Bournemouth 2 - 1 FT Brighton

Scott's Clinical Finish and Semenyo's Spot-Kick Composure Tame Brighton's Comeback Bid

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 70/100. Bournemouth weathered Balance chaos and a penalty-kick narrative to edge a Brighton side fighting for Premier League footing.

When Early Dominance Met Mid-Match Disruption

Alex Scott struck in the 18th minute—a clinical finish off Antoine Semenyo's assist—and the Cherries looked primed to cruise. Bournemouth's Intensity was suffocating early, 13 shots to Brighton's trickle. But Brighton emerged from halftime with teeth. Kaoru Mitoma's 48th-minute equalizer, set up by Yankuba Minteh, flipped the script. Suddenly, the Stakes tightened. A team fighting relegation form (four games, one win) had clawed back.

Then came the turning point: the 61st-minute penalty. Semenyo stepped up with ice water in his veins, converting to restore Bournemouth's lead. The Balance shifted again—three lead changes across 90 minutes, a pendulum that never settled. Brighton pressed but couldn't find the breakthrough. Bournemouth's defensive resolve, tested by a barrage of eight yellow cards and constant pressure, held firm.

The Numbers Tell a Story of Tactical Tension

Bournemouth dominated the shot count (13 to 6) and expected goals (1.45 vs 0.62), yet the scoreline barely reflected that superiority. Brighton's goalkeeper made three saves to Bournemouth's one—a reminder that clinical finishing matters more than volume. The Cherries' 51% possession masked their directness; they didn't need the ball to win it.

For Bournemouth, this victory extends an unbeaten run to three wins in four games. For Brighton, the defeat compounds a season spiraling toward the bottom half. The Stakes of this fixture—Bournemouth fighting to stay among the elite, Brighton scrapping to avoid the drop zone—gave every moment weight, even if the football wasn't always fluid.

Deadlock Looming as South Coast Rivals Collide

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 23/100. This clash is a pure battle for upper-mid-table supremacy between two sides locked on 19 points in the standings.

The Setup

As the Premier League returns on September 13, 2025, Bournemouth and Brighton find themselves in a statistical mirror match. Despite the Cherries occupying 9th and the Seagulls 7th, both clubs have amassed 19 points, making this a true test of their European aspirations. The match at the stadium presents a contrast in Form; while Bournemouth have struggled for consistency with just one win in their last five, Brighton have maintained a steadier Balance, losing only once in their previous five outings. For the hosts, the reliability of Đorđe Petrović between the posts—averaging 2.7 saves per game—will be vital against an away side that excels at finding pockets of space.

Key Battle

The tactical heart of this match lies in the transition game. Bournemouth’s aggressive, high-pressing forward unit will attempt to suffocate Brighton’s patient buildup play. Without a clear individual mismatch, the Stakes will be decided by how effectively the Brighton midfield can bypass the first wave of pressure to exploit the space behind the Cherries' high defensive line. If the home side can force turnovers in the final third, they will look to feed their Stars quickly to catch the Seagulls out of position.

Our Prediction

Expect a cagey affair where neither side is willing to overcommit and lose ground in the race for the top seven. Bournemouth will use their home advantage to start fast, likely testing the Brighton backline early through direct play. However, Brighton’s superior technical composure should allow them to settle and dictate the tempo in the second half. A 1-1 draw feels the most likely outcome, with tactical discipline neutralizing individual moments of brilliance.