Serie A Regular Season - 16

Bahia vs NS Gremio

Arena Fonte Nova

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
34
Bahia
vs
Gremio
Sun, May 17 • 19:00 Português
⚡ Form 37
⚖️ Balance 72
🏆 Stakes 33
⭐ Stars 37
Bahia and Gremio seek mid-table momentum.

Win Probability

  • Bahia 52%
  • Draw 26%
  • Gremio 21%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Bahia Seek Stability Against Resilient Gremio

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 34/100. With both sides struggling to turn draws into decisive wins, this mid-table scrap is unlikely to deliver a fluid attacking spectacle.

The Setup

Bahia sit sixth in the Serie A standings, but their recent Form is deeply concerning. Their home record at Arena Fonte Nova is a glaring weakness heading into this May 17, 2026 encounter, having yielded just two wins in seven matches. Meanwhile, 15th-placed Gremio have become draw specialists, surviving on grit rather than flair. A modest Stakes rating reflects the lack of immediate pressure at either extremity of the table, though the tight Balance suggests a closely fought, if disjointed, affair. Neither side boasts overwhelming Stars power across the pitch, meaning tactical discipline will dictate the outcome rather than individual brilliance.

Key Battle

Luciano Juba goes up against Gabriel Mec in a clash of creative responsibility. Juba is carrying the heavy attacking burden for Bahia and needs to exploit the spaces left by Gremio's midfield block. Mec offers a vital spark for the visitors and remains their most likely candidate to trigger a successful counter-attack.

Our Prediction

Bahia to edge a scrappy 1-0 win. Gremio's stubbornness will undoubtedly frustrate the hosts, but Juba's current sharpness in front of goal should provide the late breakthrough.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Only for die-hard supporters. The modest stakes and patchy recent form from both sides make this a fixture better suited for tactical purists.

What's the predicted outcome?

A narrow 1-0 victory for Bahia, decided by a singular moment of attacking quality against a deep defense.

Where are Bahia and Gremio in the league table?

Bahia are currently pushing near the top spots in 6th place with 22 points, while Gremio find themselves lower down in 15th with 17 points.

What is Bahia's current form?

They just snapped a frustrating four-match winless streak, but their inability to dominate home games remains a glaring issue.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Luciano Juba is the standout attacking threat with 4 goals in 5 matches, averaging a 7.3 rating for Bahia.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Season Statistics

6
League Position
15
22
Points
17
19
Goals Scored
15
16
Goals Conceded
16

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Palmeiras 14 33 24 11 +13
2 Flamengo 13 27 26 12 +14
3 Fluminense 15 27 25 20 +5
4 Sao Paulo 14 24 19 13 +6
5 Atletico Paranaense 14 23 20 15 +5
6 Bahia 14 22 20 18 +2
7 RB Bragantino 14 20 17 16 +1
8 Coritiba 15 20 18 19 -1
9 Vitoria 14 19 18 20 -2
10 Cruzeiro 15 19 20 25 -5
11 Botafogo 14 18 26 27 -1
12 Atletico-MG 15 18 18 21 -3
13 Internacional 15 18 16 16 0
14 Vasco DA Gama 14 17 20 21 -1
15 Gremio 14 17 15 16 -1
16 Santos 14 15 19 22 -3
17 Corinthians 14 15 10 13 -3
18 Mirassol 13 12 15 19 -4
19 Remo 14 11 15 24 -9
20 Chapecoense-sc 13 8 13 26 -13
1 Palmeiras 33 pts
P: 14 GD: +13
2 Flamengo 27 pts
P: 13 GD: +14
3 Fluminense 27 pts
P: 15 GD: +5
4 Sao Paulo 24 pts
P: 14 GD: +6
P: 14 GD: +5
6 Bahia 22 pts
P: 14 GD: +2
P: 14 GD: +1
8 Coritiba 20 pts
P: 15 GD: -1
9 Vitoria 19 pts
P: 14 GD: -2
10 Cruzeiro 19 pts
P: 15 GD: -5
11 Botafogo 18 pts
P: 14 GD: -1
12 Atletico-MG 18 pts
P: 15 GD: -3
13 Internacional 18 pts
P: 15 GD: 0
14 Vasco DA Gama 17 pts
P: 14 GD: -1
15 Gremio 17 pts
P: 14 GD: -1
16 Santos 15 pts
P: 14 GD: -3
17 Corinthians 15 pts
P: 14 GD: -3
18 Mirassol 12 pts
P: 13 GD: -4
19 Remo 11 pts
P: 14 GD: -9
P: 13 GD: -13