Liga MX Gameweek 5, Apertura

Leon vs NS Monterrey

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
100
Leon
vs
Monterrey
Sat, Aug 22 • 01:00 Español
⚡ Form 72
⚖️ Balance 96
🏆 Stakes 100
⭐ Stars 100
Early survival points on the line.

Win Probability

  • Leon 31%
  • Draw 26%
  • Monterrey 43%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Early Survival Fears Loom as Leon Host Monterrey

Must-Watch Futmetrix Score: 100/100. Monterrey are heavy favorites to push Leon deeper into the early-season relegation mire.

The Setup

The early Liga MX Apertura table is already creating immense pressure, and Leon find themselves desperately needing a result. Sitting 14th with just three points from three matches, their poor start has triggered genuine survival anxiety. They welcome a formidable Monterrey side who currently occupy fifth place with six points and look eager to solidify their position near the top of the standings. Our assessment shows a massive gap in Balance, heavily favoring the visitors, who have already shown tactical maturity in their opening fixtures. While early-season variables keep the overall Form ratings relatively modest, the sheer Stakes of this encounter cannot be ignored for the struggling hosts. Every dropped point at home pushes Leon further into a scrap at the bottom that they want to avoid at all costs.

Key Battle

The match will likely hinge on the creative duel between Daniel Arcila and Lucas Ocampos. Arcila carries the heavy burden of unlocking a stubborn away defense for a Leon side struggling to find attacking consistency. He will need to be at his absolute best to generate meaningful chances. On the other flank, Ocampos arrives with immense confidence, bringing enough individual quality to single-handedly tilt the Stars rating in Monterrey's favor. His dynamic runs and lethal finishing make him a constant threat. If the hosts cannot contain the visitors' explosive wing play, it will be a long and punishing night for the home defense.

Our Verdict

We expect a commanding away victory, likely ending in a comfortable 2-0 win for Monterrey. The visitors will completely dictate the tempo from the first whistle, expertly exploiting the tactical gaps left by a nervous home side. Look for Monterrey to absorb any early pressure before using their superior attacking quality to ruthlessly punish mistakes on the counter-attack, leaving Leon empty-handed once again.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

A compelling clash if you enjoy the high tension of early-season survival battles in Liga MX.

What's the predicted outcome?

Expect a comfortable away victory for Monterrey as they control the midfield and strike ruthlessly on the break.

Where are Leon and Monterrey in the league table?

Monterrey sit comfortably in 5th place with six points, while Leon languish down in 14th with three points.

What is Leon's current form?

They have struggled early in the campaign, managing just one win alongside two consecutive losses.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Lucas Ocampos of Monterrey is the star, boasting 1 goal and an 8.6 average rating in 1 match.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/12/2025 Leon 1 - 3 Monterrey Liga MX Estadio León
04/21/2025 Leon 0 - 2 Monterrey Liga MX Estadio León
11/11/2024 Monterrey 2 - 1 Leon Liga MX Estadio BBVA
04/20/2024 Leon 2 - 0 Monterrey Liga MX Estadio León
09/17/2023 Monterrey 3 - 1 Leon Liga MX Estadio BBVA
02/28/2023 Leon 1 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX Estadio León
08/12/2025
1 - 3
Liga MX Estadio León
04/21/2025
0 - 2
Liga MX Estadio León
11/11/2024
2 - 1
Liga MX Estadio BBVA
04/20/2024
2 - 0
Liga MX Estadio León
09/17/2023
3 - 1
Liga MX Estadio BBVA
02/28/2023
1 - 1
Liga MX Estadio León
Leon Win
Monterrey Win
Draw

Season Statistics

10
League Position
3
6
Points
9
3
Goals Scored
12
4
Goals Conceded
5

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Club America 4 10 8 1 +7 WClub America 3 - 0 Atletico San Luis (16-08-2026)WClub America 3 - 0 Santos Laguna (02-08-2026)DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Club America (25-07-2026)WClub Queretaro 0 - 1 Club America (19-07-2026)
2 Club Tijuana 4 10 6 2 +4 WClub Tijuana 2 - 1 Cruz Azul (17-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 0 - 0 Club Tijuana (01-08-2026)WClub Tijuana 1 - 0 Leon (25-07-2026)WClub Tijuana 3 - 1 Tigres UANL (17-07-2026)
3 Monterrey 4 9 12 5 +7 WMonterrey 6 - 1 FC Juarez (16-08-2026)WAtlas 0 - 2 Monterrey (02-08-2026)LNecaxa 2 - 1 Monterrey (26-07-2026)WMonterrey 3 - 2 Santos Laguna (19-07-2026)
4 Atlas 4 9 6 5 +1 WAtlas 2 - 1 Tigres UANL (16-08-2026)LAtlas 0 - 2 Monterrey (02-08-2026)WSantos Laguna 0 - 1 Atlas (26-07-2026)WLeon 2 - 3 Atlas (18-07-2026)
5 Toluca 4 7 6 3 +3 DAtlante FC 0 - 0 Toluca (15-08-2026)WToluca 3 - 1 Necaxa (03-08-2026)LToluca 1 - 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (22-07-2026)WGuadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Toluca (19-07-2026)
6 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4 7 7 5 +2 DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 0 Club Queretaro (16-08-2026)WFC Juarez 1 - 5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (01-08-2026)WToluca 1 - 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (22-07-2026)LU.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 3 CF Pachuca (18-07-2026)
7 Club Queretaro 4 7 5 4 +1 DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 0 Club Queretaro (16-08-2026)WClub Queretaro 3 - 2 Tigres UANL (01-08-2026)WCF Pachuca 1 - 2 Club Queretaro (27-07-2026)LClub Queretaro 0 - 1 Club America (19-07-2026)
8 Guadalajara Chivas 4 7 3 3 0 WSantos Laguna 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (17-08-2026)DPuebla 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (01-08-2026)WGuadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 FC Juarez (25-07-2026)LGuadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Toluca (19-07-2026)
9 Cruz Azul 4 6 8 8 0 LClub Tijuana 2 - 1 Cruz Azul (17-08-2026)LCruz Azul 2 - 3 Atlante FC (02-08-2026)WCruz Azul 2 - 1 Puebla (22-07-2026)WAtletico San Luis 2 - 3 Cruz Azul (18-07-2026)
10 Leon 4 6 5 5 0 WNecaxa 1 - 2 Leon (18-08-2026)WLeon 1 - 0 CF Pachuca (02-08-2026)LClub Tijuana 1 - 0 Leon (25-07-2026)LLeon 2 - 3 Atlas (18-07-2026)
11 Necaxa 4 6 6 7 -1 LNecaxa 1 - 2 Leon (18-08-2026)LToluca 3 - 1 Necaxa (03-08-2026)WNecaxa 2 - 1 Monterrey (26-07-2026)WNecaxa 2 - 1 Atlante FC (17-07-2026)
12 Atlante FC 4 5 5 5 0 DAtlante FC 0 - 0 Toluca (15-08-2026)WCruz Azul 2 - 3 Atlante FC (02-08-2026)DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Club America (25-07-2026)LNecaxa 2 - 1 Atlante FC (17-07-2026)
13 Puebla 3 4 3 3 0 WCF Pachuca 2 - 3 Puebla (18-08-2026)DPuebla 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (01-08-2026)LCruz Azul 2 - 1 Puebla (22-07-2026)WFC Juarez 0 - 1 Puebla (18-07-2026)
14 CF Pachuca 3 3 4 3 +1 LCF Pachuca 2 - 3 Puebla (18-08-2026)LLeon 1 - 0 CF Pachuca (02-08-2026)LCF Pachuca 1 - 2 Club Queretaro (27-07-2026)WU.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 3 CF Pachuca (18-07-2026)
15 Atletico San Luis 4 2 4 8 -4 LClub America 3 - 0 Atletico San Luis (16-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 0 - 0 Club Tijuana (01-08-2026)DTigres UANL 2 - 2 Atletico San Luis (26-07-2026)LAtletico San Luis 2 - 3 Cruz Azul (18-07-2026)
16 Tigres UANL 4 1 6 10 -4 LAtlas 2 - 1 Tigres UANL (16-08-2026)LClub Queretaro 3 - 2 Tigres UANL (01-08-2026)DTigres UANL 2 - 2 Atletico San Luis (26-07-2026)LClub Tijuana 3 - 1 Tigres UANL (17-07-2026)
17 Santos Laguna 4 0 2 8 -6 LSantos Laguna 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (17-08-2026)LClub America 3 - 0 Santos Laguna (02-08-2026)LSantos Laguna 0 - 1 Atlas (26-07-2026)LMonterrey 3 - 2 Santos Laguna (19-07-2026)
18 FC Juarez 4 0 2 13 -11 LMonterrey 6 - 1 FC Juarez (16-08-2026)LFC Juarez 1 - 5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (01-08-2026)LGuadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 FC Juarez (25-07-2026)LFC Juarez 0 - 1 Puebla (18-07-2026)