Kasımpaşa 1 - 0 FT Alanyaspor

Kahveci’s lone moment turns a cagey survival scrap Kasimpasa’s way

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 19/100. At Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, one clean strike from Irfan Can Kahveci swung a tense mid-table safety battle firmly towards Kasimpasa.

Slow burn in Istanbul, Alanyaspor control the ball

This was a match that took its time to warm up. Alanyaspor controlled possession, knocking it around with tidy passing, but offered very little incision in the final third. They looked neat, not threatening. Kasimpasa were content to sit a bit deeper, disrupt rhythm with fouls and keep the game in their half of the pitch without truly opening up. That kept the Balance of the contest steady but hardly thrilling. The hosts struggled to create clear chances, yet they never lost their compact shape. In midfield, Andri Baldursson quietly stitched things together, recycling possession and helping Kasimpasa avoid being pinned in. The first half felt like two sides more concerned with not slipping closer to the relegation conversation than with chasing a spectacle.

The moment: Kahveci finally cracks it open

Everything changed around the hour mark. In the 60th minute, I. C. Kahveci found a pocket near the edge of the box, sized up the space and whipped in a precise finish to break the deadlock. Up to that point, Kasimpasa had created little, but that single flash of quality completely reshaped the Balance of the afternoon. Suddenly Alanyaspor’s calm passing turned into rushed searching, while the home side gained belief and started winning more duels. Baldursson’s work rate in midfield grew more important, snapping into tackles and disrupting any rhythm the visitors tried to build. Alanyaspor still saw more of the ball, and sent more efforts towards goal, but the lack of real quality inside the penalty area was glaring once they were chasing the game.

Kasimpasa see it out, big psychological win

The final stretch was all about nerve. With a narrow lead in a mid-table clash where the Stakes were quietly high for both sides, Kasimpasa chose discipline over adventure. They sat compact, managed the clock smartly and relied on clearances and simple passes rather than risky counters. Alanyaspor pushed, kept the ball moving and tried to stretch the home backline, but their crossing and decision-making in the box never truly matched their territorial edge. A handful of saves and last-ditch interventions protected the 1-0, and by the final whistle the significance was clear: Kasimpasa pulled themselves a step further away from danger, while Alanyaspor missed a chance to cement mid-table comfort on the road.

Mid-table duel with hidden edge

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 36/100. This isn’t a title decider, but for Kasımpaşa and Alanyaspor it’s a quiet test of ambition and comfort for the run-in.

The Setup

Round Regular Season - 30 of the Süper Lig brings a classic mid-table clash. Kasımpaşa sit 13th on 28 points, leaky at the back and wildly inconsistent. Alanyaspor arrive 11th with 33 points, hard to beat but drawing far too often.

The venue is Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, where Kasımpaşa have struggled to turn performances into wins all season. On paper the Stakes look modest: no title chase, no outright survival drama. In reality, this is the kind of game that defines whether you finish the season looking up the table or nervously over your shoulder.

The two sides are extremely close in overall Balance. That usually means one thing: the match will tilt on small details and single moments of quality rather than dominance.

Key Battle

The decisive clash is likely to be between Kasımpaşa’s finisher Adrian Benedyczak and Alanyaspor’s all-action midfielder Ibrahim Kaya. Benedyczak comes in scorching: 4 goals in his last 4 matches, the penalty-box reference point for the hosts and the man they trust when the ball drops in the area.

Kaya, on the other side, is the heartbeat of Alanyaspor’s attacks, turning safe possession into vertical thrusts and connecting midfield to the forwards. If he finds time and space, Kasımpaşa’s already fragile back line will be under sustained pressure. If Kasımpaşa can deny him that platform and keep feeding Benedyczak around the box, the Balance of the game swings their way.

Our Prediction

Expect a cautious start, with Kasımpaşa pressing a bit higher early on, driven by home support, and trying to release Benedyczak with quick combinations. Alanyaspor will be calmer, leaning on structured buildup and Kaya’s passing to drag the tempo to their liking.

This feels like a match of short storms rather than constant pressure: five-to-ten-minute spells where one side pins the other back, then the game settles again. With both teams carrying only a medium Form rating and so evenly matched, we see a tight, entertaining draw as the most likely script, with half-chances at both ends and neither side quite ruthless enough to finish the job.