Match Preview

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Futmetrix Verdict
87
FC Cincinnati
vs
Nashville SC
Sat, Nov 7 • 21:00
⚡ Form 73
⚖️ Balance 97
🏆 Stakes 49
⭐ Stars 81
Nashville lead, Cincinnati’s attacking threat

Win Probability

  • FC Cincinnati 37%
  • Draw 25%
  • Nashville SC 38%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Nashville SC set the pace; FC Cincinnati bring the goals

Must-Watch Futmetrix Score: 87/100. Nashville arrive top of the table, but Cincinnati’s attacking output makes this final-round visit a meaningful obstacle for the leaders.

The Setup

The title story sits with Nashville, not as a direct race with Cincinnati: the leaders are 28 points clear. After 33 matches, Nashville have 22 wins, three defeats and a plus-44 goal difference, with 69 scored and only 25 conceded. Cincinnati’s 67 goals show their threat, but 73 conceded leave them seventh on 46 points. At TQL Stadium, the hosts must attack without gifting space.

The Form line reads W-D-W-W-L for Cincinnati, with three wins in five; Nashville’s W-D-W-D-W means they are unbeaten across that run. Balance favours the visitors, whose defence has conceded 48 fewer goals. The Stakes: Nashville protect their position at the summit in the regular-season finale, while Cincinnati can spoil the finish.

Key Battle

Evander against S. Surridge is the sharpest individual duel. Evander has one goal and three assists in his last five matches, and must find passes through Nashville’s compact shape. S. Surridge has three goals in five; give him space behind Cincinnati’s back line and he can punish it. The Stars point to contrasting routes: creation for the hosts, finishing for the leaders.

Our Prediction

Expect Cincinnati to press and feed Evander between the lines. Nashville can stay narrow, draw out the home defence and attack the gaps in transition. The visitors’ defensive record makes them the pick, though Cincinnati’s goals should keep it tight: 1-2 to Nashville.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes. Nashville’s title-leading campaign meets Cincinnati’s scoring threat, with the leaders’ defensive record facing a serious challenge.

What’s the expected outcome?

Expect Nashville to win 2-1 by absorbing pressure and exploiting the space Cincinnati leave as they push forward.

Where are FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC in the league table?

Nashville SC lead on 74 points; FC Cincinnati are seventh with 46. Both have played 33 matches.

What is FC Cincinnati’s current Form?

W-D-W-W-L: Cincinnati have won three of their last five, with one draw and one defeat.

Who is the player to watch?

S. Surridge: 3 goals in 5 matches, averaging a 7.2 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/30/2026 Nashville SC 4 - 0 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Geodis Park
09/13/2025 FC Cincinnati 2 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
03/30/2025 Nashville SC 1 - 2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer Geodis Park
09/22/2024 Nashville SC 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
05/29/2024 FC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Nashville SC Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
08/05/2023 FC Cincinnati 1 - 1 (PEN 4-5) Nashville SC Leagues Cup TQL Stadium
07/15/2023 FC Cincinnati 3 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
03/26/2023 Nashville SC 0 - 1 FC Cincinnati Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
02/17/2023 Nashville SC 6 - 3 FC Cincinnati Friendlies Clubs Al Lang Stadium
07/23/2022 FC Cincinnati 1 - 1 Nashville SC Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
08/30/2026
Major League Soccer Geodis Park
09/13/2025
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
03/30/2025
Major League Soccer Geodis Park
09/22/2024
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
05/29/2024
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
08/05/2023
1 - 1 (PEN 4-5)
Leagues Cup TQL Stadium
07/15/2023
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
03/26/2023
Major League Soccer GEODIS Park
02/17/2023
Friendlies Clubs Al Lang Stadium
07/23/2022
Major League Soccer TQL Stadium
FC Cincinnati Win
Nashville SC Win
Draw

Season Statistics

7
League Position
1
46
Points
74
67
Goals Scored
69
73
Goals Conceded
25

Eastern Conference League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Nashville SC 33 74 69 25 +44 WNashville SC 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (01-11-2026)DNashville SC 0 - 0 Philadelphia Union (29-10-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville SC (24-10-2026)DSan Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville SC (18-10-2026)WNashville SC 4 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (15-10-2026)
2 Inter Miami 33 59 77 56 +21 WNew England Revolution 1 - 2 Inter Miami (02-11-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (28-10-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami (24-10-2026)WAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)
3 New England Revolution 33 58 55 46 +9 LNew England Revolution 1 - 2 Inter Miami (02-11-2026)WNew England Revolution 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (28-10-2026)WPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New England Revolution (24-10-2026)WNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 3 New England Revolution (14-10-2026)
4 Chicago Fire 33 55 61 50 +11 WColorado Rapids 2 - 4 Chicago Fire (01-11-2026)DChicago Fire 2 - 2 Orlando City SC (29-10-2026)WAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Chicago Fire (24-10-2026)LNew England Revolution 1 - 0 Chicago Fire (17-10-2026)LChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)
5 Charlotte 33 53 63 48 +15 WCharlotte 4 - 0 Orlando City SC (31-10-2026)WCharlotte 4 - 0 CF Montreal (28-10-2026)LPortland Timbers 3 - 2 Charlotte (25-10-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)
6 Philadelphia Union 33 47 62 51 +11 LFC Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union (31-10-2026)DNashville SC 0 - 0 Philadelphia Union (29-10-2026)LPhiladelphia Union 1 - 2 New England Revolution (24-10-2026)DPhiladelphia Union 2 - 2 Charlotte (17-10-2026)WChicago Fire 1 - 3 Philadelphia Union (15-10-2026)
7 FC Cincinnati 33 46 67 73 -6 WFC Cincinnati 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union (31-10-2026)DInter Miami 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati (28-10-2026)WDC United 0 - 2 FC Cincinnati (24-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United (21-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)
8 Columbus Crew 33 44 55 49 +6 WColumbus Crew 3 - 0 DC United (31-10-2026)WFC Dallas 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (29-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto FC (24-10-2026)WFC Cincinnati 0 - 2 Columbus Crew (18-10-2026)WColumbus Crew 3 - 1 Charlotte (14-10-2026)
9 Orlando City SC 33 43 62 78 -16 LCharlotte 4 - 0 Orlando City SC (31-10-2026)DChicago Fire 2 - 2 Orlando City SC (29-10-2026)DOrlando City SC 2 - 2 New York City FC (24-10-2026)WOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)
10 New York Red Bulls 33 39 45 62 -17 LNashville SC 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (01-11-2026)LNew England Revolution 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls (28-10-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Inter Miami (24-10-2026)LNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)LDC United 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls (14-10-2026)
11 New York City FC 33 39 48 45 +3 DNew York City FC 1 - 1 CF Montreal (31-10-2026)WNew York City FC 2 - 1 Atlanta United FC (28-10-2026)DOrlando City SC 2 - 2 New York City FC (24-10-2026)DNew York City FC 1 - 1 Los Angeles FC (17-10-2026)LInter Miami 2 - 0 New York City FC (14-10-2026)
12 Toronto FC 33 39 51 63 -12 LAtlanta United FC 3 - 1 Toronto FC (01-11-2026)WToronto FC 2 - 1 DC United (28-10-2026)LColumbus Crew 4 - 2 Toronto FC (24-10-2026)WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 Toronto FC (17-10-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC (14-10-2026)
13 Atlanta United FC 33 33 43 57 -14 WAtlanta United FC 3 - 1 Toronto FC (01-11-2026)LNew York City FC 2 - 1 Atlanta United FC (28-10-2026)LAtlanta United FC 2 - 3 Chicago Fire (24-10-2026)LAtlanta United FC 1 - 3 Inter Miami (17-10-2026)WCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)
14 DC United 33 33 39 60 -21 LColumbus Crew 3 - 0 DC United (31-10-2026)LToronto FC 2 - 1 DC United (28-10-2026)LDC United 0 - 2 FC Cincinnati (24-10-2026)LFC Cincinnati 2 - 1 DC United (21-10-2026)LOrlando City SC 4 - 1 DC United (17-10-2026)
15 CF Montreal 33 26 37 67 -30 DNew York City FC 1 - 1 CF Montreal (31-10-2026)LCharlotte 4 - 0 CF Montreal (28-10-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 2 Nashville SC (24-10-2026)DSeattle Sounders 1 - 1 CF Montreal (18-10-2026)LCF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC (14-10-2026)

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