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Futmetrix Verdict
23
FT
Sat, Feb 28
Minnesota United FC
1-0
FC Cincinnati
⚡ Intensity 12
⚖️ Balance 20
🏆 Stakes 44
🎲 Upset 0
Yeboah's strike grounds Cincinnati at Allianz.

Win Probability

  • Minnesota United FC 45%
  • Draw 26%
  • FC Cincinnati 29%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Yeboah Strike Rewards Loons' Resilience at Allianz Field

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 23/100. Minnesota United flipped the script against a technically superior Cincinnati side, proving that grit and transition play often outshine pure possession in the early MLS campaign.

Battling for Footing

The early stages at Allianz Field set a demanding tone, driven by a high Intensity that saw both sides eager to establish dominance. FC Cincinnati controlled possession at 55%, dictating the tempo through the midfield and testing the home defense early. Yet, for all their territorial control and a barrage of 12 corners, the visitors struggled to find a clinical edge, generating just 0.84 expected goals. Minnesota United FC opted for a more direct approach, relying heavily on transition play to exploit the spaces left behind. Joaquín Pereyra was instrumental in these counter-punches, orchestrating the home side's attacks with exceptional vision and precision. Despite an eventual 29 combined shots in this contest, remarkable goalkeeper heroics at both ends kept the scoresheet stubbornly clean through the opening hour, frustrating both attacking lines.

The Decisive Moment

The match hung in a delicate Balance until the 66th minute, when the hosts finally cracked the Cincinnati code. Capitalizing on a rapid sequence, K. Yeboah found a crucial pocket of space inside the penalty area and delivered the lethal blow. It was a clinical finish that completely altered the tactical trajectory of the evening, rewarding Minnesota's superior 1.92 expected goals tally. Cincinnati's defensive anchor, Miles Robinson, had been virtually impassable until that singular lapse, demonstrating how quickly the Stakes can shift in a fiercely contested MLS encounter. The opening goal immediately forced the visitors to abandon their previously measured buildup play, pushing numbers forward in a frantic search for an equalizer and consequently leaving themselves exposed to further counter-attacks at the back.

Weathering the Storm

Trailing by a goal, Cincinnati threw everything forward in the closing stages, dialing up the Upset factor as they effectively camped in Minnesota's defensive third. The final twenty minutes turned into an absolute siege, with the visitors accumulating set-pieces and relentlessly pumping crosses into the danger zone. However, Minnesota's defensive block held firm under immense pressure, showing remarkable tactical organization to protect their hard-earned, slender lead. The vital 1-0 victory provides a massive morale boost for the Loons, pulling them to five points and stabilizing their early-season form. For Cincinnati, the frustrating inability to convert sustained possession and heavy corner pressure into tangible goals serves as a harsh lesson, leaving them to ponder a host of missed opportunities on their long flight back to Ohio.

Key Questions

Who scored the decisive goal?

K. Yeboah secured the victory for Minnesota United with a clinical strike in the 66th minute.

Who were the standout performers?

Joaquín Pereyra masterminded Minnesota's attacking transitions, while Miles Robinson was a defensive rock for Cincinnati despite the narrow loss.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
45%
55%
Minnesota United FC 45%
FC Cincinnati 55%
Shots
16
13
Minnesota United FC 16
FC Cincinnati 13
Shots on Target
5
4
Minnesota United FC 5
FC Cincinnati 4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
0.84
Minnesota United FC 1.92
FC Cincinnati 0.84
Passes
371
440
Minnesota United FC 371
FC Cincinnati 440
Pass Accuracy
79%
81%
Minnesota United FC 79%
FC Cincinnati 81%
Corners
5
12
Minnesota United FC 5
FC Cincinnati 12
Fouls
9
6
Minnesota United FC 9
FC Cincinnati 6
Yellow Cards
2
0
Minnesota United FC 2
FC Cincinnati 0
Red Cards
0
0
Minnesota United FC 0
FC Cincinnati 0

Match Events

HT
59' 🟨 Morris Duggan
66' ⚽ K. Yeboah
↓ G. Valenzuela ↑O. Nwobodo 🔄 69'
↓ A. Jabbari ↑T. Barlow 🔄 69'
76' 🔄 ↓ M. Boxall ↑D. Padelford
↓ N. Hagglund ↑A. Powell 🔄 85'
↓ E. Echenique ↑K. Mboma 🔄 85'
90'+1 🔄 ↓ B. Hlongwane ↑D. Taylor
90'+1 🔄 ↓ N. Triantis ↑O. Gene
90'+6 🟨 Jefferson Díaz
↓ S. Gidi ↑T. Anunga 🔄 90'+7
↓ T. Hadebe ↑G. Flores 🔄 90'+7
90'+7 🔄 ↓ K. Yeboah ↑M. Dieng
90'+9 🔄 ↓ T. Chancalay ↑J. Gressel
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Minnesota United FC

Goalkeepers
Drake Callender
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Jefferson Díaz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Michael Boxall
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
14
Late Mins
14
Late Mins
77
Total Mins
76
Entry
Morris Duggan
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
54%
Duel Win %
Anthony Markanich
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
28%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
15%
Pass Acc
Nectarios Triantis
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Wil Trapp
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Joaquín Pereyra
MAGNET
MAGNET
58
Activity
58
Activity
39
Passes
19
Duels
Kelvin Yeboah
SNIPER
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Tomás Chancalay
MAGNET
MAGNET
53
Activity
53
Activity
37
Passes
16
Duels
BENCH
Alec Smir
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Devin Padelford
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
DJ Taylor
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Carlos Harvey
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Julian Gressel
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
James Rodríguez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Owen Gene
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mamadou Dieng
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Troy Putt
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

FC Cincinnati

Goalkeepers
Roman Celentano
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Nick Hagglund
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
5
Late Mins
5
Late Mins
85
Total Mins
85
Entry
Miles Robinson
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
60%
Duel Win %
Teenage Hadebe
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
71%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Ender Echenique
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Pavel Bucha
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Samuel Gidi
NPC
NPC
89
Minutes
89
Minutes
32%
Pass Acc
6.6
Rating
Gerardo Valenzuela
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
21%
Pass Acc
Bryan Ramírez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Ayoub Jabbari
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
69
Total Mins
69
Entry
Kévin Denkey
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Evan Louro
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Alvas Powell
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
16
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gilberto Flores
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kyle Smith
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Obinna Nwobodo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Brian Anunga
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Stiven Jimenez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tom Barlow
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kenji Mboma Dem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
15
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
09/19/2024 Minnesota United FC 1 - 2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Allianz Field
05/08/2022 Minnesota United FC 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Allianz Field
10/25/2020 FC Cincinnati 0 - 1 Minnesota United FC Major League Soccer Nippert Stadium
10/04/2020 Minnesota United FC 2 - 0 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Allianz Field
06/29/2019 Minnesota United FC 7 - 1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Allianz Field
06/06/2018 FC Cincinnati 0 - 0 (PEN 1-3) Minnesota United FC US Open Cup Nippert Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
09/19/2024
Major League Soccer Allianz Field
05/08/2022
Major League Soccer Allianz Field
10/25/2020
Major League Soccer Nippert Stadium
10/04/2020
Major League Soccer Allianz Field
06/29/2019
Major League Soccer Allianz Field
06/06/2018
US Open Cup Nippert Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Minnesota United FC Win
FC Cincinnati Win
Draw

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