Kayserispor vs NS Fatih Karagümrük

Six-pointer tension at Kadir Has Stadium

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 32/100. This is a raw survival fight between two struggling sides who can drag each other deeper with a single bad night.

The Setup

On 19 March 2026, Kadir Has Stadium hosts a bottom-of-the-table showdown with huge implications. Kayserispor sit 17th with 20 points from 24 games, just three wins all season and a goal difference of -25. At home they’ve only won twice in 11, conceding more than two per game. That’s not home comfort, that’s a warning sign.

Fatih Karagümrük are one rung below in 18th, on 14 points from 25 matches. Seventeen defeats tell the story: they can score, but they leak almost as many; -24 goal difference underlines a back line that simply doesn’t hold. In the Süper Lig regular season, these are direct rivals in the same scrap, and this head-to-head could define who stays within reach of safety.

The Stakes dimension here is obvious: six points between them, and a swing either way changes the entire picture at the bottom.

Key Battle

The key fight is Kayserispor’s midfield control against Karagümrük’s direct attacking threat. The home side will lean heavily on L. Béneš and D. Makarov to slow the game down, keep the ball and protect a defence that struggles whenever it’s exposed.

Karagümrük will look to flip the script in transition. D. Fofana offers the depth runs, while B. Özcan can thread passes into space. But the real duel is in goal: Bilal Bayazit for Kayserispor and Ivo Grbić for Karagümrük have both been busy and impressive recently, racking up saves to keep heavy defeats off the scoreboard.

With both defences fragile, this becomes a contest where the keepers and the intensity of the duels will decide the Balance more than any tactical masterplan.

Our Prediction

Don’t expect a polished game; expect nerves, mistakes and swings in momentum. Kayserispor should see more of the ball, probing through Béneš and Makarov and trying to pin Karagümrük back.

The visitors will happily play the underdog, sit compact and spring Fofana into open grass. Chances may not be endless, but when they come, they’ll be big – because every individual error in these teams tends to look catastrophic.

Home advantage and Karagümrük’s habit of losing tight games tilt this just towards Kayserispor. Our verdict: a tense, scrappy match where both concede, but Kayserispor edge it by taking one more chance.