Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 2 FT Kayserispor

VAR's Four Interventions, Four Lead Changes: Karagümrük's Escape Act

Must-Watch Futmetrix Score: 94/100. The heart of the relegation battle beat in this 2-2 draw—VAR played referee four times, German Onugkha struck twice, Atakan Çankaya snatched a last-gasp equaliser, and László Bénes finished with a red card.

VAR's Shadow: Four Goals Erased

This match was controlled from Stockley Park. David Datro Fofana's two efforts (27th and 45th minutes) were deleted from the screen, while Onugkha's 64th-minute strike was also ruled out. The crowd erupted after each decision. But the fourth intervention didn't extinguish Karagümrük's final hope—it ignited it. The intensity of this six-pointer reached fever pitch when the technology stepped in.

Onugkha's Brace: Kayserispor's Brief Ascent

The 68th minute brought relief: Miguel Cardoso's pass freed Onugkha to restore order. Six minutes later, a substitute's brilliance—João Mendes, on since the 46th, provided the assist—doubled the lead. Kayserispor's equilibrium became a 2-0 cushion. Yet Karagümrük refused to fold.

Çankaya's Lifeline: The 79th-Minute Reprieve

The balance shifted violently in the 79th minute. Çankaya's cross found Atakan Çankaya, who finished to level at 2-2. A draw in a six-pointer—neither team could afford it. Then came the denouement: 90+1, and Bénes saw red. Kayserispor, already fragile, crumbled to ten men. Enzo Roco's defensive masterclass (7.9 rating) kept Karagümrük breathing, but this draw felt like defeat for both.

The Six-Pointer That Satisfied Neither

Kayserispor sit 17th on six points; Karagümrük languish 18th on four. This was a six-pointer, yet both teams walked away empty-handed. Four lead changes, four VAR overturns, a brace, an equaliser, and a dismissal—this was Süper Lig's most chaotic theatre. Three goals in eleven minutes (68th-79th), a penalty in the 16th, and technology's fingerprints on every decisive moment. Kayserispor's winless streak continues; Karagümrük's single victory feels like a lifetime ago. This draw was neither escape nor salvation—it was survival.

High-pressure scrap at the bottom

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 22/100. For two sides stuck near the foot of the table, this is the kind of October game that can shape the mood of the entire season.

The Setup

On 24 October 2025, Regular Season - 10 in the Süper Lig throws up a genuine crunch clash as Fatih Karagümrük host Kayserispor at the stadium.

Karagümrük sit 18th on 8 points from 14 games, with just 2 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats and a worrying -13 goal difference. Their inconsistency is captured in a LDWLD five-game run that never quite turns into momentum.

Kayserispor are only slightly better off: 16th with 13 points from 15 matches, a record of 2 wins, 7 draws, 6 losses and a harsher -17 goal difference. Their DWLLW form line shows a team capable of a reaction but unable to string together a convincing run.

Both defences leak heavily, combining for around 4 goals conceded per game this season. That fragility, more than attacking brilliance, is what promises an open, chaotic contest in a game where neither side can really afford to lose.

Key Battle

The decisive duel will be between Karagümrük's aggressive attacking shape and Kayserispor's counter-attacking threat. The home side will feel obliged to push numbers forward, trying to pin their visitors back and play in the final third.

Kayserispor, meanwhile, are built to punish that ambition: quick transitions, second balls and direct runs into the space behind a shaky back line. The midfield zone becomes crucial – whichever unit can slow the tempo, keep the ball and protect its defence will drag the game onto its terms.

Our Prediction

The stakes are high, but the quality is volatile. With both back lines so unreliable, neither coach is likely to throw caution completely out of the window. Karagümrük will dominate territory for spells, Kayserispor will carve out chances on the break, yet a lack of confidence in both boxes should cap the scoreline. We see this playing out as a tense, scrappy 1-1 draw, a result that keeps both looking nervously over their shoulders.