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Futmetrix Verdict
28
FT
Sun, Mar 1
San Jose Earthquakes
2-0
Atlanta United FC
⚡ Intensity 21
⚖️ Balance 13
🏆 Stakes 44
🎲 Upset 0
Earthquakes rattle Atlanta in routine victory.

Win Probability

  • San Jose Earthquakes 49%
  • Draw 26%
  • Atlanta United FC 26%

Futmetrix AI estimate

San Jose's Clinical Edge Dismantles Atlanta

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 28/100. San Jose proved their early-season credentials, brushing aside a blunt Atlanta side to solidify their spot near the top of the table.

The Opening Act: Setting the Trap

The hosts knew exactly what they wanted to do at PayPal Park. San Jose Earthquakes allowed the visitors to hold the ball early on. Atlanta United FC edged possession with 54 percent, knocking the ball around comfortably but harmlessly. They simply lacked the venom to break through the lines. The hosts preferred a direct, punishing approach. The match's sheer Intensity was visible in the physical battles and the 11 combined corners. It did not take long for the strategy to bear fruit. J. Ricketts acted as the chief orchestrator for the home side. In the 24th minute, he found a pocket of space and delivered a lethal ball to P. Judd. The finish was emphatic. The Earthquakes had their breakthrough, forcing Atlanta to chase a game they were already struggling to dictate.

The Pivot: Midfield Strangulation

Atlanta faced an uphill battle and ran completely out of ideas. They generated a miserable 0.83 expected goals. The visitors registered just a single shot on target throughout the entire contest. Their passing was accurate, but entirely passive. San Jose's defensive block was an impenetrable wall. Ian Harkes delivered a masterclass in midfield control. He mopped up loose balls, broke up transitions, and provided two key passes to keep the visitors retreating. High Stakes matches demand game-changers, and Harkes stepped up to own the center of the park. The Earthquakes racked up 11 total shots and continually tested the opposing goalkeeper. Atlanta's frustration grew as the minutes ticked by. They committed 19 fouls trying to win the ball back, disrupting their own non-existent rhythm in the process.

Resolution: Sealing the Deal

San Jose never took their foot off the gas pedal. The overall Balance heavily favored the hosts, who looked capable of scoring on every fast break. Substitute Timo Werner entered the match and immediately caused havoc against tired legs. His fresh energy provided another crucial outlet in the attacking third. The final blow arrived in the 79th minute. O. Bouda found the back of the net, burying a clinical strike to make it 2-0. The result firmly cements San Jose's excellent form. They sit comfortably in third place with 12 points, making a serious statement of intent. For Atlanta, the alarm bells are ringing. They drop to tenth place with just one win in five outings. Their toothless attack and brittle defense need an immediate overhaul before the season slips away entirely.

Key Questions

How did substitute Jamar Ricketts change the game?

Though Ricketts actually started the match, he was the primary creative force. He provided the crucial 24th-minute assist for P. Judd to break the deadlock.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
46%
54%
San Jose Earthquakes 46%
Atlanta United FC 54%
Shots
11
8
San Jose Earthquakes 11
Atlanta United FC 8
Shots on Target
5
1
San Jose Earthquakes 5
Atlanta United FC 1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83
0.83
San Jose Earthquakes 2.83
Atlanta United FC 0.83
Passes
415
503
San Jose Earthquakes 415
Atlanta United FC 503
Pass Accuracy
80%
84%
San Jose Earthquakes 80%
Atlanta United FC 84%
Corners
7
4
San Jose Earthquakes 7
Atlanta United FC 4
Fouls
9
19
San Jose Earthquakes 9
Atlanta United FC 19
Yellow Cards
1
3
San Jose Earthquakes 1
Atlanta United FC 3
Red Cards
0
0
San Jose Earthquakes 0
Atlanta United FC 0

Match Events

24' P. Judd (J. Ricketts)
Cooper Sanchez 🟨 39'
HT
S. Lobjanidze A. Miranchuk 🔄 60'
61' 🔄 P. Judd T. Werner
R. Hernandez T. Muyumba 🔄 61'
C. Sanchez P. Amador 🔄 70'
77' 🔄 B. Leroux J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
77' 🔄 J. Ricketts J. Skahan
79' O. Bouda
90' 🟨 DeJuan Jones
90'+2 🔄 N. Tsakiris P. Marie
90'+2 🔄 O. Bouda N. Fernandez
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

San Jose Earthquakes

Goalkeepers
Daniel
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
2
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Defenders
Benjamin Kikanovic
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Daniel Munie
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Reid Roberts
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
DeJuan Jones
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Midfielders
Ian Harkes
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Beau Leroux
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
13
Late Mins
13
Late Mins
77
Total Mins
77
Entry
Ousseni Bouda
CLOSER
CLOSER
1
Late Goals
1
Late Goals
0
Late Assists
75
Minute
Nikolas Tsakiris
NPC
NPC
89
Minutes
89
Minutes
33%
Pass Acc
6.9
Rating
Jamar Ricketts
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
5
Fouls Won
5
Fouls Won
7
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Forwards
Preston Judd
FINISHER
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
3
Shots
7.3
Rating
BENCH
Francesco Montali
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Dave Romney
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Paul Marie
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Vítor Costa
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jonathan González
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Noel Buck
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jack Skahan
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nick Fernandez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Timo Werner
SUPER SUB
SUPER SUB
1
Assist
1
Assist
29
Minutes
7.5
Rating

Atlanta United FC

Goalkeepers
Lucas Hoyos
MAGNET
MAGNET
49
Activity
49
Activity
47
Passes
2
Duels
Defenders
Ronald Hernández
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
60
Total Mins
61
Entry
Enea Mihaj
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Juan Berrocal
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Elías Báez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
Cooper Sanchez
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
70
Total Mins
70
Entry
Tomás Jacob
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Steven Alzate
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Miguel Almirón
MAGNET
MAGNET
57
Activity
57
Activity
44
Passes
13
Duels
Emmanuel Latte Lath
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Saba Lobzhanidze
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
60
Total Mins
60
Entry
BENCH
Jayden Hibbert
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Stian Gregersen
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matthew Edwards
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Pedro Amador
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
6%
Pass Acc
Luke Brennan
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tristan Muyumba
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
30
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Aleksey Miranchuk
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
30
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Adrian Gill
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cayman Togashi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
02/26/2023 Atlanta United FC 2 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
09/21/2019 Atlanta United FC 3 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
09/20/2018 San Jose Earthquakes 3 - 4 Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer Avaya Stadium
07/04/2017 Atlanta United FC 4 - 2 San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer Bobby Dodd Stadium
02/26/2023
Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
09/21/2019
Major League Soccer Mercedes-Benz Stadium
09/20/2018
Major League Soccer Avaya Stadium
07/04/2017
Major League Soccer Bobby Dodd Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes Win
Atlanta United FC Win
Draw

League Standings

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