77' Gonzalo Plata (Kevin Rodriguez)
85' ↓ Nilson Angulo ↑Jordy Caicedo
85' ↓ John Yeboah ↑Felix Torres
89' Gonzalo Plata
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Ecuador
Goalkeepers
Hernán Galíndez 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Joel Ordóñez 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
71%
Duel Win %
Willian Pacho 
SWEEPER
4
Cleanups
4
Cleanups
4
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Piero Hincapié
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
71
Total Mins
71
Entry
Midfielders
Alan Franco
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
64
Total Mins
64
Entry
John Yeboah 
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
18%
Pass Acc
Moisés Caicedo 
MAGNET
74
Activity
74
Activity
63
Passes
11
Duels
Pedro Vite
MAGNET
86
Activity
86
Activity
66
Passes
20
Duels
Forwards
Nilson Angulo 
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Gonzalo Plata 
CLOSER
1
Late Goals
1
Late Goals
0
Late Assists
75
Minute
Enner Valencia
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
64
Total Mins
64
Entry
BENCH
Wellington Ramírez 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Gonzalo Valle
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Félix Torres
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
5
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Pervis Estupiñán
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
19
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Angelo Preciado
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
26
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jackson Porozo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Yaimar Medina
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jordy Alcívar
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Denil Castillo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kendry Páez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jordy Caicedo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
5
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alan Minda
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jeremy Arévalo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Anthony Valencia
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kevin Rodríguez 
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
6.9
Rating
Germany
Goalkeepers
Manuel Neuer
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Jonathan Tah
MAGNET
105
Activity
105
Activity
99
Passes
6
Duels
Antonio Rüdiger
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
David Raum
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
33%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Joshua Kimmich 
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Felix Nmecha 
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Aleksandar Pavlović
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
46
Total Mins
45
Entry
Jamal Musiala
PROVOCATEUR
5
Fouls Won
5
Fouls Won
10
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Florian Wirtz 
SHIELD
3
Blocks
3
Blocks
0
Interceptions
1
Tackles
Forwards
Leroy Sané
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Kai Havertz
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
60
Total Mins
60
Entry
BENCH
Alexander Nübel
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Oliver Baumann
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Malick Thiaw
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Waldemar Anton
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Assan Ouédraogo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Angelo Stiller
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
44
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nadiem Amiri
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Leon Goretzka
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Pascal Groß
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jamie Leweling
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nick Woltemade
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maximilian Beier
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
26
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Deniz Undav
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
30
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Ecuador
Germany
Ecuador
Germany
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
A Shocking Comeback at MetLife
Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 77/100. A remarkable underdog triumph ripped up the script, proving that tactical discipline and sheer grit can shatter structural dominance on the biggest international stage.
A Frantic Opening Exchange
The Intensity was blistering right out of the gate as Germany sought to impose their absolute will at MetLife Stadium. It took mere moments for the European heavyweights to draw blood, with Leroy Sané finishing clinically in the second minute after a defense-splitting setup from Florian Wirtz. Yet, they hardly had time to celebrate before Ecuador struck back with immense ferocity. A slick passing move in the ninth minute saw Pedro Vite thread the needle for Nilson Angulo, who leveled the score emphatically. Despite the Germans enjoying 61 percent possession and generating eleven total shots, they found themselves dragged into a gritty, physical firefight early on, enduring 15 fouls from a highly combative South American side determined to disrupt their rhythm.
The Video Assistant Intervenes
Emerging from the tunnel for the second half, the Balance of the tie hung on a knife-edge. The critical juncture arrived in the 47th minute when Kai Havertz darted into the penalty area and went down under a heavy challenge. The referee initially pointed to the spot, offering a golden opportunity to restore the lead. However, a lengthy VAR review overturned the decision, denying the penalty. That reprieve galvanized Ecuador, who absorbed immense pressure and completely disrupted the tempo of their opponents. Germany’s dominance on the ball increasingly translated into fruitless lateral passes and blocked shots rather than clear-cut chances, as the underdogs dropped into a resolute, impenetrable defensive block.
The South American Stunner
As the clock ticked down, the massive Stakes of this World Cup group clash became readily apparent. Managerial changes swung the contest decisively, with substitute Kevin Rodriguez providing an immediate spark off the bench. In the 77th minute, he unlocked a stretched, fatigued defensive line to feed Gonzalo Plata, who buried the match-winner with ruthless precision. This monumental Upset—defying a massive pre-match probability gap—leaves the group table wide open. Ecuador climbs to four points, proving to the world that they possess the counter-attacking threat and tactical resilience to survive deep into this tournament, while sending the group leaders back to the drawing board.
Key Questions
How did VAR change this match?
Kai Havertz won a penalty early in the second half, but VAR overturned it, shifting the momentum and giving Ecuador the belief to push forward.
How did Ecuador complete the comeback from behind?
Nilson Angulo delivered a rapid equalizer in the ninth minute, and substitute Kevin Rodriguez provided a crucial late assist for Gonzalo Plata's match-winner.
What does this mean for Ecuador's season?
This monumental victory elevates them to four points in their World Cup group, drastically improving their chances of advancing to the knockout stages.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
A must-win clash for Ecuador against rampant Germany
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 68/100. Germany's ruthless opening victory makes them overwhelming favorites, leaving Ecuador fighting desperately for their World Cup lives.
The Setup
MetLife Stadium sets the stage for a World Cup encounter with massive Stakes on June 25, 2026. Germany sit comfortably at the top of the group after a stunning 7-1 demolition job in their opener, commanding total authority on the pitch. Meanwhile, Ecuador languish on zero points after a narrow defeat, making this a do-or-die fixture for their tournament progression. With world-class Stars like F. Wirtz and M. Caicedo taking the field, the talent pool is undeniable, but the Form disparity is stark. Germany's attacking machine looks virtually unplayable right now.
Key Battle
Ecuador's disciplined backline must somehow contain a German attacking midfield that plays with terrifying fluidity. The South Americans will have to rely on low-block resilience and counter-attacking bursts to disrupt the European giants. If the home midfield cannot break up play and dictate the physical tempo, the German forward unit will simply overload the half-spaces and carve them open.
Our Prediction
Germany's attacking momentum is simply too much to ignore. While the Balance rating suggests Ecuador can frustrate them early on, the sheer firepower of the visitors will break through eventually. We expect a clinical 2-0 victory for Germany, punishing Ecuador on transition and dominating the ball.