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Futmetrix Verdict
52
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Bournemouth
3-0
AC Milan
⚡ Intensity
75
⚖️ Balance
20
🏆 Stakes
3
🎲 Upset
0
Two penalties, one red card, total control
Futmetrix Verdict
26
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Sturm Graz
1-0
Marseille
⚡ Intensity
22
⚖️ Balance
31
🏆 Stakes
11
🎲 Upset
60
Diakité struck; Marseille never answered
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
J. Enciso (M. Galarza) 42'
HT
46' ↓ F. Nmecha ↑L. Goretzka
54' K. Havertz (F. Wirtz)
↓ G. Avalos ↑G. Caballero 55'
↓ J. Enciso ↑Mauricio 57'
63' ↓ D. Undav ↑J. Musiala
A. Cubas 65'
79' ↓ A. Pavlovic ↑W. Anton
88' ↓ L. Sane ↑N. Woltemade
↓ M. Almiron ↑G. Velazquez 91'
↓ D. Bobadilla ↑A. Sanabria 99'
↓ J. Caceres ↑B. Ojeda 99'
102' J. Tah
G. Alfaro 105'
105'+1 J. Nagelsmann
106' K. Havertz
110' ↓ F. Wirtz ↑N. Amiri
110' ↓ A. Rudiger ↑M. Thiaw
115' J. Musiala
M. Galarza 117'
120'+1 K. Havertz
Mauricio 120'+1
120'+2 J. Kimmich
G. Gomez 120'+2
↓ J. Alonso ↑Fabian Balbuena 120'+2
120'+3 J. Musiala
M. Galarza 120'+3
120'+4 N. Woltemade
A. Sanabria 120'+4
120'+5 N. Amiri
Fabian Balbuena 120'+5
120'+6 J. Tah
J. Canale 120'+6
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Germany
Goalkeepers
Manuel Neuer 
PROVOCATEUR
1
Fouls Won
1
Fouls Won
1
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Defenders
Joshua Kimmich 
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Penalty
Impact
7.3
Rating
Jonathan Tah
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.3
Rating
Antonio Rüdiger 
MAGNET
129
Activity
129
Activity
123
Passes
6
Duels
Nathaniel Brown 
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
43%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Leroy Sané 
NPC
88
Minutes
88
Minutes
48%
Pass Acc
6.3
Rating
Felix Nmecha 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
Aleksandar Pavlović
MAGNET
82
Activity
82
Activity
74
Passes
8
Duels
Florian Wirtz
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
1
Assists
62%
Pass Acc
Forwards
Kai Havertz
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.5
Rating
Deniz Undav
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
63
Total Mins
63
Entry
BENCH
Alexander Nübel 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Oliver Baumann
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Waldemar Anton 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
David Raum
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Malick Thiaw
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Leon Goretzka
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
75
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jamal Musiala
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Penalty
Impact
6.6
Rating
Pascal Groß
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Angelo Stiller
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Assan Ouédraogo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nadiem Amiri
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Penalty
Impact
6.7
Rating
Nick Woltemade
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
6.9
Rating
Jamie Leweling
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maximilian Beier
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Paraguay
Goalkeepers
Orlando Gill
MAGNET
48
Activity
48
Activity
45
Passes
3
Duels
Defenders
Juan Jose Caceres 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
50%
Duel Win %
Gustavo Gómez
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Penalty
Impact
6.5
Rating
Jose Maria Canale
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Penalty
Impact
7.5
Rating
Javier Alonso
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Midfielders
Miguel Almirón
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
9
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Damián Bobadilla 
SWEEPER
4
Cleanups
4
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
1
Blocks
Adrián Cubas
SWEEPER
5
Cleanups
5
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
2
Blocks
Matías Galarza
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Penalty
Impact
6.9
Rating
Forwards
Gabriel Ávalos
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
55
Total Mins
55
Entry
Julio Enciso 
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
BENCH
Gaston Olveira
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Gatito Fernández
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Victor Velazquez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
30
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Omar Alderete
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Fabián Balbuena
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
0
Rating
Alexandro Maidana
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maurício
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Penalty
Impact
7.2
Rating
Braian Ojeda
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alejandro Romero Gamarra
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gustavo Caballero
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
65
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ramón Sosa
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Antonio Sanabria
CLUTCH HERO
120
Goal Time
120
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
6.9
Rating
Alex Arce
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Isidro Pitta
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Germany
Paraguay
Germany
Paraguay
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Paraguay's Defensive Masterclass Stuns Germany in Shootout
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 27/100. Paraguay absorbed a relentless siege before executing the ultimate smash-and-grab to end Germany's World Cup run from the penalty spot.
The Siege of Gillette Stadium
A relentless wave of Germany attacks turned Gillette Stadium into a one-sided shooting gallery right from the opening exchanges. The European giants dominated possession with an overwhelming 75 percent share, pinning Paraguay deep inside their own penalty area. A remarkably high Intensity metric reflected the sheer volume of attacking pressure, as Germany forced 16 corners and launched 175 total attacks over the course of the contest. Despite dictating the tempo through Joshua Kimmich in the center of the park, finding a clean path through a disciplined wall of South American defenders proved an agonizingly frustrating task. Paraguay showed absolutely no interest in expanding the game or taking unnecessary risks. Instead, they sat incredibly deep in a compact block, clearing their lines an astonishing 54 times in a gritty display of knockout tournament survival tactics.
The Wall of Asunción
The tactical script rarely deviated from its initial pattern, producing a heavily skewed Balance rating that told the story of a classic attack-versus-defense encounter. Germany attempted a combined 21 shots to Paraguay's meager seven, continually probing for a fatal weakness. Miguel Almirón occasionally offered brief, fleeting moments of respite on the counter-attack for the underdogs, yet the true defensive heroics came from the Paraguayan rearguard. Their goalkeeper was called into action repeatedly, delivering six crucial saves that kept the scoreline deadlocked at 1-1. This heroic effort thoroughly frustrated a German side that racked up nearly 800 passes and generated solid expected goals, but ultimately lacked a clinical, ruthless edge in the final third. Every time the heavy favorites looked poised to break the deadlock, a last-ditch block or a sprawling save maintained the parity, slowly draining German belief.
Penalty Heartbreak
With this crucial Round of 32 clash strictly demanding a decisive winner, the immense Stakes eventually culminated in a nerve-shredding penalty shootout. Having miraculously survived the grueling barrage of open-play pressure, Paraguay stepped up to the spot with the fearless confidence of a team playing with house money. The shootout concluded at a tense 4-3 in favor of the South Americans, cementing a massive Upset rating on the biggest international stage. Germany's overwhelming statistical dominance in possession, territory, and shot volume ultimately amounted to nothing as they face a bitter flight home. Paraguay, meanwhile, march triumphantly into the Round of 16, emphatically proving that resolute tactical defending and ice-cold composure from 12 yards can overcome any opponent.
Key Questions
Who progressed to the Round of 16?
Paraguay won 4-3 in a tense penalty shootout to eliminate Germany and advance.
Did Germany dominate the match stats?
Yes, Germany dominated possession with 75% and registered 21 shots, but struggled to finish.
Where was this knockout match played?
This crucial World Cup Round of 32 clash was held at Gillette Stadium.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Survive and Advance: Germany's Heavy Artillery Targets Paraguay
Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 53/100. In knockout football, momentum is everything, and Germany’s lethal attack looks primed to overwhelm Paraguay’s resistance in this World Cup Round of 32 clash.
The Setup
The knockout stage demands a ruthless edge, and Germany enters this fixture with a blistering track record. Having already plundered ten goals in their opening three matches, they boast a formidable Form rating that spells trouble for their South American opponents. Paraguay, conversely, has scraped through to the knockout phase despite a negative goal difference, scoring just twice so far. A deeply lopsided Balance rating reflects Germany's status as heavy favorites. Still, tournament football carries a unique pressure where a single mistake can send a team packing. The Stakes are entirely binary here: survive and advance, or book a flight home. Fortunately for the Germans, their squad is packed with elite game-changers. An exceptionally high Stars rating highlights the sheer difference in quality, with the likes of F. Wirtz and J. Musiala ready to unlock deep defensive blocks and dictate the tempo.
Key Battle
The central storyline on the pitch pits Germany's red-hot attack against Paraguay's desperate defense. Deniz Undav has been nothing short of spectacular, turning half-chances into crucial goals with ruthless efficiency. Tasked with stopping him is the gritty Paraguayan backline, anchored by Juan Cáceres. If Cáceres and his teammates lose track of Undav inside the penalty area, this World Cup tie could effectively be over before the halftime whistle.
Our Prediction
We expect Paraguay to deploy a low block and try to frustrate the heavy favorites, but Germany's attacking variety is simply too potent. The sheer volume of chances created by the European giants will eventually break the dam. Our verdict leans heavily toward a comfortable 3-0 victory for the home side, with a flurry of early goals killing off the contest and securing their spot in the next round.