Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
Homer Martinez 31'
Rodolfo Pizarro 36'
HT
↓ J. M. Torres Ramirez I. ↑R. Fulgencio 68'
68' ↓ J. Angulo ↑J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
73' ↓ Helinho ↑R. Morales
86' ↓ Paulinho ↑H. Herrera
↓ Guilherme Castilho ↑A. Zaldivar 86'
86' ↓ N. Castro ↑E. del Villar
89' Juan Dominguez
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Toluca
Goalkeepers
Hugo González 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
90
Minutes
Defenders
Diego Barbosa 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
8
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Antonio Briseño
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
100%
Duel Win %
Federico Pereira 
MAGNET
80
Activity
80
Activity
71
Passes
9
Duels
Jesús Gallardo 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Midfielders
Franco Romero 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Marcel Ruiz
MAGNET
67
Activity
67
Activity
61
Passes
6
Duels
Helinho 
ARCHITECT
8
Key Passes
8
Key Passes
0
Assists
26%
Pass Acc
Jesús Angulo
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
25%
Pass Acc
Nicolás Castro
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
37%
Pass Acc
Forwards
Paulinho
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
BENCH
Luis García
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Bruno Méndez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Everardo López
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
4
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alek Álvarez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Francisco Pumpido
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Juan Pablo Domínguez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
22
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Héctor Herrera
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
4
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Fernando Arce
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Oswaldo Virgen
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Robert Morales
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
FC Juarez
Goalkeepers
Sebastián Jurado
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Denzell García
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Diego Ochoa
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Jesús Murillo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alejandro Mayorga
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
5
Tackles
78%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Guilherme Castilho 
NPC
86
Minutes
86
Minutes
13%
Pass Acc
6.6
Rating
Homer Martínez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jairo Torres
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
68
Total Mins
68
Entry
Rodolfo Pizarro
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
José Luis Rodríguez 
PROVOCATEUR
5
Fouls Won
5
Fouls Won
7
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Forwards
Óscar Estupiñán
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
BENCH
Benny Díaz
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Francisco Nevárez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Eder López
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Dieter Villalpando
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Raymundo Fulgencio
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
22
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ricardinho
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jonathan González
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Leonardo Silva
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Israel Larios
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ángel Zaldívar
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
4
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2026 | Toluca | 3 - 1 | FC Juarez | Liga MX | Estadio Nemesio Diez |
| 11/30/2025 | Toluca | 0 - 0 | FC Juarez | Liga MX | Estadio Nemesio Diez |
| 11/27/2025 | FC Juarez | 1 - 2 | Toluca | Liga MX | Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez |
| 08/12/2025 | FC Juarez | 0 - 2 | Toluca | Liga MX | Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez |
| 02/22/2025 | FC Juarez | 0 - 4 | Toluca | Liga MX | Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez |
| 07/14/2024 | Toluca | 3 - 2 | FC Juarez | Liga MX | Estadio Nemesio Díez |
| 03/09/2024 | FC Juarez | 1 - 1 | Toluca | Liga MX | Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez |
| 07/16/2023 | Toluca | 2 - 4 | FC Juarez | Liga MX | Estadio Nemesio Díez |
| 04/23/2023 | Toluca | 1 - 1 | FC Juarez | Liga MX | Estadio Nemesio Díez |
| 10/09/2022 | Toluca | 3 - 0 | FC Juarez | Liga MX | Estadio Nemesio Díez |
Toluca Win
FC Juarez Win
Draw
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Toluca
FC Juarez
Toluca
FC Juarez
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Toluca Advance After Suffocating Juarez
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 27/100. A goalless stalemate at Estadio Nemesio Diez was enough for Toluca to book their semi-final ticket, protecting their 2-1 aggregate lead in a match they completely dominated.
The Opening Act
Toluca came into the second leg of this Quarter-final with a 2-1 advantage, courtesy of first-leg strikes from J. Murillo, Briseño, and Paulinho. The Stakes were enormous, but rather than sitting back to protect their slim lead, the hosts took absolute control from the kickoff. They dominated possession, pinning FC Juarez deep inside their own half. A barrage of early attempts set the tone, with the home side ultimately unleashing 24 shots throughout the contest. Despite needing a goal to keep their season alive, the visitors could not escape the attacking siege. Toluca's suffocating high line ensured the ball rarely left the Juarez defensive third, completely neutralizing any counter-attacking threat before it could materialize.
The Pivot
As the match wore on, the sheer Intensity of Toluca's pressure became the defining narrative. They racked up an expected goals tally of 2.28, knocking on the door repeatedly, yet they lacked the final clinical touch to completely kill off the tie on the night. The visitors had to rely heavily on a resilient rearguard action to survive the onslaught. Diego Ochoa and Alejandro Mayorga put in outstanding shifts for the away side, throwing themselves into blocks and clearances to keep the scoreline level. However, offensive Balance was entirely non-existent for Juarez. They failed to register a single shot on target, let alone a touch inside the opposition penalty area, rendering their comeback hopes impossible.
Resolution
The final whistle at Estadio Nemesio Diez confirmed Toluca's passage to the semi-finals, successfully completing the job started in the first leg. While they might be frustrated not to have converted their 63% possession and 14 shots inside the box into goals, their game management was flawless. Antonio Briseño anchored the backline perfectly, ensuring Juarez never even had a sniff of the Upset Factor. The visitors exit the competition with a whimper, having offered nothing in the final third when their tournament life depended on it. Toluca march forward, and while this specific 90 minutes lacked fireworks, their defensive solidity and total pitch control serve as a serious warning to the rest of the league.
Key Questions
What does this mean for Toluca's season?
Toluca advances to the Liga MX semi-finals, successfully defending their 2-1 aggregate lead. Their total defensive dominance cements their status as serious title contenders moving forward.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Archive note: this preview was written after the match was played.
Quarter-Final Decider at Nemesio Diez
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 69/100. Toluca hold a priceless first-leg advantage, forcing FC Juarez to throw caution to the wind in a tie that guarantees fireworks.
The Setup
With a 2-1 aggregate lead from the first leg, Toluca are firmly in the driving seat. That initial clash saw J. Murillo, A. Briseno, and Paulinho get on the scoresheet, setting up a tantalizing decider at the Estadio Nemesio Diez. Toluca remain entirely unbeaten this season, carrying a high Form rating that makes them overwhelming favourites. FC Juarez must score at least twice to keep their semi-final dreams alive. High Stakes dictate the visitors have to attack from the first whistle, which could leave them horribly exposed at the back.
Key Battle
The spotlight shines on two players carrying immense Stars appeal. For the hosts, Paulinho is the ultimate focal point. His first-leg goal proved crucial, and he will look to exploit the gaps left by a desperate visiting defense. On the other side, Diego Valoyes represents the visitors' best hope for a comeback. He has to stretch the home defense and create chaos if Juarez want to overturn this massive deficit.
Our Prediction
A modest Balance rating suggests this won't be a tight, cagey affair. Juarez have to push forward, playing right into Toluca's hands. Expect the home side to absorb early pressure before picking the visitors apart on the counter. Our take is a comfortable 3-1 win for Toluca on the night, sealing a dominant aggregate victory.