Ligue 1 Gameweek 8

Marseille vs NS Le Havre

Orange Vélodrome

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
24
Marseille
vs
Le Havre
Sun, Oct 25 • 16:15 Français
⚡ Form 61
⚖️ Balance 63
🏆 Stakes 0
⭐ Stars 70
Le Havre desperate for Vélodrome miracle.

Win Probability

  • Marseille 60%
  • Draw 22%
  • Le Havre 18%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Marseille Seek Redemption Against Desperate Le Havre

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 24/100. The heavy mismatch makes this a predictable affair, but Le Havre's desperate fight for survival adds a necessary layer of urgency.

The Setup

The atmosphere at the Orange Vélodrome this October 25, 2026, will be fraught with expectation. Marseille currently sit mid-table in 9th, their Form severely derailed by three consecutive losses. Meanwhile, Le Havre are enduring a torrid campaign, rooted to the bottom of Ligue 1 with just two points from seven outings. This relegation battle dynamic does little to boost the overall Stakes of the match, as the competitive Balance is heavily skewed toward the hosts, who are massive favorites.

Despite Marseille's recent wobble, they boast undeniable quality in the final third. With Stars like Igor Paixão in their ranks, the home side will look to ruthlessly exploit a porous Le Havre backline that has already shipped 11 goals this term.

Key Battle

Marseille's attacking talisman A. Gouiri against Le Havre goalkeeper L. Mpasi is where this match will be decided. If Mpasi cannot pull off a string of elite saves early on, Gouiri will find the net and kill the contest off quickly.

Our Prediction

A routine victory for the home side. We expect Marseille to dominate possession from the opening whistle, pinning Le Havre deep in their own half. The visitors will attempt to absorb pressure and play on the counter, but their defensive resistance will eventually crumble under sustained attacks.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Unless you follow either team closely, skip it. The disparity in quality points toward a one-sided affair.

What's the predicted outcome?

A comfortable win for Marseille, capitalizing on Le Havre's clear defensive frailties.

Where are Marseille and Le Havre in the league table?

Marseille sit 9th in the standings, while Le Havre are struggling in 18th place at the very bottom.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille are on a notable slump, losing their last three matches (WWLLL) following a strong start.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

A. Gouiri of Marseille. He has recorded 3 goals and 1 assists in 5 matches, earning a 7.3 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
10/18/2025 Marseille 6 - 2 Le Havre Ligue 1 Orange Vélodrome
05/10/2025 Le Havre 1 - 3 Marseille Ligue 1 Stade Océane
01/05/2025 Marseille 5 - 1 Le Havre Ligue 1 Orange Vélodrome
05/19/2024 Le Havre 1 - 2 Marseille Ligue 1 Stade Océane
10/08/2023 Marseille 3 - 0 Le Havre Ligue 1 Orange Vélodrome
01/22/2012 Marseille 3 - 1 (AET) Le Havre Coupe de France Stade Vélodrome
10/18/2025
Ligue 1 Orange Vélodrome
05/10/2025
Ligue 1 Stade Océane
01/05/2025
Ligue 1 Orange Vélodrome
05/19/2024
Ligue 1 Stade Océane
10/08/2023
Ligue 1 Orange Vélodrome
01/22/2012
3 - 1 (AET)
Coupe de France Stade Vélodrome
Marseille Win
Le Havre Win
Draw

Season Statistics

9
League Position
18
9
Points
2
14
Goals Scored
5
10
Goals Conceded
11

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Lyon 7 14 13 5 +8 WLyon 2 - 1 Nice (18-10-2026)LLens 2 - 1 Lyon (09-10-2026)WLyon 4 - 0 Rennes (19-09-2026)DParis FC 0 - 0 Lyon (12-09-2026)WLyon 3 - 1 Auxerre (04-09-2026)
2 Paris Saint Germain 7 14 14 9 +5 WStrasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (17-10-2026)WParis Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans (10-10-2026)WMarseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (20-09-2026)WStade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (13-09-2026)LParis Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco (04-09-2026)
3 Paris FC 7 14 12 7 +5 WParis FC 4 - 3 Rennes (18-10-2026)LLorient 1 - 0 Paris FC (10-10-2026)WParis FC 2 - 1 Strasbourg (19-09-2026)DParis FC 0 - 0 Lyon (12-09-2026)WMarseille 2 - 3 Paris FC (06-09-2026)
4 Lille 7 14 10 5 +5 DLille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (17-10-2026)WLille 1 - 0 Le Havre (10-10-2026)LNice 2 - 1 Lille (20-09-2026)WLille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (13-09-2026)WToulouse 0 - 1 Lille (03-09-2026)
5 Monaco 7 14 10 6 +4 LLorient 1 - 0 Monaco (18-10-2026)DMonaco 2 - 2 Toulouse (10-10-2026)WMonaco 2 - 1 Lens (18-09-2026)DStrasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco (12-09-2026)WParis Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco (04-09-2026)
6 Rennes 7 13 15 14 +1 LParis FC 4 - 3 Rennes (18-10-2026)WRennes 4 - 1 Auxerre (11-10-2026)LLyon 4 - 0 Rennes (19-09-2026)WRennes 1 - 0 Marseille (11-09-2026)WAngers 1 - 2 Rennes (06-09-2026)
7 Lorient 7 11 7 6 +1 WLorient 1 - 0 Monaco (18-10-2026)WLorient 1 - 0 Paris FC (10-10-2026)LLe Mans 2 - 1 Lorient (19-09-2026)DLorient 2 - 2 Toulouse (12-09-2026)WLens 0 - 1 Lorient (05-09-2026)
8 Lens 7 10 14 11 +3 WEstac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens (17-10-2026)WLens 2 - 1 Lyon (09-10-2026)LMonaco 2 - 1 Lens (18-09-2026)DLe Mans 2 - 2 Lens (13-09-2026)LLens 0 - 1 Lorient (05-09-2026)
9 Marseille 7 9 14 10 +4 WAngers 2 - 5 Marseille (18-10-2026)WEstac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille (11-10-2026)LMarseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (20-09-2026)LRennes 1 - 0 Marseille (11-09-2026)LMarseille 2 - 3 Paris FC (06-09-2026)
10 Stade Brestois 29 7 9 13 10 +3 DLille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (17-10-2026)WStade Brestois 29 5 - 1 Angers (10-10-2026)LAuxerre 2 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (20-09-2026)LStade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (13-09-2026)WLe Havre 1 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 (05-09-2026)
11 Toulouse 7 9 12 11 +1 WLe Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse (16-10-2026)DMonaco 2 - 2 Toulouse (10-10-2026)WToulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre (19-09-2026)DLorient 2 - 2 Toulouse (12-09-2026)LToulouse 0 - 1 Lille (03-09-2026)
12 Auxerre 7 9 11 17 -6 WLe Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre (18-10-2026)LRennes 4 - 1 Auxerre (11-10-2026)WAuxerre 2 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 (20-09-2026)WAuxerre 1 - 0 Nice (12-09-2026)LLyon 3 - 1 Auxerre (04-09-2026)
13 Nice 7 8 6 9 -3 LLyon 2 - 1 Nice (18-10-2026)WNice 2 - 1 Strasbourg (11-10-2026)WNice 2 - 1 Lille (20-09-2026)LAuxerre 1 - 0 Nice (12-09-2026)DNice 1 - 1 Le Mans (05-09-2026)
14 Strasbourg 7 7 12 15 -3 LStrasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain (17-10-2026)LNice 2 - 1 Strasbourg (11-10-2026)LParis FC 2 - 1 Strasbourg (19-09-2026)DStrasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco (12-09-2026)WEstac Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg (06-09-2026)
15 Angers 7 7 9 15 -6 LAngers 2 - 5 Marseille (18-10-2026)LStade Brestois 29 5 - 1 Angers (10-10-2026)WAngers 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (19-09-2026)DLe Havre 0 - 0 Angers (12-09-2026)LAngers 1 - 2 Rennes (06-09-2026)
16 Le Mans 7 6 10 15 -5 LLe Mans 0 - 3 Toulouse (16-10-2026)LParis Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans (10-10-2026)WLe Mans 2 - 1 Lorient (19-09-2026)DLe Mans 2 - 2 Lens (13-09-2026)DNice 1 - 1 Le Mans (05-09-2026)
17 Estac Troyes 7 4 5 16 -11 LEstac Troyes 1 - 3 Lens (17-10-2026)LEstac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille (11-10-2026)LAngers 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (19-09-2026)LLille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes (13-09-2026)LEstac Troyes 2 - 6 Strasbourg (06-09-2026)
18 Le Havre 7 2 5 11 -6 LLe Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre (18-10-2026)LLille 1 - 0 Le Havre (10-10-2026)LToulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre (19-09-2026)DLe Havre 0 - 0 Angers (12-09-2026)LLe Havre 1 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 (05-09-2026)

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