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Futmetrix Verdict
62
Ratchaburi
vs
Kashiwa Reysol
Tue, Oct 27 • 12:15 UTC
⚡ Form
61
⚖️ Balance
64
🏆 Stakes
50
⭐ Stars
55
Points are urgent; goals already flow
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
5' R. Monreal
S. Medina 20'
27' L. Faravelli
R. Chavez 32'
C. Salcedo 36'
HT
↓ J. Corona ↑O. Pineda 46'
46' ↓ R. Monreal ↑E. Rodriguez
56' J. Carranza (F. Mendez)
↓ D. Rossi ↑H. Cuypers 60'
↓ G. Arteaga ↑A. Aceves 60'
L. Ocampos 67'
75' ↓ J. P. Torres Patino ↑M. Pedroza
↓ L. Orellano ↑L. Reyes 77'
79' M. Varini
87' ↓ C. Vargas ↑M. Zaleta
87' ↓ L. Faravelli ↑R. Cortez
90' ↓ J. Ruiz ↑J. Valencia
90'+1 J. Valencia (M. Zaleta)
↓ J. Rodriguez ↑U. Djurdjevic 90'+3
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Necaxa
Goalkeepers
Luis Jiménez 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Raúl Martínez 
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
41%
Pass Acc
Francisco Méndez 
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
2
Interceptions
1
Blocks
Agustín Oliveros 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Midfielders
Ricardo Monreal
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
Lorenzo Faravelli 
NPC
87
Minutes
87
Minutes
22%
Pass Acc
6.9
Rating
Daniel Leyva 
FRIENDLY FIRE
Pen Given
Mistake
Pen Given
Mistake
2
Fouls
6.9
Rating
Carlos Vargas
👻 Invisible Nothing to note
Forwards
Juan Pablo Torres
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
75
Total Mins
75
Entry
Javier Ruiz
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
18%
Pass Acc
Julián Carranza 
PROVOCATEUR
7
Fouls Won
7
Fouls Won
11
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
BENCH
Christopher Andrade 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Kaiky Naves
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Emilio Martínez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Miguel Rodríguez 
ENFORCER
3
Tackles
3
Tackles
3
Duels Won
100%
Win %
Mauro Zaleta 
SUPER SUB
1
Assist
1
Assist
12
Minutes
7.7
Rating
Rogelio Cortéz
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
12
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matias Espindola
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Pedro Pedraza
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Miguel Pedroza
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
15
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Juan Valencia 
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.3
Rating
Monterrey
Goalkeepers
Luis Cárdenas 
MAGNET
44
Activity
44
Activity
44
Passes
0
Duels
Defenders
Ricardo Chávez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Stefan Medina
FRIENDLY FIRE
Red Card
Mistake
Red Card
Mistake
2
Fouls
3.5
Rating
Carlos Salcedo 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Gerardo Arteaga
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
60
Total Mins
60
Entry
Midfielders
Óliver Torres
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
7
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Jorge Rodríguez
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Luca Orellano
LATE SHIFT
13
Late Mins
13
Late Mins
77
Total Mins
77
Entry
Jesús Corona
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
Lucas Ocampos 
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Forwards
Diego Rossi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
60
Total Mins
60
Entry
BENCH
César Ramos
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Alonso Aceves
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
30
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Luis Reyes
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
3
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Víctor Guzmán
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Orbelín Pineda
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Iker Fimbres
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Fidel Ambríz
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cristian Reyes
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Hugo Cuypers
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
30
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Uroš Đurđević
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/2025 | Monterrey | 3 - 0 | Necaxa | Liga MX | Estadio BBVA Bancomer |
| 02/02/2025 | Monterrey | 1 - 0 | Necaxa | Liga MX | Estadio BBVA |
| 07/18/2024 | Necaxa | 0 - 1 | Monterrey | Liga MX | Estadio Victoria |
| 04/29/2024 | Necaxa | 2 - 5 | Monterrey | Liga MX | Estadio Victoria |
| 11/01/2023 | Monterrey | 3 - 0 | Necaxa | Liga MX | Estadio BBVA |
| 02/19/2023 | Monterrey | 2 - 1 | Necaxa | Liga MX | Estadio BBVA |
Necaxa Win
Monterrey Win
Draw
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Necaxa
Monterrey
Necaxa
Monterrey
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Shock at Estadio Victoria as Necaxa Topple Monterrey
Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 84/100. Defying all pre-match expectations, the hosts orchestrated a brilliant tactical masterclass to stun one of the league's heavyweights in a fiercely contested battle.
Early Tremors
The kickoff at Estadio Victoria immediately revealed that this would be no straightforward assignment for the heavily favored visitors. Necaxa completely disregarded the script, flying into tackles and snapping at heels to disrupt any rhythm. The Stakes were visibly understood by the home side, who pressed aggressively rather than parking the bus against superior opposition. Monterrey, typically accustomed to dictating the tempo, looked visibly flustered by the sheer aggression. The opening exchanges burned with a high Intensity, transforming the pitch into a grueling midfield battleground. It was a gritty, uncompromising approach from the underdogs that successfully knocked the visitors out of their comfort zone and laid the foundation for the dramatic afternoon ahead.
The Tipping Point
As the match wore on, the Balance of power began to subtly shift away from the pre-match favorites. The 2-1 scoreline perfectly encapsulates the chaotic, evenly-matched nature of this thriller, where every loose ball sparked a frantic contest. Monterrey pushed forward in search of daylight, leaving massive gaps in their defensive structure that the hosts were eager to exploit on the counter. The critical Upset Factor materialized when the home side brutally punished these positional lapses, proving that tactical organization and sheer willpower can overcome statistical disadvantages. The visitors threw caution to the wind, but the home defense absorbed the pressure while maintaining a lethal edge on the break.
Holding the Line
The final phase was a pure test of endurance and nerve. Protecting a slender lead, the home team dropped slightly deeper, inviting pressure but refusing to break under the onslaught. The determination on display was absolutely remarkable as they repelled desperate waves of attacks from the Monterrey frontline. This stunning 2-1 victory sends massive shockwaves through the early Apertura table, proving that reputation counts for little when the whistle blows. For the visitors, it serves as a harsh early wake-up call and a bitter pill to swallow on the road. For the hosts, taking all three points at Estadio Victoria is a monumental achievement that will undoubtedly fuel their belief for the long season ahead.
Key Questions
How did the match at Estadio Victoria end?
Necaxa pulled off a stunning 2-1 upset victory over Monterrey in a fiercely contested Liga MX Apertura regular season clash.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Archive note: this preview was written after the match was played.
Early Season Jitters at Estadio Victoria
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 10/100. With neither side firing on all cylinders yet, this early Apertura encounter lacks the narrative punch to demand your full attention.
The Setup
It is only Round 2 of the regular season, meaning the Stakes are understandably low as teams look to establish their baseline. Monterrey arrive as the statistical favorites, but a dire Form rating for both squads suggests a disjointed and sluggish affair at Estadio Victoria. The lack of overall marquee attraction hurts the Stars rating, though the visitors boast a few genuine difference-makers in G. Berterame and N. Deossa. Meanwhile, Necaxa will hope that J. Carranza can ignite a home crowd desperate for early optimism. A modest Balance rating points to the away side holding a slight but meaningful edge in tactical quality.
Key Battle
The tactical picture will likely mirror the lethargy of early-season fixtures. Monterrey's midfield control against Necaxa's deep defensive block represents the central struggle of the evening. With low intensity levels across the pitch, expect the visitors to comfortably dictate the tempo in possession while the hosts try to disrupt the flow and counter-attack through the flanks.
Our Prediction
Monterrey to win 1-0. It will not be pretty, but the visitors' slight edge in attacking quality should eventually be enough to break down a stubborn Necaxa defense late in the second half.