Serie A Regular Season - 16

Fluminense vs NS Sao Paulo

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
76
Fluminense
vs
Sao Paulo
Sat, May 16 • 22:00 Português
⚡ Form 65
⚖️ Balance 76
🏆 Stakes 72
⭐ Stars 57
A defining top-four six-pointer clash.

Win Probability

  • Fluminense 49%
  • Draw 27%
  • Sao Paulo 23%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Top-Four Collision: A Defining Six-Pointer in Serie A

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 76/100. This high-stakes battle between third and fourth puts both sides' title and continental credentials to the ultimate test.

The Setup

Fluminense enter this May 16 clash sitting in third place with 27 points, closely stalked by a Sao Paulo side just three points behind them. The Stakes could not be higher: this is a genuine six-pointer that will severely impact the upper echelons of the Serie A table. A modest Balance rating reflects how evenly matched these giants are on paper. Fluminense's erratic Form (DLWWL) leaves the door wide open for the visitors, though our take suggests home advantage tilts the probabilities slightly in the hosts' favor.

Key Battle

The standout Stars will inevitably decide this tight affair. John Kennedy provides the cutting edge for the hosts, bringing immense attacking threat to the frontline. He must outshine Sao Paulo's electric winger Ferreirinha, who arrives with a point to prove and has been consistently unlocking defenses in recent weeks.

Our Prediction

Expect a cagey opening half as both sides measure each other up. Fluminense will look to control the tempo through sustained possession, but Sao Paulo's rapid counter-attacks will constantly test the home defense. We expect Fluminense to edge a thrilling 2-1 victory, relying on late pressure to secure the crucial points.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Absolutely. It is a critical six-pointer between two heavyweights fighting aggressively for crucial top-four positioning.

What's the predicted outcome?

We expect a narrow 2-1 victory for Fluminense, sealed by a relentless second-half attacking push from the home side.

Where are Fluminense and Sao Paulo in the league table?

Fluminense currently sit third with 27 points, while Sao Paulo are right on their heels in fourth place with 24 points.

What is Fluminense's current form?

They have been slightly inconsistent lately, recording two wins, two losses, and a draw (DLWWL) across their last five league fixtures.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Ferreirinha is the standout star, carrying immense momentum for Sao Paulo with 3 goals in his last 2 matches and an 8.2 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Season Statistics

3
League Position
4
27
Points
24
23
Goals Scored
19
18
Goals Conceded
13

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Palmeiras 14 33 24 11 +13
2 Flamengo 13 27 26 12 +14
3 Fluminense 15 27 25 20 +5
4 Sao Paulo 14 24 19 13 +6
5 Atletico Paranaense 14 23 20 15 +5
6 Bahia 14 22 20 18 +2
7 RB Bragantino 14 20 17 16 +1
8 Coritiba 15 20 18 19 -1
9 Vitoria 14 19 18 20 -2
10 Cruzeiro 15 19 20 25 -5
11 Botafogo 14 18 26 27 -1
12 Atletico-MG 15 18 18 21 -3
13 Internacional 15 18 16 16 0
14 Vasco DA Gama 14 17 20 21 -1
15 Gremio 14 17 15 16 -1
16 Santos 14 15 19 22 -3
17 Corinthians 14 15 10 13 -3
18 Mirassol 13 12 15 19 -4
19 Remo 14 11 15 24 -9
20 Chapecoense-sc 13 8 13 26 -13
1 Palmeiras 33 pts
P: 14 GD: +13
2 Flamengo 27 pts
P: 13 GD: +14
3 Fluminense 27 pts
P: 15 GD: +5
4 Sao Paulo 24 pts
P: 14 GD: +6
P: 14 GD: +5
6 Bahia 22 pts
P: 14 GD: +2
P: 14 GD: +1
8 Coritiba 20 pts
P: 15 GD: -1
9 Vitoria 19 pts
P: 14 GD: -2
10 Cruzeiro 19 pts
P: 15 GD: -5
11 Botafogo 18 pts
P: 14 GD: -1
12 Atletico-MG 18 pts
P: 15 GD: -3
13 Internacional 18 pts
P: 15 GD: 0
14 Vasco DA Gama 17 pts
P: 14 GD: -1
15 Gremio 17 pts
P: 14 GD: -1
16 Santos 15 pts
P: 14 GD: -3
17 Corinthians 15 pts
P: 14 GD: -3
18 Mirassol 12 pts
P: 13 GD: -4
19 Remo 11 pts
P: 14 GD: -9
P: 13 GD: -13