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Futmetrix Verdict
100
FT
Sun, Oct 25
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
⚡ Intensity
68
⚖️ Balance
42
🏆 Stakes
100
🎲 Upset
60
Mbappé breaks El Clásico late
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
L. Colombo (R. Malinovskyi) 28'
HT
46' ↓ Y. Fofana ↑R. Loftus-Cheek
↓ R. Malinovskyi ↑M. E. Ellertsson 64'
↓ M. Thorsby ↑P. Masini 64'
65' ↓ A. Saelemaekers ↑N. Fullkrug
70' Matteo Gabbia
75' ↓ M. Gabbia ↑Z. Athekame
↓ Vitinha ↑J. Ekhator 75'
Nicola Leali 80'
↓ A. Martin ↑N. Stanciu 83'
↓ L. Colombo ↑S. Otoa 83'
90' R. Leao
90'+7 Mike Maignan
90'+7 Strahinja Pavlović
90'+9 Fikayo Tomori
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
AC Milan
Goalkeepers
Mike Maignan 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Fikayo Tomori 
MAGNET
82
Activity
82
Activity
74
Passes
8
Duels
Matteo Gabbia 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
86%
Duel Win %
Strahinja Pavlović 
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
70%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Alexis Saelemaekers
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
65
Total Mins
65
Entry
Youssouf Fofana
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
Luka Modrić
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
63%
Pass Acc
Adrien Rabiot
MAGNET
71
Activity
71
Activity
59
Passes
12
Duels
Davide Bartesaghi 
FRIENDLY FIRE
Pen Given
Mistake
Pen Given
Mistake
2
Fouls
7
Rating
Forwards
Rafael Leão 
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
8
Rating
Christian Pulišić
MAGNET
48
Activity
48
Activity
39
Passes
9
Duels
BENCH
Pietro Terracciano 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Lorenzo Torriani
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Pervis Estupiñán
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Koni De Winter
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Zachary Athekame 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
David Odogu
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Samuele Ricci
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ardon Jashari
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Niclas Füllkrug
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
25
Total Mins
Started
Entry
A. Castiello
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Genoa
Goalkeepers
Nicola Leali
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Alessandro Marcandalli
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Leo Østigård
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
67%
Duel Win %
Johan Vásquez 
SHIELD
3
Blocks
3
Blocks
0
Interceptions
0
Tackles
Midfielders
Brooke Norton-Cuffy
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ruslan Malinovskyi 
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7.3
Rating
Morten Frendrup
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Morten Thorsby
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
63
Total Mins
64
Entry
Aarón Martín
LATE SHIFT
7
Late Mins
7
Late Mins
83
Total Mins
83
Entry
Forwards
Vítinha 
PROVOCATEUR
5
Fouls Won
5
Fouls Won
12
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Lorenzo Colombo 
FINISHER
1
Goals
1
Goals
3
Shots
7.3
Rating
BENCH
Ernestas Lysionok
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Daniele Sommariva
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Stefano Sabelli
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sebastian Otoa
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nicolae Stanciu
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Hugo Cuenca
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Patrizio Masini
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
27
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mikael Ellertsson
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
26
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jeff Ekhator
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
15
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Seydou Fini
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lorenzo Venturino
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Joi Nuredini
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2026 | AC Milan | 1 - 1 | Genoa | Serie A | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
| 05/05/2025 | Genoa | 1 - 2 | AC Milan | Serie A | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| 12/15/2024 | AC Milan | 0 - 0 | Genoa | Serie A | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
| 05/05/2024 | AC Milan | 3 - 3 | Genoa | Serie A | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
| 10/07/2023 | Genoa | 0 - 1 | AC Milan | Serie A | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| 04/15/2022 | AC Milan | 2 - 0 | Genoa | Serie A | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
| 01/13/2022 | AC Milan | 3 - 1 (AET) | Genoa | Coppa Italia | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
| 12/01/2021 | Genoa | 0 - 3 | AC Milan | Serie A | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| 04/18/2021 | AC Milan | 2 - 1 | Genoa | Serie A | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
| 12/16/2020 | Genoa | 2 - 2 | AC Milan | Serie A | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
AC Milan Win
Genoa Win
Draw
League Standings
P: 19 GD: +26
P: 19 GD: +17
P: 19 GD: +13
P: 19 GD: +11
P: 19 GD: +10
P: 19 GD: +12
P: 19 GD: +7
P: 19 GD: +4
P: 19 GD: +4
P: 19 GD: -10
P: 19 GD: -2
P: 19 GD: -9
P: 19 GD: -3
P: 19 GD: -6
P: 19 GD: -9
P: 19 GD: -14
P: 19 GD: -10
P: 19 GD: -10
P: 19 GD: -16
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
AC Milan
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Leão rescues Milan after Leali's goalkeeping masterclass
Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 79/100. A relentless attacking siege by the Rossoneri was almost thwarted by a heroic defensive stand, leaving the title contenders frustrated by a resilient relegation-threatened side.
Rossoneri dominance met with a clinical sting
The encounter at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza began with a clear narrative of territorial control as AC Milan dominated possession with a 61% share. However, the script was flipped in the 28th minute when Genoa executed a perfect counter-attack. A precise delivery from R. Malinovskyi found L. Colombo, who finished clinically to give the visitors a shock lead. An Intensity rating of 9.8 reflected the frantic nature of the match as Milan immediately flooded forward in response. Midfield engine Adrien Rabiot attempted to drive his team forward, but the hosts found themselves trailing at the interval despite their statistical superiority.
The Leali wall and VAR intervention
The second half transformed into a shooting gallery, with Milan unleashing a barrage of 32 total shots. Standing in their way was Nicola Leali, who produced a goalkeeping performance for the ages. Making 7 crucial saves, many from point-blank range, Leali single-handedly maintained the Balance of the scoreline. The tension peaked in the 60th minute when Christian Pulišić appeared to have leveled the match, only for VAR to intervene and cancel the goal. This moment heightened the frustration for the home support, as 12 corners and constant pressure failed to break the deadlock against a Genoa side fighting for every scrap of turf.
Late salvation from Rafael Leão
As the match entered its final moments, it seemed the Upset Factor would prevail in Milan's own backyard. However, the relentless pressure finally told in the 90th minute. Rafael Leão, Milan's talismanic forward, found a pocket of space to fire home a dramatic equalizer. The goal provided a massive sigh of relief for the hosts, given the high Stakes involved in the race for the top spots. While Genoa will be heartbroken to concede so late, the point remains a monumental achievement in their battle against the drop. For Milan, the 32-7 shot advantage tells the story of a missed opportunity to secure all three points despite their late heroics.
Key Questions
How did VAR change this match?
VAR overturned Christian Pulišić's 60th-minute goal, forcing Milan to wait until the 90th minute for their equalizer.
What made Nicola Leali the Man of the Match?
Leali made 7 saves against a 32-shot barrage, preventing an xG of 2.45 and nearly securing a shock win.
Did AC Milan deserve the late equalizer?
Yes, Milan's dominance with 61% possession and 32 shots made an equalizer the minimum they deserved for their effort.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Archive note: this preview was written after the match was played.
Rossoneri Title Hopes Face Genoa Test
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 64/100. This encounter at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza is a defining moment for Milan's championship ambitions against a struggling Genoa side.
The Setup
As the Serie A season hits its stride on January 08, 2026, AC Milan finds itself in the thick of a high-octane title race. Occupying second place, the hosts carry a formidable Stars rating of 8.6, underlined by the presence of world-class talents like Rafael Leão and C. Pulišić. While their Form score of 6.3 suggests they are professional rather than perfect, the Stakes are maximum for a side that cannot afford to drop points against 16th-placed Genoa.
Key Battle
Tactically, this match pits Milan’s high-octane offensive unit against a Genoa side likely to deploy a deep defensive block. The home midfield, bolstered by the recent impact of Adrien Rabiot, will look to dictate the tempo and starve the visitors of possession. Genoa's primary hope lies in the shot-stopping ability of Daniele Sommariva, who will need to survive a literal siege from Milan's versatile front three to keep the scoreline respectable.
Our Prediction
Milan's technical Balance is significantly higher, and the sheer volume of expected goals suggests a one-sided affair. Expect the Rossoneri to dominate from the first whistle, utilizing the creative spark of Christopher Nkunku to break the deadlock. With Mike Maignan in commanding form at the back, a clean sheet for the hosts is highly probable. We predict a comfortable 3-0 victory for the home side as they maintain their pursuit of the Scudetto.