J1 League Gameweek 14
Avispa Fukuoka vs NS V-varen Nagasaki
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Futmetrix Verdict
46
FT
Sun, Nov 1
Racing Santander
0-3
Real Madrid
⚡ Intensity
48
⚖️ Balance
11
🏆 Stakes
49
🎲 Upset
0
Three early blows, one late reprieve denied
Futmetrix Verdict
19
Deportivo La Coruna
vs
Osasuna
Mon, Nov 2 • 20:00 UTC
⚡ Form
36
⚖️ Balance
66
🏆 Stakes
10
⭐ Stars
49
Same points, different defensive questions
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/15/2026 | V-varen Nagasaki | 1 - 0 | Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League | Peace Stadium |
| 07/13/2022 | Avispa Fukuoka | 2 - 0 | V-varen Nagasaki | Emperor Cup | Transcosmos Stadium |
| 09/27/2020 | V-varen Nagasaki | 1 - 3 | Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League | Transcosmos Stadium |
| 07/04/2020 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 - 2 | V-varen Nagasaki | J2 League | Level-5 Stadium |
| 09/07/2019 | V-varen Nagasaki | 1 - 0 | Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League | transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (Isahaya) |
| 03/02/2019 | Avispa Fukuoka | 0 - 0 | V-varen Nagasaki | J2 League | Hakatanomori Athletic Stadium (Fukuoka) |
03/15/2026
07/13/2022
09/27/2020
07/04/2020
09/07/2019
03/02/2019
Avispa Fukuoka Win
V-varen Nagasaki Win
Draw
League Standings
League Standings
P: 13 GD: +23
P: 13 GD: +22
P: 13 GD: +20
P: 13 GD: +10
P: 13 GD: +9
P: 13 GD: +7
P: 13 GD: +5
P: 13 GD: +6
P: 13 GD: -6
P: 13 GD: -6
P: 13 GD: -6
P: 13 GD: -10
P: 13 GD: -12
P: 13 GD: -6
P: 13 GD: -5
P: 13 GD: -7
P: 13 GD: -11
P: 13 GD: -9
P: 13 GD: -13
Match Preview
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Avispa Fukuoka
V-varen Nagasaki
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Five points apart, with pressure rising
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 25/100. Our verdict: with Avispa Fukuoka rooted to 20th and V-varen Nagasaki five points ahead in 15th, this regular-season meeting carries real survival pressure.
The Setup
On 7 November 2026, Avispa Fukuoka have a chance to close that gap at Best Denki Stadium. They sit 20th on seven points after four straight defeats; just two home wins in seven matches underline how little comfort their own ground has brought. Their latest five-match sequence ends with a win, but 13 goals scored and 24 conceded leave little room for error. V-varen Nagasaki are 15th on 12 points after 13 matches. Their recent run is uneven, yet they have more breathing room and a chance to push Fukuoka deeper into trouble. The Stakes are immediate, while the Form picture is poor on both sides. T. Miki must steady the home midfield; Matheus Jesus gives Nagasaki a creative outlet, with one goal and two assists across his last five matches. The Stars angle matters less than which side handles the pressure.
Key Battle
The central contest is unit against unit: Avispa’s midfield press against Nagasaki’s first pass out of defence. If the hosts close the lanes and win second balls, they can pin the visitors back without leaving space behind. If Nagasaki play through that first wave, their midfield can run at a home defence that has conceded 24 times. The Balance is fragile; one lost duel could decide who controls the tempo. This is more about shape than flair, and that points towards a tight game.
Our Prediction
Our call is a 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka win. The home side should press with urgency while keeping numbers behind the ball, then turn loose passes and set pieces into pressure. Nagasaki should enjoy spells of possession, but Fukuoka’s greater need for points gives them the edge in a low-scoring contest. A narrow win would not solve the season, but it would give the hosts a valuable foothold in the survival battle.
Key Questions
Should I watch this match?
If you want goals and open football, skip it. The draw is survival pressure and a likely tense, low-scoring contest.
What’s the expected outcome?
Avispa Fukuoka to win 1-0, with a compact home display and pressure from turnovers deciding a cagey match.
Where are Avispa Fukuoka and V-varen Nagasaki in the league table?
Avispa are 20th on seven points; V-varen Nagasaki are 15th on 12 after 13 matches.
What is Avispa Fukuoka’s current form?
They have lost four straight, though their latest five-match sequence is four defeats followed by a win.
Who is the player to watch?
K. Yasuda of V-varen Nagasaki: 3 goals in 5 matches, averaging a 6.9 rating.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.