Major League Soccer Regular Season - 13

Los Angeles FC vs NS Houston Dynamo

BMO Stadium

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
51
Los Angeles FC
vs
Houston Dynamo
Mon, May 11 • 01:00
⚡ Form 78
⚖️ Balance 9
🏆 Stakes 44
⭐ Stars 45
Crucial playoff positioning on the line.

Win Probability

  • Los Angeles FC 58%
  • Draw 23%
  • Houston Dynamo 19%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Top Four Ambitions Collide at BMO Stadium

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 51/100. Los Angeles FC's attacking firepower threatens to overwhelm a leaky Houston side in a pivotal clash for early playoff positioning.

The Setup

The stakes are crystal clear at BMO Stadium as Los Angeles FC aim to cement their spot in the upper echelons of the Western Conference. Sitting comfortably in third place with 21 points, the hosts welcome a Houston Dynamo squad chasing the pack from eighth place with 15 points. A strong Form rating points to an absolute goal-fest. The hosts are ruthlessly efficient, netting 2.2 goals per game, while Houston's defense is alarmingly porous, bleeding three goals a match on the road. A combined projection of nearly four goals guarantees entertainment.

While the regular-season context means the Stakes metric is modest, the overall Balance tilts heavily in favor of the home side. Adding to Houston's headache is an intimidating Stars rating for the hosts, highlighted by the world-class presence of Son Heung-Min, who can single-handedly dismantle disorganized backlines.

Key Battle

The match will be won or lost in the creative zones, featuring a duel between Cabral Carter and Lawrence Ennali. Carter has been pulling the strings expertly for the home side, dominating possession and dictating tempo. On the counter, Houston's hopes rest entirely on Ennali, who possesses the spark necessary to exploit any gaps left by an aggressive LAFC press.

Our Prediction

Los Angeles FC takes this 3-1. Houston's fragile defensive unit simply lacks the structure to contain LAFC's relentless pressing and clinical finishing over the full 90 minutes.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes. Houston's porous defense facing LAFC's potent attack guarantees an entertaining, high-scoring affair full of offensive highlights.

What's the predicted outcome?

A comfortable 3-1 win for Los Angeles FC, exploiting Houston's massive defensive vulnerabilities.

Where are Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo in the league table?

LAFC sits 3rd with 21 points, while Houston Dynamo occupies 8th place with 15 points.

What is Los Angeles FC's current form?

They are navigating a rocky stretch, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five league outings.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Lawrence Ennali of Houston Dynamo is the standout, boasting 1 goal in 1 match and averaging a stellar 8.2 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
05/04/2025 Los Angeles FC 2 - 0 Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer BMO Stadium
04/06/2025 Houston Dynamo 1 - 0 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
09/08/2024 Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
09/01/2024 Los Angeles FC 0 - 2 Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer BMO Stadium
12/03/2023 Los Angeles FC 2 - 0 Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer BMO Stadium
06/15/2023 Los Angeles FC 0 - 1 Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer BMO Stadium
06/11/2023 Houston Dynamo 4 - 0 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
09/19/2022 Los Angeles FC 3 - 1 Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer Banc of California Stadium
09/01/2022 Houston Dynamo 2 - 1 Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer PNC Stadium
05/04/2025
Major League Soccer BMO Stadium
04/06/2025
Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
09/08/2024
Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
09/01/2024
Major League Soccer BMO Stadium
12/03/2023
Major League Soccer BMO Stadium
06/15/2023
Major League Soccer BMO Stadium
06/11/2023
Major League Soccer Shell Energy Stadium
09/19/2022
Major League Soccer Banc of California Stadium
09/01/2022
Major League Soccer PNC Stadium
Los Angeles FC Win
Houston Dynamo Win
Draw

Season Statistics

3
League Position
8
21
Points
15
17
Goals Scored
12
6
Goals Conceded
18

Western Conference League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 San Jose Earthquakes 11 28 26 7 +19 DToronto FC 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes (02-05-2026)WSt. Louis City 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (26-04-2026)WSan Jose Earthquakes 5 - 1 Austin (23-04-2026)WLos Angeles FC 1 - 4 San Jose Earthquakes (19-04-2026)WSporting Kansas City 1 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (12-04-2026)
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 10 25 26 6 +20 DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps (03-05-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 1 Colorado Rapids (26-04-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (18-04-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 2 - 0 New York City FC (11-04-2026)WVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 2 Portland Timbers (05-04-2026)
3 Los Angeles FC 11 21 19 8 +11 DSan Diego 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (03-05-2026)WMinnesota United FC 0 - 1 Los Angeles FC (25-04-2026)DLos Angeles FC 0 - 0 Colorado Rapids (23-04-2026)LLos Angeles FC 1 - 4 San Jose Earthquakes (19-04-2026)LPortland Timbers 2 - 1 Los Angeles FC (11-04-2026)
4 Seattle Sounders 9 20 13 5 +8 DSporting Kansas City 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (02-05-2026)WSeattle Sounders 2 - 1 FC Dallas (26-04-2026)WSeattle Sounders 4 - 1 St. Louis City (19-04-2026)WHouston Dynamo 0 - 1 Seattle Sounders (05-04-2026)DMinnesota United FC 0 - 0 Seattle Sounders (22-03-2026)
5 Minnesota United FC 11 20 14 16 -2 WColumbus Crew 2 - 3 Minnesota United FC (02-05-2026)LMinnesota United FC 0 - 1 Los Angeles FC (25-04-2026)WFC Dallas 0 - 1 Minnesota United FC (23-04-2026)WMinnesota United FC 2 - 0 Portland Timbers (19-04-2026)WSan Diego 1 - 2 Minnesota United FC (12-04-2026)
6 Real Salt Lake 10 19 19 14 +5 WReal Salt Lake 2 - 0 Portland Timbers (02-05-2026)LLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (26-04-2026)LReal Salt Lake 0 - 2 Inter Miami (23-04-2026)WReal Salt Lake 4 - 2 San Diego (19-04-2026)WReal Salt Lake 3 - 1 Sporting Kansas City (04-04-2026)
7 FC Dallas 11 16 20 15 +5 WNew York Red Bulls 0 - 2 FC Dallas (02-05-2026)LSeattle Sounders 2 - 1 FC Dallas (26-04-2026)LFC Dallas 0 - 1 Minnesota United FC (23-04-2026)DFC Dallas 2 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy (19-04-2026)DFC Dallas 1 - 1 St. Louis City (12-04-2026)
8 Houston Dynamo 10 15 13 18 -5 WHouston Dynamo 1 - 0 Colorado Rapids (03-05-2026)LAustin 2 - 0 Houston Dynamo (26-04-2026)WHouston Dynamo 1 - 0 San Diego (23-04-2026)WOrlando City SC 0 - 1 Houston Dynamo (18-04-2026)LColorado Rapids 6 - 2 Houston Dynamo (12-04-2026)
9 Colorado Rapids 11 13 22 19 +3 LHouston Dynamo 1 - 0 Colorado Rapids (03-05-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 1 Colorado Rapids (26-04-2026)DLos Angeles FC 0 - 0 Colorado Rapids (23-04-2026)LColorado Rapids 2 - 3 Inter Miami (18-04-2026)WColorado Rapids 6 - 2 Houston Dynamo (12-04-2026)
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 11 13 16 17 -1 DLos Angeles Galaxy 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps (03-05-2026)WLos Angeles Galaxy 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake (26-04-2026)LColumbus Crew 2 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy (22-04-2026)DFC Dallas 2 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy (19-04-2026)WAustin 1 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy (11-04-2026)
11 San Diego 11 12 19 19 0 DSan Diego 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC (03-05-2026)LSan Diego 1 - 2 Portland Timbers (26-04-2026)LHouston Dynamo 1 - 0 San Diego (23-04-2026)LReal Salt Lake 4 - 2 San Diego (19-04-2026)LSan Diego 1 - 2 Minnesota United FC (12-04-2026)
12 Portland Timbers 10 10 13 21 -8 LReal Salt Lake 2 - 0 Portland Timbers (02-05-2026)WSan Diego 1 - 2 Portland Timbers (26-04-2026)LMinnesota United FC 2 - 0 Portland Timbers (19-04-2026)WPortland Timbers 2 - 1 Los Angeles FC (11-04-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 2 Portland Timbers (05-04-2026)
13 Austin 10 10 14 19 -5 WAustin 2 - 0 St. Louis City (03-05-2026)WAustin 2 - 0 Houston Dynamo (26-04-2026)LSan Jose Earthquakes 5 - 1 Austin (23-04-2026)DToronto FC 3 - 3 Austin (18-04-2026)LAustin 1 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy (11-04-2026)
14 St. Louis City 9 6 9 16 -7 LAustin 2 - 0 St. Louis City (03-05-2026)LSt. Louis City 2 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (26-04-2026)LSeattle Sounders 4 - 1 St. Louis City (19-04-2026)DFC Dallas 1 - 1 St. Louis City (12-04-2026)DNew York City FC 1 - 1 St. Louis City (04-04-2026)
15 Sporting Kansas City 10 5 8 26 -18 DSporting Kansas City 1 - 1 Seattle Sounders (02-05-2026)LChicago Fire 5 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (26-04-2026)LVancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Sporting Kansas City (18-04-2026)LSporting Kansas City 1 - 3 San Jose Earthquakes (12-04-2026)LReal Salt Lake 3 - 1 Sporting Kansas City (04-04-2026)