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Futmetrix Verdict
52
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Bournemouth
3-0
AC Milan
⚡ Intensity
75
⚖️ Balance
20
🏆 Stakes
3
🎲 Upset
0
Two penalties, one red card, total control
Futmetrix Verdict
26
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Sturm Graz
1-0
Marseille
⚡ Intensity
22
⚖️ Balance
31
🏆 Stakes
11
🎲 Upset
60
Diakité struck; Marseille never answered
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
20' Güven Yalçın (Claudio Winck)
↓ Gökhan Gül ↑Furkan Soyalp 45'
↓ Mbaye Diagne ↑Gift Orban 45'
HT
52' Adrian Benedyczak (Marcus Rafferty)
Dia Saba 58'
Gift Orban 59'
↓ Samuel Ballet ↑Rayan Lutin 66'
67' ↓ Marcus Rafferty ↑Elson Mendes
72' ↓ Andri Fannar Baldursson ↑Emirhan Boz
76' Kerem Demirbay
↓ Amadou Cissé ↑Mohamed Khalil 77'
82' ↓ Kerem Demirbay ↑Atakan Müjde
82' ↓ Adrian Benedyczak ↑Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
Gift Orban (Mohamed Khalil) 83'
↓ Dia Saba ↑Mehmet Yesil 86'
90'+1 Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
90'+3 Emirhan Boz
David Bates 90'+4
90'+4 Güven Yalçın
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Kasımpaşa
Goalkeepers
Andreas Gianniotis
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Cláudio Winck
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
6
Tackles
82%
Duel Win %
Adam Arous
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Matei Ilie
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
86%
Duel Win %
Ayberk Karapo
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
5
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Kerem Demirbay
LATE SHIFT
8
Late Mins
8
Late Mins
82
Total Mins
82
Entry
Marcus Rafferty
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
2
Key Passes
6.7
Rating
Andri Fannar Baldursson
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
72
Total Mins
72
Entry
Forwards
Adrian Benedyczak
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Güven Yalçın
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
19%
Pass Acc
Ali Yavuz Kol
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
21%
Pass Acc
BENCH
Ali Emre Yanar
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Kevin Mouanga
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jakob Jessen
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Elson Mendes
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Atakan Müjde
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
8
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
8
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sinan Alkaş
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Amed
Goalkeepers
Alban Lafont
OCTOPUS
5
Saves
5
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
Defenders
Amadou Cissé
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Lumbardh Dellova
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
David Bates
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Umut Meraş
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
Rayan Raveloson
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Gökhan Gül
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
4
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Samuel Ballet
MAGNET
47
Activity
47
Activity
26
Passes
21
Duels
Diaa Sabia
ARCHITECT
6
Key Passes
6
Key Passes
0
Assists
33%
Pass Acc
Forwards
Ermal Krasniqi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mbaye Diagne
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
46
Total Mins
45
Entry
BENCH
Burak Bozan
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Mehmet Yeşil
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
4
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kahraman Demirtaş
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Miraç Acer
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Rayan Lutin
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
24
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Furkan Soyalp
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Cem Üstündag
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Gift Orban
CLOSER
1
Late Goals
1
Late Goals
0
Late Assists
75
Minute
B. Kizildemir
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
League Standings
P: 4 GD: +6
P: 4 GD: +5
P: 4 GD: +2
P: 4 GD: +5
P: 4 GD: +2
P: 4 GD: +1
P: 4 GD: -3
P: 4 GD: +2
P: 4 GD: +1
P: 4 GD: -1
P: 4 GD: 0
P: 3 GD: 0
P: 4 GD: -1
P: 4 GD: -2
P: 4 GD: -6
P: 4 GD: -4
P: 3 GD: -2
League Standings
P: 8 GD: +6
P: 8 GD: +9
P: 8 GD: +16
P: 8 GD: +13
P: 8 GD: +6
P: 8 GD: +5
P: 8 GD: +3
P: 8 GD: +1
P: 8 GD: -1
P: 8 GD: 0
P: 8 GD: -6
P: 8 GD: -3
P: 8 GD: +1
P: 8 GD: -4
P: 8 GD: -9
P: 8 GD: -5
P: 8 GD: -12
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Kasımpaşa
Amed
Kasımpaşa
Amed
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Gift Orban tears down Kasımpaşa’s two-goal cushion
Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 82/100. This match mattered because one half-time intervention transformed a comfortable home lead into a statement recovery from Amed.
Opening Act
Kasımpaşa attacked with greater purpose and landed the opening blow after 20 minutes. Claudio Winck supplied the service before Güven Yalçın finished, rewarding the home side’s sharper work in decisive areas. Güven’s three key passes showed he was doing far more than waiting for a shooting chance. Amed controlled possession with 56 per cent, yet their early circulation lacked menace around the penalty area. The warning signs never disappeared, though. Both teams attempted 14 shots, creating an open contest beneath Kasımpaşa’s apparent authority, while 11 efforts on target kept the goalkeepers fully occupied. A high Intensity reading fits the frantic rhythm, but Kasımpaşa initially handled it better. Their approach was direct, crisp and prepared to turn physical, with four yellow cards underlining a refusal to concede the central ground cheaply.
The Pivot
Kasımpaşa doubled the lead in the 52nd minute and seemed to have broken the contest open. Marcus Rafferty created the chance and Adrian Benedyczak supplied the finish. Then the entire mood shifted. Introduced at half-time, Gift Orban struck in the 59th minute and turned security into anxiety within seven minutes of the second goal. That was the defining moment. Amed’s nine corners were already evidence of sustained territorial pressure; Orban finally gave that pressure a cutting edge. The visitors moved the ball more quickly and began recovering second balls higher up the pitch. Kasımpaşa still carried danger and put seven attempts on target, but five saves from the opposing goalkeeper prevented a third goal. Strong Balance became the central feature well before the equaliser arrived. The match was no longer being played on Kasımpaşa’s terms. It was revolving around Orban’s movement and the doubt he planted in the home defence.
Resolution
The equaliser arrived in the 83rd minute. Fellow substitute Mohamed Khalil provided the pass and Orban delivered his second goal, completing Amed’s recovery from 2-0 down. It was more than a clean finish. It validated the visitors’ half-time response and punished Kasımpaşa for failing to convert control into a decisive third goal. A combined 28 attempts produced no fifth strike, despite both sides pushing for one during a stretched finale. Kasımpaşa were left to regret two dropped points, although they preserved their unbeaten start. Amed escaped with renewed belief after standing on the brink of defeat. The early table remains tight between them, with Amed retaining a one-point advantage and Kasımpaşa still close behind. The Stakes were modest in September terms, but the psychological effect could be substantial. Our verdict is blunt: Kasımpaşa let the match drift, while Amed found their nerve through an outstanding intervention from Orban.
Key Questions
What made G. Orban the Man of the Match?
His second-half brace brought Amed back from 2-0 down and completely changed the direction of the match.
How did Kasımpaşa complete the comeback from behind?
They did not. Kasımpaşa led 2-0; Amed were the side that recovered to secure the draw.
How did substitute G. Orban change the match?
His runs stretched Kasımpaşa’s defence, while two clinical finishes converted Amed’s pressure into a valuable point.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Kasımpaşa and Amed face a test of patience
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 20/100. This will not reshape the season, but Kasımpaşa’s unbeaten start and Amed’s attacking promise should keep the outcome alive until the final whistle.
The Setup
Kasımpaşa enter this fourth-round Süper Lig fixture on 6 September 2026 with the firmer foundations. One win and two draws have lifted them to sixth, while three goals scored and two conceded point to a controlled rather than explosive start. They are difficult to shift, but they have not yet shown the cutting edge needed to dominate opponents.
Amed sit 12th after playing only twice. A win and a defeat reveal little about their long-term level, although three goals already suggest they will attack when space appears. Dia Saba gives them the clearest individual spark and a route to hurting Kasımpaşa around the penalty area.
A strong Balance reading supports the prospect of a close contest. Modest Stakes and limited Stars, however, stop this from becoming essential viewing. The early Form picture is also too unsettled to carry much authority. Expect fine margins and long tactical passages rather than relentless drama.
Key Battle
The decisive contest is between Kasımpaşa’s midfield structure after losing possession and the speed of Amed’s attacking transitions. If the hosts close the centre quickly, they can slow the match and force Amed towards harmless wide areas. If Amed escape that first wave, Kasımpaşa’s back line will have to retreat at pace. Space between midfield and defence is where this game can turn.
Our Verdict
Kasımpaşa should have more possession and spend longer in the attacking half. Amed will accept that pattern, defend compactly and break whenever the hosts overcommit. The home side’s organisation earns them a narrow edge, but their finishing has not been forceful enough to inspire confidence. Our expectation is a 1-1 draw after a controlled game punctuated by brief counterattacking bursts.