Pakhtakor vs NS Al-Nassr

Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium

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Futmetrix Verdict
41
Pakhtakor
vs
Al-Nassr
Mon, Nov 2 • 13:45
⚡ Form 28
⚖️ Balance 66
🏆 Stakes 50
⭐ Stars 53
A favourite with a fragile defence

Win Probability

  • Pakhtakor 8%
  • Draw 15%
  • Al-Nassr 77%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Pakhtakor can punish Al-Nassr’s defensive leak

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 41/100. Al-Nassr’s clear advantage meets Pakhtakor’s need for points, while the visitors’ shaky defending gives the home side a route into the game.

The Setup

On November 2, Pakhtakor host Al-Nassr at Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium in round four of the AFC Champions League Elite league phase. Al-Nassr are ninth on three points from two matches; Pakhtakor are 12th with two from three. The visitors have played one fewer, but Pakhtakor cannot let the gap widen. The Form picture is unsettled: Pakhtakor’s listed sequence is LDDW, while Al-Nassr’s is WL. On Balance, the visitors lead, but three goals scored and five conceded in two games expose a weakness. The Stakes are clear: both need points in this 16-club league phase. The Stars dimension favours the visitors, whose attack has already shown a sharper edge.

Key Battle

Zayed Tahseen has a 7.7 average rating across one appearance, with no goal or assist; Ângelo has one goal in one match and averages 8.2. The contrast is clear: Tahseen must keep his influence high, while Ângelo offers the sharper attacking return. If Tahseen disrupts Al-Nassr’s rhythm, Pakhtakor can make the favourite work for openings. If not, Ângelo can turn the visitors’ edge into goals.

Our Prediction

Al-Nassr to win 2-1. Their greater attacking threat should bring more useful possession and the first clear openings; Pakhtakor can stay close by keeping their shape and attacking when possession turns over. The five goals conceded in Al-Nassr’s first two league games are a warning against expecting a clean sheet. Pakhtakor have shown resistance with two draws in three, but the visitors’ quality should settle the key moments.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

For neutrals, this is an easy skip; supporters have a reason to see whether Pakhtakor can punish Al-Nassr’s defensive weakness.

How do we see it ending?

Al-Nassr should win 2-1, with their stronger attack deciding a close game.

Where are Pakhtakor and Al-Nassr in the league table?

Pakhtakor are 12th with two points from three matches; Al-Nassr are ninth with three points from two.

What is Pakhtakor’s current sequence?

Pakhtakor’s listed recent sequence is LDDW.

Which player should draw the eye?

Ângelo is the player to watch: 1 goal in 1 match, with an average rating of 8.2.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Season Statistics

12
League Position
9
2
Points
3
5
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
5

West Region League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Al Ain 3 9 10 2 +8 WAl Ain 2 - 1 Tractor Sazi (26-10-2026)WAl Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 4 Al Ain (12-10-2026)WAl Ain 4 - 0 Al-Nassr (15-09-2026)
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 9 5 1 +4 WShabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 - 0 Esteghlal FC (27-10-2026)WAl-Ittihad FC 1 - 2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (13-10-2026)WShabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 - 0 Tractor Sazi (14-09-2026)
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 7 6 3 +3 WAl-Ahli Jeddah 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa (26-10-2026)WAl-Wasl FC 1 - 3 Al-Ahli Jeddah (12-10-2026)DAl-Ahli Jeddah 1 - 1 Pakhtakor (14-09-2026)
4 Esteghlal FC 3 6 5 3 +2 LShabab Al Ahli Dubai 2 - 0 Esteghlal FC (27-10-2026)WAl-Gharafa 1 - 2 Esteghlal FC (12-10-2026)WEsteghlal FC 3 - 0 Al Sadd (14-09-2026)
5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3 6 5 4 +1 LAl Shamal 3 - 1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (27-10-2026)WAl Sadd 0 - 2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (13-10-2026)WAl-Hilal Saudi FC 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa (15-09-2026)
6 Al Shamal 3 5 4 2 +2 WAl Shamal 3 - 1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (27-10-2026)DTractor Sazi 0 - 0 Al Shamal (12-10-2026)DAl Shamal 1 - 1 Al-Ittihad FC (14-09-2026)
7 Al-Qadisiyah FC 3 5 4 3 +1 DAl-Qadisiyah FC 1 - 1 Al Sadd (26-10-2026)DPakhtakor 1 - 1 Al-Qadisiyah FC (12-10-2026)WAl-Qadisiyah FC 2 - 1 Al-Wasl FC (14-09-2026)
8 Al-Ittihad FC 3 4 4 4 0 WNeftchi 1 - 2 Al-Ittihad FC (26-10-2026)LAl-Ittihad FC 1 - 2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (13-10-2026)DAl Shamal 1 - 1 Al-Ittihad FC (14-09-2026)WAl-Jazira 1 - 4 Al-Ittihad FC (11-08-2026)
9 Al-Nassr 2 3 3 5 -2 WAl-Nassr 3 - 1 Neftchi (12-10-2026)LAl Ain 4 - 0 Al-Nassr (15-09-2026)
10 Neftchi 3 3 3 5 -2 LNeftchi 1 - 2 Al-Ittihad FC (26-10-2026)LAl-Nassr 3 - 1 Neftchi (12-10-2026)WNeftchi 1 - 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya (14-09-2026)
11 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 3 2 5 -3 WAl Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 0 Pakhtakor (26-10-2026)LAl Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 4 Al Ain (12-10-2026)LNeftchi 1 - 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya (14-09-2026)
12 Pakhtakor 3 2 2 3 -1 LAl Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 0 Pakhtakor (26-10-2026)DPakhtakor 1 - 1 Al-Qadisiyah FC (12-10-2026)DAl-Ahli Jeddah 1 - 1 Pakhtakor (14-09-2026)WPakhtakor 3 - 0 Al Hussein (11-08-2026)
13 Tractor Sazi 3 1 1 3 -2 LAl Ain 2 - 1 Tractor Sazi (26-10-2026)DTractor Sazi 0 - 0 Al Shamal (12-10-2026)LShabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 - 0 Tractor Sazi (14-09-2026)
14 Al Sadd 3 1 1 6 -5 DAl-Qadisiyah FC 1 - 1 Al Sadd (26-10-2026)LAl Sadd 0 - 2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC (13-10-2026)LEsteghlal FC 3 - 0 Al Sadd (14-09-2026)
15 Al-Gharafa 3 0 3 6 -3 LAl-Ahli Jeddah 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa (26-10-2026)LAl-Gharafa 1 - 2 Esteghlal FC (12-10-2026)LAl-Hilal Saudi FC 2 - 1 Al-Gharafa (15-09-2026)
16 Al-Wasl FC 2 0 2 5 -3 LAl-Wasl FC 1 - 3 Al-Ahli Jeddah (12-10-2026)LAl-Qadisiyah FC 2 - 1 Al-Wasl FC (14-09-2026)

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