Ligue 1 Gameweek 9

Lille vs NS Lens

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Match Preview

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Futmetrix Verdict
69
Lille
vs
Lens
Fri, Oct 30 • 20:05 Français
⚡ Form 62
⚖️ Balance 87
🏆 Stakes 40
⭐ Stars 71
Northern pride goes on the line

Win Probability

  • Lille 41%
  • Draw 26%
  • Lens 32%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Lille–Lens: northern pride is up for grabs

Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 69/100. Local pride is the headline, but Lille’s four-point lead makes this Derby du Nord matter in the early league table.

The Setup

After seven rounds, Lille are fourth on 14 points and Lens are ninth on 10. Lille have four wins, two draws and one defeat, with 10 goals scored and only five conceded. Lens have scored 14, yet allowed 11: a sharper attacking return, but more space to protect at the back. The Form edge belongs to Lille, while the Balance is tighter than the table suggests. Lille can strengthen their place near the top; Lens can close the gap. The Stakes start with northern bragging rights, then carry into the league table. On 30 October 2026, the crowd at Stade Pierre-Mauroy will give every transition extra bite.

Key Battle

The key duel is D. Bakwa against F. Thauvin. The Stars dimension turns on their contrasting jobs: Bakwa can attack space and turn a Lille regain into a quick break, while Thauvin supplies Lens with the final pass. He has five assists in five matches. If Lille leave gaps between the lines, his delivery can swing the pressure; if Bakwa gets room to run, Lens will have to retreat.

Our Expected Outcome

We expect a narrow 2-1 Lille win. Lens should create chances with their attack, but their defensive record leaves openings for the hosts to exploit on the break. Lille are likely to move the ball quickly towards Bakwa, then tighten up when Lens settle into possession. Expect a close game with threats at both ends, and Lille’s greater defensive control to prove decisive.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes. The Derby du Nord brings local pride, a four-point gap and two productive attacks into one sharp league fixture.

What is the expected outcome?

Expect a narrow Lille win, 2-1: Lens should threaten on the break, but the hosts’ stronger defensive record tips the balance.

Where are Lille and Lens in the league table?

Lille are fourth with 14 points; Lens are ninth on 10.

What is Lille’s current Form?

Lille have four wins, two draws and one defeat from seven league matches.

Who is the standout player to watch?

D. Bakwa is the player to watch: 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 matches, averaging a 7.5 rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
09/20/2025 Lens 3 - 0 Lille Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
03/30/2025 Lille 1 - 0 Lens Ligue 1 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
10/26/2024 Lens 0 - 2 Lille Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
03/29/2024 Lille 2 - 1 Lens Ligue 1 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
10/08/2023 Lens 1 - 1 Lille Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
03/04/2023 Lens 1 - 1 Lille Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
09/20/2025
3 - 0
Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
03/30/2025
1 - 0
Ligue 1 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
10/26/2024
0 - 2
Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
03/29/2024
2 - 1
Ligue 1 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
10/08/2023
1 - 1
Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
03/04/2023
1 - 1
Ligue 1 Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lille Win
Lens Win
Draw

Season Statistics

vs
4
League Position
9
14
Points
10
10
Goals Scored
14
5
Goals Conceded
11

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Lyon 7 14 13 5 +8 WLyon 2 - 1 Nice (18-10-2026)LLens 2 - 1 Lyon (09-10-2026)WLyon 4 - 0 Rennes (19-09-2026)DParis FC 0 - 0 Lyon (12-09-2026)WLyon 3 - 1 Auxerre (04-09-2026)
2 Paris Saint Germain 7 14 14 9 +5 WStrasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (17-10-2026)WParis Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans (10-10-2026)WMarseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (20-09-2026)WStade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (13-09-2026)LParis Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco (04-09-2026)
3 Paris FC 7 14 12 7 +5 WParis FC 4 - 3 Rennes (18-10-2026)LLorient 1 - 0 Paris FC (10-10-2026)WParis FC 2 - 1 Strasbourg (19-09-2026)DParis FC 0 - 0 Lyon (12-09-2026)WMarseille 2 - 3 Paris FC (06-09-2026)
4 Lille 7 14 10 5 +5 DLille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (17-10-2026)WLille 1 - 0 Le Havre (10-10-2026)LNice 2 - 1 Lille (20-09-2026)WLille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (13-09-2026)WToulouse 0 - 1 Lille (03-09-2026)
5 Monaco 7 14 10 6 +4 LLorient 1 - 0 Monaco (18-10-2026)DMonaco 2 - 2 Toulouse (10-10-2026)WMonaco 2 - 1 Lens (18-09-2026)DStrasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco (12-09-2026)WParis Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco (04-09-2026)
6 Rennes 7 13 15 14 +1 LParis FC 4 - 3 Rennes (18-10-2026)WRennes 4 - 1 Auxerre (11-10-2026)LLyon 4 - 0 Rennes (19-09-2026)WRennes 1 - 0 Marseille (11-09-2026)WAngers 1 - 2 Rennes (06-09-2026)
7 Lorient 7 11 7 6 +1 WLorient 1 - 0 Monaco (18-10-2026)WLorient 1 - 0 Paris FC (10-10-2026)LLe Mans 2 - 1 Lorient (19-09-2026)DLorient 2 - 2 Toulouse (12-09-2026)WLens 0 - 1 Lorient (05-09-2026)
8 Nice 8 11 8 10 -2 WStade Brestois 29 1 - 2 Nice (23-10-2026)LLyon 2 - 1 Nice (18-10-2026)WNice 2 - 1 Strasbourg (11-10-2026)WNice 2 - 1 Lille (20-09-2026)LAuxerre 1 - 0 Nice (12-09-2026)
9 Lens 7 10 14 11 +3 WEstac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens (17-10-2026)WLens 2 - 1 Lyon (09-10-2026)LMonaco 2 - 1 Lens (18-09-2026)DLe Mans 2 - 2 Lens (13-09-2026)LLens 0 - 1 Lorient (05-09-2026)
10 Marseille 7 9 14 10 +4 WAngers 2 - 5 Marseille (18-10-2026)WEstac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille (11-10-2026)LMarseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (20-09-2026)LRennes 1 - 0 Marseille (11-09-2026)LMarseille 2 - 3 Paris FC (06-09-2026)
11 Stade Brestois 29 8 9 14 12 +2 LStade Brestois 29 1 - 2 Nice (23-10-2026)DLille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (17-10-2026)WStade Brestois 29 5 - 1 Angers (10-10-2026)LAuxerre 2 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (20-09-2026)LStade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (13-09-2026)
12 Toulouse 7 9 12 11 +1 WLe Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse (16-10-2026)DMonaco 2 - 2 Toulouse (10-10-2026)WToulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre (19-09-2026)DLorient 2 - 2 Toulouse (12-09-2026)LToulouse 0 - 1 Lille (03-09-2026)
13 Auxerre 7 9 11 17 -6 WLe Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre (18-10-2026)LRennes 4 - 1 Auxerre (11-10-2026)WAuxerre 2 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (20-09-2026)WAuxerre 1 - 0 Nice (12-09-2026)LLyon 3 - 1 Auxerre (04-09-2026)
14 Strasbourg 7 7 12 15 -3 LStrasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (17-10-2026)LNice 2 - 1 Strasbourg (11-10-2026)LParis FC 2 - 1 Strasbourg (19-09-2026)DStrasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco (12-09-2026)WEstac Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg (06-09-2026)
15 Angers 7 7 9 15 -6 LAngers 2 - 5 Marseille (18-10-2026)LStade Brestois 29 5 - 1 Angers (10-10-2026)WAngers 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (19-09-2026)DLe Havre 0 - 0 Angers (12-09-2026)LAngers 1 - 2 Rennes (06-09-2026)
16 Le Mans 7 6 10 15 -5 LLe Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse (16-10-2026)LParis Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans (10-10-2026)WLe Mans 2 - 1 Lorient (19-09-2026)DLe Mans 2 - 2 Lens (13-09-2026)DNice 1 - 1 Le Mans (05-09-2026)
17 Estac Troyes 7 4 5 16 -11 LEstac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens (17-10-2026)LEstac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille (11-10-2026)LAngers 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (19-09-2026)LLille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (13-09-2026)LEstac Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg (06-09-2026)
18 Le Havre 7 2 5 11 -6 LLe Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre (18-10-2026)LLille 1 - 0 Le Havre (10-10-2026)LToulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre (19-09-2026)DLe Havre 0 - 0 Angers (12-09-2026)LLe Havre 1 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 (05-09-2026)

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