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Futmetrix Verdict
84
FT
Sat, Oct 10
Español
Alaves
1-2
Atletico Madrid
⚡ Intensity 85
⚖️ Balance 42
🏆 Stakes 46
🎲 Upset 0
Romero's late strike breaks Alavés hearts.

Win Probability

  • Alaves 22%
  • Draw 26%
  • Atletico Madrid 52%

Futmetrix AI estimate

A Mendizorroza Masterclass of Chaos and Late Drama

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 84/100. A gruelling tactical battle turned into a frantic one-sided shootout, decided only by a late killer blow that keeps the visitors hunting the top spot.

The Opening Exchanges

The atmosphere inside Estadio de Mendizorroza was electric from the jump. The visitors dominated possession early, passing meticulously to pry open the deep backline. This tactical probing paid off in the 33rd minute when Alejandro Grimaldo struck a piercing opener, courtesy of a clever feed from Jonathan David. Our verdict on this early phase is clear: it set a relentless tempo that demanded an immediate response. Right before the half-time whistle, the hosts found their vital lifeline. Lucas Boyé stepped up to the spot and ruthlessly converted a high-pressure penalty. The soaring Intensity rating reflects a brutal, end-to-end first half where neither side wanted to concede an inch in this critical La Liga encounter.

The VAR Turning Point

A finely poised match unraveled entirely just past the hour mark. Angel Pérez Hidalgo committed a reckless challenge that initially slipped under the radar, but a swift VAR review rightly upgraded his punishment to a straight red card. This monumental pivot completely obliterated the Balance of the contest. Reduced to ten men, the home side retreated into a desperate low block to simply survive. Atletico Madrid smelled blood and ruthlessly pinned them back. A barrage of 20 total shots and intense corner pressure turned the penalty area into a chaotic shooting gallery. The visitors dictated the rhythm entirely, launching wave after wave of attacks while their exhausted opponents cleared lines desperately.

The Final Dagger

The sustained siege finally broke the defensive dam just minutes before stoppage time. Substitute Alejandro Baena Rodríguez completely altered the final-third dynamics, threading a perfect ball for Cristian Romero to bury the 87th-minute winner. It was a heartbreaking moment for Alaves, who had fought valiantly despite their steep numerical disadvantage. The immense Stakes surrounding the Champions League spots made this victory absolutely vital for the away side, keeping them firmly in the title race just five points off the summit. For the hosts, dropping points so late stings bitterly, but their stubborn and courageous resistance proves they belong in the European playoff conversation.

Key Questions

How did the red card for Angel Pérez Hidalgo impact the match?

The 61st-minute sending-off shattered Alavés's defensive structure, handing Atléti total control and paving the way for a relentless attacking siege that ultimately produced the winning goal.

How dramatic was the late winner by Alejandro Grimaldo?

While Grimaldo struck a brilliant 33rd-minute opener, it was actually Cristian Romero who delivered the ultimate drama with a ruthless 87th-minute winner to steal the points.

What does this mean for Alaves's season?

Despite the bitter defeat, they remain sixth. Keeping pace in the European playoff race requires bouncing back quickly from this incredibly exhausting defensive effort.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
32%
68%
Alaves 32%
Atletico Madrid 68%
Shots
8
20
Alaves 8
Atletico Madrid 20
Shots on Target
3
7
Alaves 3
Atletico Madrid 7
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
2.06
Alaves 1.13
Atletico Madrid 2.06
Passes
333
702
Alaves 333
Atletico Madrid 702
Corners
0
10
Alaves 0
Atletico Madrid 10
Fouls
11
14
Alaves 11
Atletico Madrid 14
Yellow Cards
0
3
Alaves 0
Atletico Madrid 3
Red Cards
1
0
Alaves 1
Atletico Madrid 0

Match Events

Alejandro Grimaldo (Jonathan David) ⚽ 33'
Ademola Lookman 🟨 45'
↓ Ademola Lookman ↑Julián Álvarez 🔄 45'
↓ Jonathan David ↑Alejandro Baena Rodríguez 🔄 45'
Robin Le Normand 🟨 45'+1
45'+6 ⚽ Lucas Boyé
HT
↓ Pablo Barrios Rivas ↑Lee Kang-In 🔄 57'
↓ Robin Le Normand ↑Dávid Hancko 🔄 62'
64' 🔄 ↓ Toni Martínez ↑Mariano Díaz
64' 🔄 ↓ Antonio Blanco ↑Carlos Protesoni
64' 🔄 ↓ Lucas Boyé ↑Ander Guevara
71' 🔄 ↓ Nicolas Valentini ↑Ville Koski
↓ Giuliano Simeone Baldini ↑Alexander Sørloth 🔄 73'
79' 🔄 ↓ Denis Suárez ↑Aitor Mañas
Cristian Romero (Alejandro Baena Rodríguez) ⚽ 87'
Johnny Cardoso 🟨 90'+2
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Alaves

Goalkeepers
Antonio Sivera
OCTOPUS
OCTOPUS
5
Saves
5
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
Defenders
Angel Pérez
FRIENDLY FIRE
FRIENDLY FIRE
Red Card
Mistake
Red Card
Mistake
2
Fouls
5.5
Rating
Nahuel Tenaglia
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
6
Tackles
73%
Duel Win %
Nicolás Valentini
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
71
Total Mins
71
Entry
Jonny Otto
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
Denis Suárez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
11
Late Mins
11
Late Mins
79
Total Mins
79
Entry
Antonio Blanco
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
64
Total Mins
64
Entry
Pablo Ibáñez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Abderrahman Rebbach
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Lucas Boyé
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Toni Martínez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
64
Total Mins
64
Entry
BENCH
Adrián Rodríguez
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Youssef Enríquez Lekhedim
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ville Koski
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
19
Total Mins
Started
Entry
X. Olaiz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Selu Diallo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Carles Aleñá
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ander Guevara
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
26
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Carlos Benavídez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
26
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mariano Díaz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
26
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Aitor Mañas
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Hugo Novoa
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Miguel Rodríguez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Atletico Madrid

Goalkeepers
Jan Oblak
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Marcos Llorente
WALL
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
71%
Duel Win %
Robin Le Normand
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
62
Total Mins
62
Entry
Cristian Romero
CLUTCH HERO
CLUTCH HERO
87
Goal Time
87
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.8
Rating
Álex Grimaldo
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
6
Key Passes
6
Key Passes
0
Assists
56%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Giuliano Simeone
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
73
Total Mins
73
Entry
Johnny Cardoso
MAGNET
MAGNET
94
Activity
94
Activity
79
Passes
15
Duels
Koke
MAGNET
MAGNET
131
Activity
131
Activity
122
Passes
9
Duels
Pablo Barrios
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
57
Total Mins
57
Entry
Forwards
Ademola Lookman
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
0
Interceptions
3
Blocks
Jonathan David
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7.3
Rating
BENCH
Juan Musso
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Marc Pubill
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Dávid Hancko
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
28
Total Mins
Started
Entry
J. Dominguez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daniel Martinez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lee Kang-In
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
33
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Morten Hjulmand
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
J. Castillo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Álex Baena
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
1
Assists
21%
Pass Acc
Alexander Sørloth
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Arnau Ortiz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Julián Álvarez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
44
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
01/18/2026 Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Alaves La Liga Metropolitano Stadium
08/30/2025 Alaves 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid La Liga Estadio Mendizorrotza
05/03/2025 Alaves 0 - 0 Atletico Madrid La Liga Estadio de Mendizorroza
11/23/2024 Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves La Liga Riyadh Air Metropolitano
04/21/2024 Alaves 2 - 0 Atletico Madrid La Liga Estadio de Mendizorroza
10/29/2023 Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Alaves La Liga Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
04/02/2022 Atletico Madrid 4 - 1 Alaves La Liga Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
09/25/2021 Alaves 1 - 0 Atletico Madrid La Liga Estadio de Mendizorroza
03/21/2021 Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Alaves La Liga Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
01/03/2021 Alaves 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid La Liga Estadio de Mendizorroza
01/18/2026
La Liga Metropolitano Stadium
08/30/2025
La Liga Estadio Mendizorrotza
05/03/2025
La Liga Estadio de Mendizorroza
11/23/2024
La Liga Riyadh Air Metropolitano
04/21/2024
La Liga Estadio de Mendizorroza
10/29/2023
La Liga Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
04/02/2022
La Liga Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
09/25/2021
La Liga Estadio de Mendizorroza
03/21/2021
La Liga Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
01/03/2021
La Liga Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves Win
Atletico Madrid Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Barcelona 8 24 34 7 +27 WBarcelona 3 - 0 Getafe (10-10-2026)WSevilla 1 - 3 Barcelona (19-09-2026)WBarcelona 7 - 2 Racing Santander (16-09-2026)WLevante 2 - 4 Barcelona (13-09-2026)WValencia 0 - 5 Barcelona (06-09-2026)
2 Atletico Madrid 8 19 18 8 +10 WAlaves 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid (10-10-2026)WAtletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid (20-09-2026)WAtletico Madrid 4 - 0 Osasuna (16-09-2026)WReal Sociedad 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid (13-09-2026)LAthletic Club 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid (05-09-2026)
3 Real Betis 8 19 14 9 +5 WReal Betis 5 - 2 Osasuna (11-10-2026)DDeportivo La Coruna 1 - 1 Real Betis (20-09-2026)WReal Betis 1 - 0 Getafe (17-09-2026)WVillarreal 1 - 2 Real Betis (14-09-2026)WReal Betis 1 - 0 Real Madrid (04-09-2026)
4 Real Madrid 8 18 19 8 +11 WReal Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal (10-10-2026)LAtletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid (20-09-2026)WElche 2 - 3 Real Madrid (15-09-2026)WReal Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano (12-09-2026)LReal Betis 1 - 0 Real Madrid (04-09-2026)
5 Sevilla 8 14 13 12 +1 DLevante 3 - 3 Sevilla (12-10-2026)LSevilla 1 - 3 Barcelona (19-09-2026)WDeportivo La Coruna 0 - 1 Sevilla (16-09-2026)WSevilla 1 - 0 Valencia (11-09-2026)DEspanyol 1 - 1 Sevilla (06-09-2026)
6 Real Sociedad 8 13 12 15 -3 WReal Sociedad 3 - 2 Deportivo La Coruna (11-10-2026)WValencia 2 - 3 Real Sociedad (20-09-2026)LReal Sociedad 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid (13-09-2026)WElche 2 - 3 Real Sociedad (07-09-2026)DReal Sociedad 0 - 0 Celta Vigo (03-09-2026)
7 Alaves 8 11 12 8 +4 LAlaves 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid (10-10-2026)DAthletic Club 0 - 0 Alaves (19-09-2026)LAlaves 0 - 1 Valencia (15-09-2026)LRacing Santander 2 - 1 Alaves (12-09-2026)WAlaves 5 - 2 Osasuna (06-09-2026)
8 Deportivo La Coruna 8 10 12 11 +1 LReal Sociedad 3 - 2 Deportivo La Coruna (11-10-2026)DDeportivo La Coruna 1 - 1 Real Betis (20-09-2026)LDeportivo La Coruna 0 - 1 Sevilla (16-09-2026)DGetafe 1 - 1 Deportivo La Coruna (13-09-2026)WVillarreal 2 - 3 Deportivo La Coruna (05-09-2026)
9 Celta Vigo 8 8 8 6 +2 DElche 0 - 0 Celta Vigo (11-10-2026)WCelta Vigo 5 - 0 Racing Santander (19-09-2026)DCelta Vigo 1 - 1 Malaga (13-09-2026)DGetafe 1 - 1 Celta Vigo (07-09-2026)DReal Sociedad 0 - 0 Celta Vigo (03-09-2026)
10 Athletic Club 6 8 7 6 +1 DAthletic Club 0 - 0 Alaves (19-09-2026)DAthletic Club 1 - 1 Elche (12-09-2026)WAthletic Club 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid (05-09-2026)WCelta Vigo 0 - 2 Athletic Club (30-08-2026)LBarcelona 2 - 0 Athletic Club (27-08-2026)
11 Villarreal 8 8 13 13 0 LReal Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal (10-10-2026)WVillarreal 3 - 1 Levante (20-09-2026)WMalaga 1 - 3 Villarreal (17-09-2026)LVillarreal 1 - 2 Real Betis (14-09-2026)LVillarreal 2 - 3 Deportivo La Coruna (05-09-2026)
12 Espanyol 8 8 11 11 0 DMalaga 1 - 1 Espanyol (09-10-2026)LEspanyol 1 - 3 Elche (18-09-2026)LRayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Espanyol (15-09-2026)WOsasuna 0 - 2 Espanyol (12-09-2026)DEspanyol 1 - 1 Sevilla (06-09-2026)
13 Rayo Vallecano 7 8 11 16 -5 DOsasuna 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano (19-09-2026)WRayo Vallecano 2 - 1 Espanyol (15-09-2026)LReal Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano (12-09-2026)WRayo Vallecano 3 - 2 Racing Santander (05-09-2026)LBarcelona 5 - 2 Rayo Vallecano (31-08-2026)
14 Getafe 8 8 4 10 -6 LBarcelona 3 - 0 Getafe (10-10-2026)WGetafe 1 - 0 Malaga (20-09-2026)LReal Betis 1 - 0 Getafe (17-09-2026)DGetafe 1 - 1 Deportivo La Coruna (13-09-2026)DGetafe 1 - 1 Celta Vigo (07-09-2026)
15 Racing Santander 8 8 13 23 -10 DRacing Santander 2 - 2 Valencia (11-10-2026)LCelta Vigo 5 - 0 Racing Santander (19-09-2026)LBarcelona 7 - 2 Racing Santander (16-09-2026)WRacing Santander 2 - 1 Alaves (12-09-2026)LRayo Vallecano 3 - 2 Racing Santander (05-09-2026)
16 Osasuna 8 8 8 18 -10 LReal Betis 5 - 2 Osasuna (11-10-2026)DOsasuna 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano (19-09-2026)LAtletico Madrid 4 - 0 Osasuna (16-09-2026)LOsasuna 0 - 2 Espanyol (12-09-2026)LAlaves 5 - 2 Osasuna (06-09-2026)
17 Levante 7 6 11 15 -4 DLevante 3 - 3 Sevilla (12-10-2026)LVillarreal 3 - 1 Levante (20-09-2026)LLevante 2 - 4 Barcelona (13-09-2026)DMalaga 0 - 0 Levante (06-09-2026)WLevante 5 - 2 Real Betis (29-08-2026)
18 Elche 8 6 11 17 -6 DElche 0 - 0 Celta Vigo (11-10-2026)WEspanyol 1 - 3 Elche (18-09-2026)LElche 2 - 3 Real Madrid (15-09-2026)DAthletic Club 1 - 1 Elche (12-09-2026)LElche 2 - 3 Real Sociedad (07-09-2026)
19 Valencia 8 5 6 15 -9 DRacing Santander 2 - 2 Valencia (11-10-2026)LValencia 2 - 3 Real Sociedad (20-09-2026)WAlaves 0 - 1 Valencia (15-09-2026)LSevilla 1 - 0 Valencia (11-09-2026)LValencia 0 - 5 Barcelona (06-09-2026)
20 Malaga 8 4 4 13 -9 DMalaga 1 - 1 Espanyol (09-10-2026)LGetafe 1 - 0 Malaga (20-09-2026)LMalaga 1 - 3 Villarreal (17-09-2026)DCelta Vigo 1 - 1 Malaga (13-09-2026)DMalaga 0 - 0 Levante (06-09-2026)

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