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Futmetrix Verdict
72
FT
Tue, Sep 15
Johor Darul Takzim FC
1-1
Buriram United
⚡ Intensity 76
⚖️ Balance 56
🏆 Stakes 10
🎲 Upset 53
Late VAR madness forces explosive stalemate.

Win Probability

  • Johor Darul Takzim FC 53%
  • Draw 24%
  • Buriram United 22%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Sultan Ibrahim Stadium Sees Red in AFC Thriller

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 72/100. Our verdict: A match defined by tactical grit, spectacular goalkeeping, and late-game VAR chaos leaves both sides settling for a hard-fought draw.

The Opening Exchanges

A relentless tempo established the evening's narrative from kickoff. Johor Darul Takzim FC looked sharp, settling quickly to ensure they controlled possession with 59% of the ball. The Intensity in the middle third was evident as both sides scrapped for early dominance. The breakthrough arrived in the 26th minute when Oscar Arribas capitalized on a brilliant creative sequence orchestrated by Marcos Guilherme. The hosts seemed ready to run away with the tie, shifting the momentum entirely in their favor and pinning the visitors back. However, the Thai side remained organized, refusing to let the early deficit break their structural discipline as they waited for counter-attacking opportunities.

The Shifting Tide

Just before the interval, Buriram United struck back. Stefan Schimmer silenced the home crowd in the 43rd minute, leveling the scoreline and drastically altering the complexion of the second half. The crucial pivot arrived in the 57th minute when Kenneth William Dougall saw straight red, completely disrupting the Balance of the visitor's midfield. Reduced to ten men, Buriram parked the bus. JDT peppered the goal, ultimately unleashing 19 shots, but they ran into an absolute wall. N. Etheridge delivered a spectacular performance between the sticks, pulling off seven crucial saves to frustrate the Malaysian champions at every turn.

Late Drama and Heartbreak

The closing stages transformed into pure theater as the Stakes reached a boiling point. In the 83rd minute, VAR intervened to confirm a penalty for a foul on Arif Aiman bin Mohd Hanapi. The stage was set for a dramatic late victory, but Bergson Gustavo Silveira da Silva shockingly fluffed his lines from the spot at the 87-minute mark, extinguishing the Upset Factor for a dramatic home win. The drama was far from over. Moments later, VAR stepped in again, this time upgrading a foul by Eddy Silvestre Pascual Israfilov to a straight red card for violent conduct in the 90th minute. With both teams finishing a man down, the final whistle cemented a breathless stalemate.

Key Questions

How did the red card for Kenneth William Dougall impact the match?

The dismissal forced Buriram into a deep defensive block, relying heavily on N. Etheridge's exceptional goalkeeping to survive JDT's relentless attacking waves.

Was the penalty miss by Marcos Guilherme the turning point?

Bergson actually took the 87th-minute penalty, not Guilherme. His crucial miss was the ultimate climax, denying JDT a guaranteed victory and sealing the draw.

How did VAR change this match?

VAR defined the final ten minutes, confirming JDT's late penalty opportunity and subsequently upgrading Eddy Pascual's yellow to a straight red card.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
59%
41%
Johor Darul Takzim FC 59%
Buriram United 41%
Shots
19
8
Johor Darul Takzim FC 19
Buriram United 8
Shots on Target
6
5
Johor Darul Takzim FC 6
Buriram United 5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
0.53
Johor Darul Takzim FC 1.50
Buriram United 0.53
Passes
433
314
Johor Darul Takzim FC 433
Buriram United 314
Corners
4
1
Johor Darul Takzim FC 4
Buriram United 1
Fouls
19
12
Johor Darul Takzim FC 19
Buriram United 12
Yellow Cards
4
0
Johor Darul Takzim FC 4
Buriram United 0
Red Cards
1
1
Johor Darul Takzim FC 1
Buriram United 1

Match Events

↓ Goran Čaušić ↑Vukan Savićević 🔄 12'
17' 🟨 Jonathan Silva
25' 🟨 Afiq Fazail
26' ⚽ Oscar Arribas (Marcos Guilherme)
Stefan Schimmer (Darlan Pereira Mendes) ⚽ 43'
45' 🔄 ↓ Afiq Fazail ↑Nacho Méndez
45' 🔄 ↓ Shahab Zahedi ↑Bergson Gustavo Silveira da Silva
45'+1 🟨 Shahab Zahedi
HT
↓ Stefan Schimmer ↑Paulinho 🔄 60'
64' 🟨 Kevin Medina
68' 🔄 ↓ Jonathan Silva ↑Matías Nahuel
↓ Darlan Pereira Mendes ↑Theerathon Bunmathan 🔄 74'
↓ Guilherme Bissoli ↑Alexandru Tudorie 🔄 74'
↓ Sasalak Haiprakhon ↑Eduardo Mancha 🔄 74'
75' 🔄 ↓ Oscar Arribas ↑Jairo de Macedo da Silva
90'+3 🔄 ↓ Dejan Petrović ↑Carlos Akapo
FT

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
03/11/2025 Johor Darul Takzim FC 0 - 1 Buriram United AFC Champions League Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin
03/04/2025 Buriram United 0 - 0 Johor Darul Takzim FC AFC Champions League Chang Arena
12/03/2024 Johor Darul Takzim FC 0 - 0 Buriram United AFC Champions League Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin
03/11/2025
AFC Champions League Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin
03/04/2025
AFC Champions League Chang Arena
12/03/2024
AFC Champions League Stadium Sultan Ibrahim Larkin
Johor Darul Takzim FC Win
Buriram United Win
Draw

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