Alaves 0 - 1 FT Celta Vigo

Aspas Delivers the Decisive Blow: Celta Vigo Steals Three Points in the Shadows

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 23/100. A ruthless 55th-minute penalty conversion by Iago Aspas proves that in La Liga's tight mid-table battle, a single moment of intensity can rewrite entire seasons.

The Upset Factor Materializes from Twelve Yards

Celta Vigo arrived as uncomfortable visitors, but Iago Aspas transformed the entire narrative with a clinical execution from the penalty spot. The Galician striker, posting a 7.6 rating, didn't hesitate when stakes demanded perfection. That 55th-minute strike wasn't merely a technical finish—it was the gulf between two sides fighting for breathing room in La Liga's middle ranks.

The statistics expose a match where balance proved deceptively fragile. Alavés commanded possession (52%) and crafted openings, yet their five shots generated minimal genuine threat. Celta Vigo, despite minority territorial control, demonstrated superior offensive clarity. Seven shots—four on target—against Alavés' five tells the story: the visitors hunted with calculated intensity, while the hosts merely went through the motions.

This result embodies pure upset value. Pre-match probabilities slightly favored Alavés, yet reality delivered the opposite. Celta Vigo, languishing in 12th with 16 points, now adds this crucial scalp to their recent resurgence. Alavés, sitting 14th with 15 points, watches how 52% possession and 21 fouls committed yielded nothing but regret.

Alavés vs Celta Vigo: Mediocrity's Embrace

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 45/100. Two teams trapped in the middle table clash in a match with zero Stakes—a 14th vs 12th showdown that changes nothing for either side.

The Setup

Alavés is drowning in poor Form (LLLWL), while Celta Vigo barely treads water with 16 points from 14 matches. The Balance is eerily even—both sit on -3 goal difference—but there's no drama when neither has real ambitions. Three points shifts nothing. Celta's marginally better run (LWLWW) offers slight hope, but Alavés's defensive fragility masks any tactical edge.

Key Battle

Without elite talent on either side, this becomes a grinding midfield duel where possession and transition speed matter more than technique. Whoever avoids defensive chaos wins. It's efficiency vs. inconsistency—not a battle of stars, but of discipline.

Our Prediction

1-1 draw. Celta will probe early and likely score first, exploiting Alavés's shaky backline. But Alavés will equalize through sheer persistence, and both teams will settle for a point they don't deserve. A forgettable 90 minutes that perfectly encapsulates their seasons: competent enough to avoid relegation, too blunt to climb.