UEFA Europa League Gameweek 3
Celtic 1 - 2 FT Celta Vigo
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Futmetrix Verdict
52
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Bournemouth
3-0
AC Milan
⚡ Intensity
75
⚖️ Balance
20
🏆 Stakes
3
🎲 Upset
0
Two penalties, one red card, total control
Futmetrix Verdict
26
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Sturm Graz
1-0
Marseille
⚡ Intensity
22
⚖️ Balance
31
🏆 Stakes
11
🎲 Upset
60
Diakité struck; Marseille never answered
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
23' Camilo Duran
HT
47' Mika Baur
58' ↓ Callum Osmand ↑James Forrest
↓ Hugo Burcio ↑Ilaix Moriba 63'
↓ Iago Aspas ↑Williot Swedberg 63'
67' M. O'Neill
Javier Rodríguez Galiano (Hugo Alvarez Antunez) 68'
73' ↓ Haissem Hassan ↑Kasper Hogh
↓ Ferran Jutglà ↑Pablo Durán Fernández 77'
79' ↓ Mika Baur ↑Oliver Sorensen
80' ↓ Camilo Duran ↑Sebastian Tounekti
85' Liam Scales
↓ Hugo Alvarez Antunez ↑Javi Galán 85'
↓ Javier Rueda García ↑Andrés Antañón Vieites 85'
89' Oliver Sorensen
90'+2 Colby Donovan
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Celtic
Goalkeepers
Sam Johnstone 
MAGNET
59
Activity
59
Activity
59
Passes
0
Duels
Defenders
Colby Donovan 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Dane Murray 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Liam Scales 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
60%
Duel Win %
Kieran Tierney
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Midfielders
Callum McGregor 
ENFORCER
4
Tackles
4
Tackles
5
Duels Won
100%
Win %
Mika Baur 
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Haissem Hassan
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
73
Total Mins
73
Entry
Benjamin Nygren
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Callum Osmand
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
58
Total Mins
58
Entry
Forwards
Camilo Durán
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
80
Entry
BENCH
Viljami Sinisalo 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Jordan Lotomba
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Anthony Ralston
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
J. Haney
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
James Forrest
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
32
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sean McArdle
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Luke McCowan
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Oliver Sørensen
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kasper Høgh
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sebastian Tounekti
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Celta Vigo
Goalkeepers
Ionuț Radu
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Javi Rodríguez 
HITMAN
2
Goals
2
Goals
2
On Target
8.9
Rating
Sebastián Cáceres
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Marcos Alonso
MAGNET
114
Activity
114
Activity
111
Passes
3
Duels
Midfielders
Javi Rueda 
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Aleix Febas 
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
59%
Pass Acc
H. Burcio
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Sergio Carreira
MAGNET
70
Activity
70
Activity
63
Passes
7
Duels
Forwards
Iago Aspas
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
30%
Pass Acc
Ferran Jutglà
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
18%
Pass Acc
Hugo Álvarez
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
1
Assists
54%
Pass Acc
BENCH
Altay Bayındır
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
G. Miller
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Yoel Lago
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Javi Galán
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
5
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Abdoulaye Faye
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ilaix Moriba
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
27
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Andrés Antañón
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
5
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Williot Swedberg
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
27
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Pablo Durán
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Couhaib Driouech
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Hugo González
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ángel Arcos
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
League Standings
P: 3 GD: +8
P: 3 GD: +6
P: 3 GD: +3
P: 3 GD: +7
P: 3 GD: +6
P: 3 GD: +2
P: 2 GD: +4
P: 3 GD: +4
P: 2 GD: +4
P: 2 GD: +4
P: 2 GD: +2
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: +5
P: 3 GD: +2
P: 3 GD: 0
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -2
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 2 GD: +3
P: 2 GD: +2
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -2
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: -5
P: 3 GD: -5
P: 3 GD: -7
P: 3 GD: -8
P: 2 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: -5
P: 3 GD: -5
P: 3 GD: -6
League Standings
P: 3 GD: +8
P: 3 GD: +8
P: 3 GD: +7
P: 3 GD: +6
P: 3 GD: +3
P: 3 GD: +7
P: 3 GD: +6
P: 3 GD: +4
P: 3 GD: +2
P: 3 GD: +4
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: +5
P: 3 GD: +3
P: 3 GD: +2
P: 3 GD: 0
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -2
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: 0
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -2
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: -5
P: 3 GD: -5
P: 3 GD: -7
P: 3 GD: -8
P: 3 GD: -5
P: 3 GD: -5
P: 3 GD: -6
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Celtic
Celta Vigo
Celtic
Celta Vigo
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Three Minutes Turn a Breakthrough into Defeat
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 57/100. Two goals in three minutes turned a home breakthrough into a damaging Europa League defeat.
Opening Act
Celta Vigo made Celtic Park a test of resistance, and the eventual winner came from sustained pressure rather than a freak finish. Celtic struck first, but Celta controlled possession at 56 per cent and took 22 shots against eight for the hosts. The visitors managed only four shots on target, level with Celtic, yet 11 blocked efforts point to repeated entries and pressure around the box. Celtic, by contrast, created just one big chance and registered 0.59 expected goals; their goal was a moment of efficiency, not a steady stream of openings. The Intensity came from that shot volume, while the Balance tilted towards the visitors long before the scoreline finally caught up. That contrast made the finish feel earned, not accidental.
The Pivot
The hinge was not Celtic’s opener but Celta’s speed in answering it. Mika Baur put the hosts in front in the 47th minute, giving Celtic Park a surge of belief after the interval. Celta did not panic or retreat. Hugo Alvarez Antunez supplied Javier Rodríguez Galiano for the equaliser in the 68th, then the defender struck again three minutes later to complete his brace and flip the match. That brief spell was the one decisive swing: Celtic went from leading to chasing before they could reset their shape. Rodríguez’s two finishes made him the standout, but the assist mattered too, turning Celta’s possession into a clear chance at precisely the right moment. The Upset Factor stayed low; the sharper side in the final third finally made its pressure count and left the home crowd stunned.
Resolution
The score was narrow, but the route to it was not even: Celta produced 22 shots and 1.27 expected goals, compared with Celtic’s eight attempts and 0.59. Across both sides, 30 efforts yielded eight on target, so this was not relentless finishing; it was Celta’s repeated pressure and two moments of clean execution that separated the teams. Celtic are 35th on zero points after three league-stage matches; Celta are 24th with three points. The Stakes are plain: Celtic need a response quickly, while Celta can take confidence from overturning the deficit away from home. At Celtic Park, the visitors proved that territory matters only when it becomes goals, especially on a difficult away night.
Key Questions
What made Javi Rodríguez the Man of the Match?
His brace levelled the match in the 68th minute, then his 71st-minute finish completed Celta Vigo’s comeback.
How did Celtic complete the comeback from behind?
Celtic did not complete a comeback: Mika Baur put them ahead in the 47th minute, before Javi Rodríguez scored twice for Celta Vigo.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
A Desperate Scramble for the Playoff Line
Must-Watch Futmetrix Score: 88/100. With both sides winless and pointless in the Europa League so far, this clash represents a critical crossroads for their top-24 playoff hopes.
The Setup
It is panic stations early in the competition as Celtic welcome Celta Vigo to Celtic Park this October 22, 2026. Both teams sit perilously outside the top-24 places after suffering back-to-back defeats. A dismal Form rating underlines the struggles of both sides, with the Scottish hosts leaking an alarming seven goals in just two outings. However, an off-the-charts Balance rating suggests this fixture is incredibly tight on paper. While the overall Stakes metric might be judged as modest given we are only entering matchday three of the league stage, the reality of the standings means another defeat could be completely fatal for either team's continental ambitions.
Key Battle
With confidence fragile in both camps, the battle will be won in the transition zones. Celtic's porous backline must find a way to plug the gaping holes against Celta's aggressive wide players. If the visitors can quickly isolate the home full-backs during turnovers, they will ruthlessly unlock a defensive unit that has looked entirely out of its depth in Europe this season.
Our Prediction
Celta Vigo edge this tie as narrow favourites, and our take aligns with an away victory. The visitors boast slightly superior defensive solidity, having conceded four fewer goals than their hosts. This should give them the required platform to absorb early, desperate pressure before picking off a fragile home side on the counter. Expect a gritty, low-scoring 1-0 win for the Spaniards.