Bundesliga Regular Season - 1

FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FT 1. FC Köln

Mewa Arena

AI-powered match analysis and previews to help you decide which games are worth watching

45
FT
Sun, Aug 24
Deutsch
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
1. FC Köln
⚡ Intensity 42
⚖️ Balance 20
🏆 Stakes 33
🎲 Upset 0
Bülter breaks Mainz hearts in stoppage time

Bülter Breaks Mainz Resistance in Cruel Finale – Köln Steal the Spoils

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 45/100. A six-pointer decided by ruthless efficiency and red-card drama: Mainz crumble against Köln after Paul Nebel's dismissal in the 60th minute, conceding the only goal deep into stoppage time at the Mewa Arena.

Equilibrium Shattered – Nebel's Red Card Turns the Tide

For an hour, this was a contest of Balance and attrition. Dominik Kohr anchored Mainz's defence with outstanding composure, keeping his side level despite Intensity building on both flanks. Then came the watershed moment: Nebel's professional foul as last man in the 60th minute. Red card. Suddenly, Mainz were fighting a rearguard battle with ten men whilst Köln sensed the Stakes shifting irrevocably in their favour. The numerical advantage proved decisive.

Waldschmidt's Brilliance and Bülter's Killer Blow

The match turned on a substitution. Lukas Waldschmidt entered the fray in the 74th minute and within sixteen minutes had orchestrated the winning move. Marius Bülter finished with clinical precision in the 90th minute – a goal that felt inevitable once Mainz were down to ten. The Intensity of the closing stages was suffocating: 31 combined shots, yet only four found the target. Köln needed just two efforts on goal to convert the crucial one.

The Numbers Tell a Bitter Story for Mainz

Mainz dominated possession (51%) and attempted 19 shots, accumulating 1.52 Expected Goals – enough to win most matches. Yet Köln's efficiency was surgical. With only 1.36 xG and 12 shots, they stole three points through ruthless execution and Mainz's mental collapse following Nebel's dismissal. The red card was the turning point that broke Mainz's Balance. For thirty minutes with a numerical disadvantage, they resisted valiantly, but Waldschmidt's introduction tilted the final equation. Köln's victory, built on a single moment of indiscipline, exemplifies how fine the margins are in the Bundesliga's opening weeks.

Key Questions

How decisive was Nebel's red card?

Entirely decisive. The professional foul in the 60th minute turned a balanced contest into a one-sided siege. Mainz couldn't recover the numerical disadvantage.

How dramatic was Bülter's 90th-minute winner?

Maximally cruel. A goalless draw for 89 minutes, then Bülter breaks the deadlock in stoppage time. Euphoria for Köln, devastation for Mainz in a single moment.

Did Waldschmidt's introduction change the game?

Absolutely. The substitute entered in the 74th minute and provided the assist for Bülter's winner sixteen minutes later – textbook super-sub impact.

How is the Futmetrix Score calculated?

The Futmetrix Score (0-100) combines multiple factors: match intensity, competitive balance, stakes importance, and entertainment value to help you decide if this match is worth watching.

Match Statistics

Possession
51%
49%
FSV Mainz 05 51%
1. FC Köln 49%
Shots
19
12
FSV Mainz 05 19
1. FC Köln 12
Shots on Target
2
2
FSV Mainz 05 2
1. FC Köln 2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
1.36
FSV Mainz 05 1.52
1. FC Köln 1.36
Passes
389
401
FSV Mainz 05 389
1. FC Köln 401
Pass Accuracy
78%
81%
FSV Mainz 05 78%
1. FC Köln 81%
Corners
8
3
FSV Mainz 05 8
1. FC Köln 3
Fouls
7
9
FSV Mainz 05 7
1. FC Köln 9
Yellow Cards
0
2
FSV Mainz 05 0
1. FC Köln 2
Red Cards
1
0
FSV Mainz 05 1
1. FC Köln 0

Match Events

15' 🔄 B. Hollerbach N. Weiper
Kristoffer Lund 🟨 27'
HT
60' 🟥 Paul Nebel
65' 🔄 A. Caci S. Widmer
65' 🔄 A. Hanche-Olsen S. Bell
65' 🔄 N. Amiri L. Maloney
J. Thielmann C. Ozkacar 🔄 67'
T. Krauss S. El Mala 🔄 67'
K. Lund R. Ache 🔄 67'
S. Sebulonsen L. Waldschmidt 🔄 74'
I. Johannesson F. Kainz 🔄 80'
Joel Schmied 🟨 81'
M. Bulter (L. Waldschmidt) 90'
90'+3 🔄 D. Kohr A. Sieb
FT

Player Cards

Season performance ratings for players in this match

FSV Mainz 05

Goalkeepers
R. Zentner
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
90
total mins
Started
entry
Defenders
D. da Costa
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
key passes
2
key passes
0
assists
37%
pass acc
A. Hanche-Olsen
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
65
total mins
65
entry
D. Kohr
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
3
key passes
3
key passes
0
assists
41%
pass acc
Midfielders
A. Caci
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
65
total mins
65
entry
K. Sano
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
fouls won
2
fouls won
5
Duels Won
0
pens won
N. Amiri
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
shots
2
shots
0
goals
1
on target
P. Mwene
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
key passes
4
key passes
0
assists
16%
pass acc
Forwards
P. Nebel
FRIENDLY FIRE
FRIENDLY FIRE
0
mistake
0
mistake
1
fouls
5.9
rating
Lee Jae-Sung
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
90
total mins
Started
entry
B. Hollerbach
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
15
total mins
15
entry
BENCH
L. Riess
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
saves
0
saves
0
conceded
0
minutes
S. Widmer
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
25
total mins
Started
entry
S. Bell
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
key passes
2
key passes
0
assists
4%
pass acc
M. Leitsch
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
L. Maloney
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
25
total mins
Started
entry
A. Nordin
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
N. Weiper
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
75
total mins
Started
entry
B. Bobzien
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
A. Sieb
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
10
total mins
Started
entry

1. FC Köln

Goalkeepers
M. Schwabe
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
1
fouls won
1
fouls won
1
Duels Won
0
pens won
Defenders
J. Schmied
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
90
total mins
Started
entry
T. Hubers
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
90
total mins
Started
entry
T. Krauss
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
68
total mins
67
entry
Midfielders
S. Sebulonsen
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
74
total mins
74
entry
I. Johannesson
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
10
late mins
10
late mins
80
total mins
80
entry
E. Martel
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
5
cleanups
5
cleanups
2
interceptions
3
blocks
K. Lund
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
67
total mins
67
entry
Forwards
J. Thielmann
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
67
total mins
67
entry
J. Kaminski
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
key passes
4
key passes
0
assists
31%
pass acc
M. Bulter
CLUTCH HERO
CLUTCH HERO
0
goal time
0
goal time
0
impact
7.7
rating
BENCH
R. Zieler
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
saves
0
saves
0
conceded
0
minutes
J. Gazibegovic
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
R. van den Berg
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
C. Ozkacar
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
shots
1
shots
0
goals
0
on target
D. Huseinbasic
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
F. Kainz
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
10
total mins
Started
entry
S. El Mala
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
22
total mins
Started
entry
L. Waldschmidt
SUPER SUB
SUPER SUB
0
impact
0
impact
16
minutes
7
rating
R. Ache
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
22
total mins
Started
entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
24/08/2025 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga Mewa Arena
28/04/2024 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 1. FC Köln Bundesliga MEWA ARENA
10/12/2023 1. FC Köln 0 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga Cologne Stadium
15/04/2023 1. FC Köln 1 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga RheinEnergieStadion
21/10/2022 FSV Mainz 05 5 - 0 1. FC Köln Bundesliga MEWA ARENA
09/04/2022 1. FC Köln 3 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga RheinEnergieStadion
24/08/2025
Bundesliga Mewa Arena
28/04/2024
Bundesliga MEWA ARENA
10/12/2023
Bundesliga Cologne Stadium
15/04/2023
Bundesliga RheinEnergieStadion
21/10/2022
Bundesliga MEWA ARENA
09/04/2022
Bundesliga RheinEnergieStadion
FSV Mainz 05 Win
1. FC Köln Win
Draw

League Standings