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Futmetrix Verdict
100
FT
Sun, Oct 25
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
⚡ Intensity
68
⚖️ Balance
42
🏆 Stakes
100
🎲 Upset
60
Mbappé breaks El Clásico late
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
3' A. Saelemaekers (C. Pulisic)
31' C. Pulisic (Y. Fofana)
HT
56' Pervis Estupiñán
57' Pervis Estupiñán
59' ↓ C. Pulisic ↑D. Bartesaghi
K. De Bruyne 60'
68' ↓ A. Saelemaekers ↑Z. Athekame
69' ↓ S. Gimenez ↑R. Leao
↓ K. De Bruyne ↑E. Elmas 72'
↓ S. McTominay ↑David Neres 73'
↓ R. Hojlund ↑L. Lucca 73'
↓ M. Politano ↑N. Lang 77'
80' ↓ Y. Fofana ↑R. Loftus-Cheek
80' ↓ F. Tomori ↑K. De Winter
90' Adrien Rabiot
↓ S. Lobotka ↑B. Gilmour 90'+3
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
AC Milan
Goalkeepers
Mike Maignan 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Fikayo Tomori
LATE SHIFT
10
Late Mins
10
Late Mins
80
Total Mins
80
Entry
Matteo Gabbia
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Strahinja Pavlović 
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Midfielders
Alexis Saelemaekers 
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Youssouf Fofana 
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
6.9
Rating
Luka Modrić 
SWEEPER
7
Cleanups
7
Cleanups
5
Interceptions
2
Blocks
Adrien Rabiot
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Pervis Estupiñán 
FRIENDLY FIRE
Red Card
Mistake
Red Card
Mistake
1
Fouls
5.2
Rating
Forwards
Santiago Giménez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
69
Total Mins
69
Entry
Christian Pulišić
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
BENCH
Pietro Terracciano 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Matteo Pittarella
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Koni De Winter
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Zachary Athekame
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
David Odogu
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Davide Bartesaghi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
31
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Samuele Ricci
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Rafael Leão
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Christopher Nkunku
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Napoli
Goalkeepers
Alex Meret 
SIEVE
33%
Save %
33%
Save %
2
Conceded
1
Saves
Defenders
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Luca Marianucci 
MAGNET
106
Activity
106
Activity
102
Passes
4
Duels
Juan Jesus
MAGNET
90
Activity
90
Activity
81
Passes
9
Duels
Miguel Gutiérrez 
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
0
Assists
53%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Stanislav Lobotka
MAGNET
69
Activity
69
Activity
63
Passes
6
Duels
Matteo Politano
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
36%
Pass Acc
André-Frank Zambo Anguissa
STORMTROOPER
4
Shots
4
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Scott McTominay
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
73
Total Mins
73
Entry
Kevin De Bruyne
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Forwards
Rasmus Højlund
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
73
Total Mins
73
Entry
BENCH
Arda Yazıcı
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Vanja Milinković-Savić
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Pasquale Mazzocchi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Sam Beukema
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Billy Gilmour
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
1
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Eljif Elmas
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
18
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Antonio Vergara
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
David Neres
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lorenzo Lucca
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Giuseppe Ambrosino
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Noa Lang
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
13
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/18/2025 | Napoli | 2 - 0 | AC Milan | Super Cup | King Saud University Stadium |
| 09/28/2025 | AC Milan | 2 - 1 | Napoli | Serie A | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
| 03/30/2025 | Napoli | 2 - 1 | AC Milan | Serie A | Stadio Diego Armando Maradona |
| 10/29/2024 | AC Milan | 0 - 2 | Napoli | Serie A | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
| 02/11/2024 | AC Milan | 1 - 0 | Napoli | Serie A | Stadio Giuseppe Meazza |
| 10/29/2023 | Napoli | 2 - 2 | AC Milan | Serie A | Stadio Diego Armando Maradona |
AC Milan Win
Napoli Win
Draw
League Standings
P: 5 GD: +6
P: 5 GD: +5
P: 5 GD: +4
P: 5 GD: +4
P: 5 GD: +6
P: 5 GD: +6
P: 5 GD: +2
P: 5 GD: +2
P: 5 GD: 0
P: 5 GD: 0
P: 5 GD: -3
P: 5 GD: +3
P: 5 GD: -1
P: 5 GD: -3
P: 5 GD: -8
P: 5 GD: -3
P: 5 GD: -6
P: 5 GD: -3
P: 5 GD: -5
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
AC Milan
Napoli
AC Milan
Napoli
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Pulisic and Maignan Secure San Siro Supremacy
Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 82/100. AC Milan claimed sole possession of first place after a breathless victory over Napoli that tested every ounce of their defensive resolve.
The Early Blitz
The atmosphere at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza was electric as this top-of-the-table clash ignited instantly. AC Milan wasted no time in disrupting the Balance of the match, finding the net just three minutes in. Christian Pulišić turned provider with a pinpoint delivery for A. Saelemaekers, who finished clinicaly to stun the visitors. The Rossoneri continued to press, and their dominance was rewarded in the 31st minute when Y. Fofana teed up Pulišić for a composed finish. With both sides entering the day tied on 12 points, the Stakes could not have been higher, and Milan’s clinical edge in the final third looked set to make it a comfortable evening for the league leaders.
The VAR Turning Point
The complexion of the match shifted dramatically in the 56th minute. A VAR review resulted in a straight red card for Pervis Estupiñán for a professional foul as the last man, sending an already high Intensity rating through the roof. Down to ten men, the AC Milan defense was immediately breached as K. De Bruyne stepped up to convert a 60th-minute penalty for the visitors. From that moment, the Napoli siege began in earnest. Antonio Conte's side dominated possession with 63%, camping in the Milan half and launching wave after wave of attacks as they sought an equalizer in this crucial six-pointer.
Maignan’s Heroic Defiance
Despite the overwhelming pressure, Milan found a hero in Mike Maignan. The French goalkeeper produced a masterclass, recording 6 vital saves as Napoli fired a total of 19 shots. Matteo Politano was the architect for the visitors, creating three key chances, but the Rossoneri's low block held firm. There was no late Upset as the whistle blew, sealing a result that keeps Milan's title race momentum at full throttle. While Napoli’s attacking siege proved their quality, Milan’s ability to suffer and survive under intense pressure defined the victory. This triumph marks a significant statement in the Scudetto conversation, leaving Napoli to rue their missed opportunities despite their statistical dominance.
Key Questions
How did the red card for Pervis Estupiñán impact the match?
The red card forced Milan into a desperate defensive stand, allowing Napoli to dominate possession and pressure Maignan for the final 30 minutes.
What made Christian Pulišić the Man of the Match?
Pulišić provided both the opening assist and the winning goal, proving clinical before Milan were forced to focus entirely on defending.
What does this mean for AC Milan's season?
This win secures sole top spot in Serie A, establishing Milan as the team to beat in the title race after five matches.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Archive note: this preview was written after the match was played.
Scudetto Stakes Peak as Milan Host Napoli
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 59/100. A defining moment in the title race as Milan and Napoli collide in a match where every inch of turf at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza carries championship weight.
The Setup
The Stadio Giuseppe Meazza sets the stage on September 28, 2025, for a fixture vibrating with maximum Stakes (10.0). AC Milan currently holds the advantage in 2nd place with 50 points, but Napoli is breathing down their necks in 3rd with 49. The Form guide favors the visitors, who arrive on a four-match winning streak, yet Milan's roster of Stars (9.97), including the evergreen Luka Modrić, makes them a formidable obstacle at home. With a combined 3.5 goals per game average, defensive caution is likely to be cast aside in favor of offensive flair.
Key Battle
The game’s Balance hinges on the duel between Christian Pulišić and Leonardo Spinazzola. Pulišić has been operating at an elite level, using his pace to exploit gaps, while Spinazzola will be tasked with pinning the American back. If Spinazzola can neutralize Milan's primary creative outlet, Napoli’s midfield, led by S. McTominay, will look to dominate the tempo.
Our Prediction
This has all the hallmarks of a high-scoring thriller. Napoli’s momentum, fueled by Rasmus Højlund, will test Milan's resolve early, but the Rossoneri's individual quality in final moments usually finds a way. We anticipate a 2-2 draw—a result that keeps the title race on a knife-edge and reflects the near-identical strength of these two Italian giants.