Al-Nassr 3 - 1 FT Neftchi

Al-Awwal Park

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
37
FT
Mon, Oct 12
Al-Nassr
3-1
Neftchi
⚡ Form 59
⚖️ Balance 47
🏆 Stakes 0
⭐ Stars 60
Al-Nassr overwhelming favorites despite slow start.
Analysis pending

Win Probability

  • Al-Nassr 77%
  • Draw 14%
  • Neftchi 9%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Al-Nassr Out for Blood Against Neftchi

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 37/100. A heavily skewed probability gap makes this continental mismatch a foregone conclusion you can comfortably skip.

The Setup

When Al-Nassr host Neftchi at Al-Awwal Park on October 12, 2026, the league phase standings will tell a deeply deceptive story. The visitors arrive sitting comfortably in 6th place with an opening victory under their belts, showcasing solid early Form. In stark contrast, the Saudi giants languish in 16th after a crushing four-goal defeat. However, the continental Stakes mean the hosts will be desperate to steady the ship, and the Balance of this fixture is incredibly one-sided in their favor. Bookmakers have virtually written off the away side. With elite Stars like Samú Costa pulling the strings for the hosts, Neftchi face a monumental mountain to climb, despite having K. Kouao in their ranks.

Key Battle

This match will be defined by a sheer clash of tactical intent. The home side's attacking midfield unit will relentlessly probe a deep, highly organized visiting backline. Expect wave after wave of heavy pressure against an entrenched low block.

Our Prediction

Al-Nassr will win this 3-0. Any early frustration will dissolve once the opening goal breaks the deadlock, allowing the hosts to coast through the second half with overwhelming possession and clinical finishing.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

No. The extreme imbalance in team quality makes this a highly predictable affair best avoided by neutrals.

What's the expected outcome?

A comfortable home victory, with the hosts dominating possession and breaking down the visitors' defense early.

Where are Al-Nassr and Neftchi in the league table?

Al-Nassr currently sits in 16th place, while Neftchi is enjoying a spot in 6th.

What is Al-Nassr's current form?

They opened their campaign poorly, suffering a heavy defeat that leaves them with a dismal early goal difference.

Who is expected to win this match?

Al-Nassr are overwhelming favorites to secure the three points in front of their home fans.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
61%
39%
Al-Nassr 61%
Neftchi 39%
Shots
16
9
Al-Nassr 16
Neftchi 9
Shots on Target
3
2
Al-Nassr 3
Neftchi 2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
0.59
Al-Nassr 2.19
Neftchi 0.59
Passes
563
291
Al-Nassr 563
Neftchi 291
Corners
5
5
Al-Nassr 5
Neftchi 5
Fouls
4
13
Al-Nassr 4
Neftchi 13
Yellow Cards
1
3
Al-Nassr 1
Neftchi 3
Red Cards
0
1
Al-Nassr 0
Neftchi 1

Match Events

13' 🔄 ↓ Kingsley Coman ↑Ayman Yahya
Ibrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev 🟨 17'
Anvarjon Gofurov 🟨 30'
33' ⚽ Angelo Borges (Nawaf Boushal)
42' ⚽ Cristiano Ronaldo (Ayman Yahya)
Marcus Forss • 45'
↓ Ibrokhimkhalil Yuldoshev ↑Farrukh Sayfiev 🔄 45'
↓ Yan Medeiros Sasse ↑Alisher Odilov 🔄 45'
Marcus Forss 🟨 45'+3
45'+3 🟨 Iñigo Martínez
HT
Alisher Odilov ⚽ 51'
↓ Abrorbek ismoilov ↑Asilbek Jumaev 🔄 62'
↓ Marcus Forss ↑Stipe Perica 🔄 63'
↓ Michel ↑Ratinho 🔄 70'
72' 🔄 ↓ Mohamed Simakan ↑Nader Abdullah Al-Sharari
72' 🔄 ↓ Ayman Yahya ↑Abdullah Al-Khaibari
81' 🔄 ↓ Sadio Mané ↑Abdullah Al-Hamdan
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Al-Nassr

Goalkeepers
Bento
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
1
Fouls Won
1
Fouls Won
1
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Defenders
Nawaf Boushal
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
71%
Duel Win %
Mohamed Simakan
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
72
Total Mins
72
Entry
Íñigo Martínez
MAGNET
MAGNET
78
Activity
78
Activity
74
Passes
4
Duels
Awad Aman
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
K. Coman
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
13
Entry
Ângelo
SNIPER
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Samú Costa
MAGNET
MAGNET
74
Activity
74
Activity
63
Passes
11
Duels
Sadio Mané
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Forwards
João Félix
MAGNET
MAGNET
54
Activity
54
Activity
45
Passes
9
Duels
Cristiano Ronaldo
FINISHER
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
3
Shots
8.2
Rating
BENCH
A. Al Otaibi
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Nader Al Sharari
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sami Al Naji
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Hayder Abdulkareem
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ayman Yahya
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
2
Key Passes
6.6
Rating
Abdullah Al Hamdan
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
9
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Saad Haqawi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Neftchi

Goalkeepers
Botirali Ergashev
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Koffi Kouao
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
6
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Bojan Ciger
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Michel
GHOST
GHOST
10
Actions
10
Actions
70
Minutes
6.1
Rating
Midfielders
Jamshid Iskanderov
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ikromjon Alibaev
FRIENDLY FIRE
FRIENDLY FIRE
Red Card
Mistake
Red Card
Mistake
4
Fouls
5.3
Rating
Yan Sasse
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
46
Total Mins
45
Entry
Forwards
Marcus Forss
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
63
Total Mins
63
Entry
Anvarjon Gofurov
FRIENDLY FIRE
FRIENDLY FIRE
Own Goal
Mistake
Own Goal
Mistake
2
Fouls
5.0
Rating
Abror Ismailov
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
62
Total Mins
62
Entry
BENCH
Akbar Turaev
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Farrukh Sayfiyev
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
44
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ratinho
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
20
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Muhsinjon Ubaydullayev
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
A. Jumayev
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
V. Jovović
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Stipe Perica
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
27
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Bilolkhon Toshmirzaev
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Zoran Marušić
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Khurshid Giyosov
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alisher Odilov
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Al Ain 2 6 8 1 +7 WAl Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 4 Al Ain (12-10-2026)WAl Ain 4 - 0 Al-Nassr (15-09-2026)
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah 2 4 4 2 +2 WAl-Wasl FC 1 - 3 Al-Ahli Jeddah (12-10-2026)DAl-Ahli Jeddah 1 - 1 Pakhtakor (14-09-2026)
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC 2 4 3 2 +1 DPakhtakor 1 - 1 Al-Qadisiyah FC (12-10-2026)WAl-Qadisiyah FC 2 - 1 Al-Wasl FC (14-09-2026)
4 Esteghlal FC 1 3 3 0 +3 WEsteghlal FC 3 - 0 Al Sadd (14-09-2026)
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 3 2 1 +1 WAl-Hilal Saudi FC 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa (15-09-2026)
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 3 1 0 +1 WShabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 - 0 Tractor Sazi (14-09-2026)
7 Neftchi 1 3 1 0 +1 WNeftchi 1 - 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya (14-09-2026)
8 Pakhtakor 2 2 2 2 0 DPakhtakor 1 - 1 Al-Qadisiyah FC (12-10-2026)DAl-Ahli Jeddah 1 - 1 Pakhtakor (14-09-2026)
9 Al Shamal 2 2 1 1 0 DTractor Sazi 0 - 0 Al Shamal (12-10-2026)DAl Shamal 1 - 1 Al-Ittihad FC (14-09-2026)
10 Al-Ittihad FC 1 1 1 1 0 DAl Shamal 1 - 1 Al-Ittihad FC (14-09-2026)
11 Tractor Sazi 2 1 0 1 -1 DTractor Sazi 0 - 0 Al Shamal (12-10-2026)LShabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 - 0 Tractor Sazi (14-09-2026)
12 Al-Gharafa 1 0 1 2 -1 LAl-Hilal Saudi FC 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa (15-09-2026)
13 Al-Wasl FC 2 0 2 5 -3 LAl-Wasl FC 1 - 3 Al-Ahli Jeddah (12-10-2026)LAl-Qadisiyah FC 2 - 1 Al-Wasl FC (14-09-2026)
14 Al Sadd 1 0 0 3 -3 LEsteghlal FC 3 - 0 Al Sadd (14-09-2026)
15 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 0 1 5 -4 LAl Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 4 Al Ain (12-10-2026)LNeftchi 1 - 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya (14-09-2026)
16 Al-Nassr 1 0 0 4 -4 LAl Ain 4 - 0 Al-Nassr (15-09-2026)

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