Liga MX Apertura - Quarter-finals

FC Juarez 1 - 2 FT Toluca

Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
72
FT
Thu, Nov 27
Español
FC Juarez
1-2
Toluca
⚡ Intensity 46
⚖️ Balance 78
🏆 Stakes 78
🎲 Upset 0
Toluca's siege breaks early Juarez resistance.

Win Probability

  • FC Juarez 29%
  • Draw 26%
  • Toluca 45%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Toluca Overturn Early Deficit in First-Leg Thriller

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 72/100. Our take is that a relentless second-half attacking display was the perfect answer to a shocking start, handing the visitors a crucial quarter-final advantage.

The Early Ambush

The Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez erupted in the blink of an eye, setting an incredible tone for this highly anticipated first-leg clash. With just three minutes on the clock, J. Murillo latched onto a wonderfully weighted pass from Puma to give FC Juarez a dream start. The sheer Intensity of those frantic opening exchanges suggested a monumental upset might be brewing under the stadium lights. However, Toluca entirely refused to panic. The visitors immediately asserted massive authority over the middle of the park, shifting into a higher gear that allowed them to completely dominate possession. Despite the heroic, last-ditch defensive interventions from Alejandro Mayorga to keep the home side's razor-thin advantage intact, the tide of the match was visibly turning into a one-sided siege. The visitors continuously generated relentless corner pressure, pinning the hosts deep in their own half and meticulously mapping out their eventual breakthrough.

Breaking the Dam

As the second half commenced, the Balance of power shifted definitively and aggressively toward the visiting side. The attacking barrage yielded a staggering 23 total shots compared to a mere six from the overwhelmed hosts, turning the penalty area into an absolute shooting gallery. This relentless knocking on the door finally paid massive dividends in the 56th minute when A. Briseno found the back of the net to deservedly level the tie. Smelling blood in the water, the visitors kept their collective foot firmly pressed on the gas pedal. Less than ten minutes later, Paulinho connected with a precise, defense-splitting delivery from D. Barbosa to flip the script entirely. Generating an immense 3.49 expected goals over the ninety minutes, the continuous attacking wave was simply far too overwhelming for the exhausted home defense to weather.

Advantage Secured

This defining result drastically alters the fundamental Stakes of this gripping quarter-final clash. By securing a thrilling 2-1 comeback victory on the road, the confident visitors take a truly precious advantage into the highly anticipated return leg scheduled for November 30. For the devastated hosts, failing to capitalize on their lightning-fast start leaves them staring up at a massive mountain to climb. The sheer volume of high-quality chances conceded throughout the evening paints a worrying picture for their overall chances of overturning this first-leg deficit. As the final referee's whistle echoed around the ground, the contrasting emotions were incredibly evident—the visiting camp marched off with their heads held high, while the home side must now completely rethink their overarching tactical approach before the decisive second chapter of this knockout tie.

Key Questions

How did FC Juarez complete the comeback from behind?

They actually did not. Juarez scored first, but Toluca completed the 2-1 comeback by launching a massive offensive siege in the second half.

What does this mean for FC Juarez's season?

Trailing 2-1 after the first leg, they must win the return match on November 30 to keep their quarter-final hopes alive and avoid elimination.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
40%
60%
FC Juarez 40%
Toluca 60%
Shots
6
23
FC Juarez 6
Toluca 23
Shots on Target
1
7
FC Juarez 1
Toluca 7
Expected Goals (xG)
0.28
3.49
FC Juarez 0.28
Toluca 3.49
Passes
344
526
FC Juarez 344
Toluca 526
Pass Accuracy
82%
85%
FC Juarez 82%
Toluca 85%
Corners
4
9
FC Juarez 4
Toluca 9
Fouls
16
10
FC Juarez 16
Toluca 10
Yellow Cards
4
1
FC Juarez 4
Toluca 1
Red Cards
0
0
FC Juarez 0
Toluca 0

Match Events

3' J. Murillo (Puma)
17' 🟨 Homer Martinez
D. Garcia D. Ochoa 🔄 21'
28' 🟨 Diego Ochoa
Diego Barbosa 🟨 35'
HT
A. Briseno 56'
56' 🔄 R. Morales Helinho
O. Estupinan A. Zaldivar 🔄 63'
Ricardinho R. Fulgencio 🔄 63'
Paulinho (D. Barbosa) 65'
76' 🔄 J. Angulo H. Herrera
86' 🟨 Rodolfo Pizarro
H. E. Martinez Yepez D. Villalpando 🔄 90'+1
R. Pizarro L. Silva 🔄 90'+2
90'+3 🔄 N. Castro F. Arce
90'+3 🔄 Paulinho E. del Villar
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

FC Juarez

Midfielders
Hugo González
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Diego Barbosa
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7
Rating
Antonio Briseño
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Federico Pereira
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
67%
Pass Acc
Jesús Gallardo
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
43%
Pass Acc
Jesús Angulo
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
35%
Pass Acc
Franco Romero
MAGNET
MAGNET
66
Activity
66
Activity
58
Passes
8
Duels
Marcel Ruiz
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
44%
Pass Acc
Nicolás Castro
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
58%
Pass Acc
Robert Morales
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
56
Total Mins
56
Entry
Paulinho
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
BENCH
Luis García
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Mauricio Isaís
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Everardo López
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alek Álvarez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Francisco Pumpido
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Juan Pablo Domínguez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Héctor Herrera
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
14
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Fernando Arce
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Helinho
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
15%
Pass Acc
Oswaldo Virgen
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Toluca

Midfielders
Sebastián Jurado
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Denzell García
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Jesús Murillo
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
José Juan García
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alejandro Mayorga
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Guilherme Castilho
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Homer Martínez
NPC
NPC
89
Minutes
89
Minutes
14%
Pass Acc
6.3
Rating
Ricardinho
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
63
Total Mins
63
Entry
Rodolfo Pizarro
NPC
NPC
89
Minutes
89
Minutes
26%
Pass Acc
6.9
Rating
José Luis Rodríguez
PROVIDER
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
6.3
Rating
Óscar Estupiñán
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
63
Total Mins
63
Entry
BENCH
Benny Díaz
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Diego Ochoa
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
69
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Francisco Nevárez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Eder López
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Dieter Villalpando
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Raymundo Fulgencio
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
27
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jonathan González
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Leonardo Silva
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Israel Larios
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ángel Zaldívar
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
27
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
03/08/2026 Toluca 3 - 1 FC Juarez Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Diez
11/30/2025 Toluca 0 - 0 FC Juarez Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Diez
11/27/2025 FC Juarez 1 - 2 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
08/12/2025 FC Juarez 0 - 2 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
02/22/2025 FC Juarez 0 - 4 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
07/14/2024 Toluca 3 - 2 FC Juarez Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
03/09/2024 FC Juarez 1 - 1 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
07/16/2023 Toluca 2 - 4 FC Juarez Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
04/23/2023 Toluca 1 - 1 FC Juarez Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
10/09/2022 Toluca 3 - 0 FC Juarez Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
03/08/2026
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Diez
11/30/2025
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Diez
11/27/2025
Liga MX Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
08/12/2025
Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
02/22/2025
Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
07/14/2024
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
03/09/2024
Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez
07/16/2023
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
04/23/2023
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
10/09/2022
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
FC Juarez Win
Toluca Win
Draw

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