Bundesliga Regular Season - 33
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 FT FC St. Pauli
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
20' C. Lukeba
45' X. Schlager (C. Baumgartner)
HT
51' C. Baumgartner
55' W. Orban (D. Raum)
↓ L. Ritzka ↑H. Wahl 64'
↓ L. Oppie ↑F. Stevens 64'
69' ↓ A. Ouedraogo ↑N. Seiwald
69' ↓ D. Raum ↑M. Finkgrafe
↓ A. Hountondji ↑A. Ceesay 72'
80' ↓ B. Gruda ↑A. Nusa
A. Ceesay (J. Irvine) 86'
↓ E. Smith ↑M. Rasmussen 89'
↓ C. Metcalfe ↑D. Sinani 89'
90'+2 ↓ R. Baku ↑B. Henrichs
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
RB Leipzig
Goalkeepers
Maarten Vandevoordt 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
95
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Ridle Baku 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
71%
Duel Win %
Willi Orbán 
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Castello Lukeba
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
62%
Duel Win %
David Raum 
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
1
Assists
60%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Assan Ouédraogo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
69
Total Mins
69
Entry
Xaver Schlager
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Christoph Baumgartner 
MAGNET
72
Activity
72
Activity
60
Passes
12
Duels
Forwards
Brajan Gruda
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
79
Total Mins
80
Entry
Rômulo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
95
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Yan Diomande
MAGNET
47
Activity
47
Activity
34
Passes
13
Duels
BENCH
Péter Gulácsi 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lukas Klostermann
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Max Finkgräfe
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
26
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Benjamin Henrichs
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
4
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nicolas Seiwald
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
26
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Antonio Nusa
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
16
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Johan Bakayoko
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Conrad Harder
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
FC St. Pauli
Goalkeepers
Nikola Vasilj
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
95
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Tomoya Ando 
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
12
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Eric Smith 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Lars Ritzka
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
64
Total Mins
64
Entry
Midfielders
Arkadiusz Pyrka
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
95
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Connor Metcalfe 
NPC
89
Minutes
89
Minutes
14%
Pass Acc
6.2
Rating
Jackson Irvine 
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
6.9
Rating
Joel Chima Fujita
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
95
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Louis Oppie
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
64
Total Mins
64
Entry
Forwards
Andreas Hountondji
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
72
Total Mins
72
Entry
Martijn Kaars
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
95
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Ben Voll
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Hauke Wahl
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
31
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Fin Stevens
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
31
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mathias Rasmussen
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
6
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Taichi Hara
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Abdoulie Ceesay 
CLUTCH HERO
86
Goal Time
86
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.3
Rating
Danel Sinani
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
6
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/27/2026 | FC St. Pauli | 1 - 1 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 02/09/2025 | RB Leipzig | 2 - 0 | FC St. Pauli | Bundesliga | Red Bull Arena |
| 10/29/2024 | RB Leipzig | 4 - 2 | FC St. Pauli | DFB Pokal | Red Bull Arena |
| 09/22/2024 | FC St. Pauli | 0 - 0 | RB Leipzig | Bundesliga | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 02/12/2016 | FC St. Pauli | 1 - 0 | RB Leipzig | 2. Bundesliga | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 08/23/2015 | RB Leipzig | 0 - 1 | FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga | Red Bull Arena |
| 05/03/2015 | FC St. Pauli | 1 - 0 | RB Leipzig | 2. Bundesliga | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 11/23/2014 | RB Leipzig | 4 - 1 | FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga | Red Bull Arena |
01/27/2026
02/09/2025
10/29/2024
09/22/2024
02/12/2016
08/23/2015
05/03/2015
11/23/2014
RB Leipzig Win
FC St. Pauli Win
Draw
League Standings
P: 33 GD: +82
P: 33 GD: +34
P: 33 GD: +22
P: 33 GD: +22
P: 33 GD: +17
P: 33 GD: +21
P: 33 GD: -9
P: 33 GD: -4
P: 33 GD: -12
P: 33 GD: -11
P: 33 GD: -14
P: 33 GD: -18
P: 33 GD: -15
P: 33 GD: -10
P: 33 GD: -21
P: 35 GD: -27
P: 33 GD: -29
P: 33 GD: -29
19 SC Paderborn 07 4 pts
P: 2 GD: +1
League Standings
P: 33 GD: +82
P: 33 GD: +34
P: 33 GD: +22
P: 33 GD: +22
P: 33 GD: +17
P: 33 GD: +21
P: 33 GD: -9
P: 33 GD: -4
P: 33 GD: -12
P: 33 GD: -11
P: 33 GD: -14
P: 33 GD: -18
P: 33 GD: -15
P: 33 GD: -10
P: 33 GD: -21
P: 33 GD: -26
P: 33 GD: -29
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Leipzig Condemn St. Pauli to the Drop
Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 50/100. RB Leipzig stamped their Champions League class on the contest, while St. Pauli's late fight epitomised a season of grit ultimately undone by merciless mathematics.
Opening Act
RB Leipzig grabbed the match by the scruff of the neck immediately. They dominated possession, pinning the visitors deep inside their own half at Red Bull Arena. The Intensity from the hosts was suffocating as they probed for weaknesses. St. Pauli held their shape admirably, but the relentless pressure eventually took its toll. Right on the stroke of half-time, X. Schlager found the breakthrough. Slipped in by C. Baumgartner, his clinical finish in the 45th minute shattered the visitors' resistance just as they were preparing for the interval.
The Pivot
Class inevitably tells. The Stakes were monumental for the visitors, but Leipzig simply possessed too much quality. In the 55th minute, the hosts doubled their advantage. W. Orban capitalised on a pinpoint delivery from D. Raum to nod home. This shifted the Balance entirely. Leipzig began to dictate the tempo with absolute authority, passing the ball with a swagger that befitted a team sitting third in the table. The 2-0 cushion allowed them to dictate terms, leaving St. Pauli chasing shadows.
Resolution
Late hope is often a cruel mistress. A sudden injection of a high Upset Factor arrived in the 86th minute when substitute A. Ceesay struck for the FC St. Pauli. Assisted brilliantly by J. Irvine, it sparked a frantic finale. However, the fightback came too late. The final whistle confirmed the stark reality: sitting six points from safety with just one game remaining, St. Pauli are relegated. Leipzig celebrate a job well done, cementing their elite status while condemning their valiant opponents to the tier below.
Key Questions
What made Willi Orbán the Man of the Match?
A commanding defensive display, coupled with his crucial 55th-minute goal, anchored Leipzig's backline and secured his standout match rating.
What does this mean for RB Leipzig's season?
Reaching 65 points firmly cements their third-place standing, guaranteeing their spot in next season's Champions League.
How did substitute Willi Orbán change the game?
Orbán actually started the match. His vital second-half goal provided the essential two-goal cushion Leipzig needed to survive a late scare.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
David Meets Goliath on Penultimate Day
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 59/100. A desperate relegation battle collides with an unstoppable winning streak, making this a fascinating tactical mismatch.
The Setup
This Matchday 33 clash at the Red Bull Arena brings together two teams on completely opposite trajectories. RB Leipzig are boasting an impeccable Form rating after rattling off five consecutive victories. Sitting comfortably in third place with 62 points, the hosts are looking to put on a show in front of their supporters as the season nears its conclusion. At the other end of the spectrum, FC St. Pauli find themselves completely devoid of momentum. The visitors are languishing in sixteenth place, clinging to hopes of Bundesliga survival after a dismal winless streak. The Stakes are absolutely massive for the away side, but breaking down a far superior Leipzig machine will require a minor miracle. With an array of attacking talent on display, expect plenty of penalty-box action, as the underlying metrics point to a combined 3.1 goals per game.
Key Battle
We are closely watching Antonio Nusa operating against Mathias Pereira Lage. Nusa has been lethal out wide for the hosts, slicing through opposition defensive lines with pace and precision. Meanwhile, Pereira Lage carries a heavy offensive burden for a St. Pauli side that must somehow find a way to counter-attack efficiently. If the visitors cannot contain Leipzig's dynamic wide threats and bypass the defensive solidity of C. Lukeba, it will be an incredibly long afternoon. The creative spark provided by X. Simons in the middle of the park only adds to the visitors' monumental defensive task.
Our Prediction
Leipzig are overwhelming favourites, and rightly so. The home side’s superior Stars rating will allow them to dictate the tempo right from the first whistle. St. Pauli will likely sit deep and try to absorb pressure, but they lack the defensive Balance to hold out for 90 minutes. We expect a comprehensive 3-0 victory for RB Leipzig, with the hosts dominating possession, wearing the visitors down, and punishing any lapses in concentration with ruthless efficiency.