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Futmetrix Verdict
62
Ratchaburi
vs
Kashiwa Reysol
Tue, Oct 27 โข 12:15 UTC
โก Form
61
โ๏ธ Balance
64
๐ Stakes
50
โญ Stars
55
Points are urgent; goals already flow
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
20' Tommaso Pobega
22' Tommaso Pobega
HT
46' โ Joao Mario โN. Zortea
Sascha Britschgi 49'
โ G. Oristanio โG. Strefezza 54'
57' โ T. Dallinga โS. Castro
Mariano Troilo 61'
68' โ C. Lykogiannis โJ. Miranda
Santiago Castro 72'
76' Jhon Lucumรญ
Mariano Troilo 79'
Mariano Troilo 79'
โ O. Sorensen โC. Ordonez 79'
โ A. Bernabe โF. Carboni 86'
โ M. Keita โH. Nicolussi Caviglia 87'
87' โ J. Rowe โN. Cambiaghi
87' โ F. Bernardeschi โR. Orsolini
C. Ordonez (H. Nicolussi Caviglia) 90'
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Bologna
Goalkeepers
ลukasz Skorupski 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
99
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Joรฃo Mรกrio
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
Torbjรธrn Heggem
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
99
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jhon Lucumรญ 
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Charalampos Lykogiannis
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Midfielders
Lewis Ferguson 
MAGNET
72
Activity
72
Activity
66
Passes
6
Duels
Remo Freuler
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
99
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tommaso Pobega 
FRIENDLY FIRE
Red Card
Mistake
Red Card
Mistake
1
Fouls
3.9
Rating
Forwards
Federico Bernardeschi 
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
24%
Pass Acc
Thijs Dallinga 
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
4
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Jonathan Rowe
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
9
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
BENCH
Federico Ravaglia 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Massimo Pessina
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Eivind Helland
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nicolรฒ Casale
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nadir Zortea
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
54
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Juan Miranda
ARCHITECT
3
Key Passes
3
Key Passes
0
Assists
13%
Pass Acc
Martin Vitรญk
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nikola Moro
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Simon Sohm
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Riccardo Orsolini
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
12
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Santiago Castro
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
42
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jens Odgaard
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nicolรฒ Cambiaghi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
12
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Benjamรญn Domรญnguez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Parma
Goalkeepers
Edoardo Corvi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
99
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Enrico Del Prato
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
99
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Michele Troilo
FRIENDLY FIRE
Red Card
Mistake
Red Card
Mistake
5
Fouls
6.3
Rating
Alessandro Circati
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
99
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Midfielders
Sascha Britschgi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
99
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Adriรกn Bernabรฉ 
NPC
87
Minutes
87
Minutes
33%
Pass Acc
6.7
Rating
Mandela Keita
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
6
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Oliver Sรธrensen
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
3
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Emanuele Valeri
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
99
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Gaetano Oristanio
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
54
Total Mins
54
Entry
Mateo Pellegrino
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
99
Total Mins
Started
Entry
BENCH
Filippo Rinaldi
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Gabriele Casentini
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Franco Carboni
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
12
Total Mins
Started
Entry
D. Drobnic
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Christian Ordoรฑez 
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
7.7
Rating
Benjamin Cremaschi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 
SUPER SUB
1
Assist
1
Assist
12
Minutes
6.6
Rating
Gabriel Strefezza
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jacob Ondrejka
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nesta Elphege
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daniel Mikoลajewski
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | Bologna | 2 - 1 | Parma | Coppa Italia | Renato Dall'Ara |
| 11/02/2025 | Parma | 1 - 3 | Bologna | Serie A | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 02/22/2025 | Parma | 2 - 0 | Bologna | Serie A | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 10/06/2024 | Bologna | 0 - 0 | Parma | Serie A | Stadio Renato Dall'Ara |
| 02/07/2021 | Parma | 0 - 3 | Bologna | Serie A | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| 09/28/2020 | Bologna | 4 - 1 | Parma | Serie A | Stadio Renato Dall'Ara |
Bologna Win
Parma Win
Draw
League Standings
P: 24 GD: +38
P: 24 GD: +21
P: 24 GD: +13
P: 24 GD: +21
P: 24 GD: +15
P: 24 GD: +21
P: 24 GD: +11
P: 24 GD: +3
P: 24 GD: -9
P: 24 GD: +1
P: 24 GD: -7
P: 24 GD: -5
P: 24 GD: -18
P: 24 GD: -14
P: 24 GD: -8
P: 24 GD: -12
P: 24 GD: -16
P: 24 GD: -11
P: 24 GD: -21
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Bologna
Parma
Bologna
Parma
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Late Drama at the Dall'Ara as Parma Stun Ten-Man Bologna
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 69/100. A resilient Parma capitalised on a chaotic evening of red cards and VAR interventions to snatch a victory that defied every statistical probability.
The Early Dismissal
The atmosphere at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara turned sour early as tactical plans were shredded within the first twenty minutes. An Intensity score of 12.1 was set in motion when a VAR review saw Tommaso Pobega sent off for a reckless challenge. Despite being a man down, Bologna edged possession with 51%, refusing to surrender their attacking principles in front of their home support. They peppered the visitors' goal with 16 total shots, but frequently found a wall in the form of Alessandro Circati. The young defender marshalled the backline with a maturity that belied the chaotic nature of the opening exchanges, ensuring the scores remained level at the break.
VAR Interventions and Escalating Tension
The second half was a masterclass in frustration for the Rossoblรน. A Balance rating of 2.8 reflects how the match oscillated between Bologna's desperate attacks and Parma's sporadic counters. In the 72nd minute, the stadium erupted as Santiago Castro appeared to have finally broken the deadlock, only for VAR to intervene once more and cancel the goal for a marginal offside. The tension reached a boiling point when Parma also saw red; Mariano Troilo was dismissed in the 79th minute, briefly restoring numerical parity and setting the stage for a grandstand finish that few in attendance could have predicted.
The Super-Sub Stunner
With the clock ticking towards what seemed a certain stalemate, the tactical genius of the visiting bench shone through. An Upset Factor of 8.0 was cemented in the 90th minute against the run of play. Substitute H. Nicolussi Caviglia, on the pitch for just minutes, delivered a pinpoint ball into the path of fellow substitute C. Ordonez. The midfielder made no mistake, firing home to silence the home crowd. It was a smash-and-grab of the highest order, as Parma secured all three points despite an xG of just 0.18 and thanks to the steady hands of Edoardo Corvi. This victory provides a massive boost to their standings, while Bologna will rue a night of missed opportunities.
Key Questions
How did the red card for Tommaso Pobega impact the match?
Pobega's early dismissal forced Bologna to play with ten men for 70 minutes, though they remarkably continued to dominate shot statistics regardless.
How did VAR change this match?
VAR was central to the drama, upgrading Pobega's initial yellow to a red and later denying Santiago Castro a breakthrough goal for offside.
How dramatic was the late winner by Edoardo Corvi?
The winner was actually scored by Christian Ordoรฑez; goalkeeper Edoardo Corvi played his part with 3 saves to keep the clean sheet intact.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Archive note: this preview was written after the match was played.
Emilian Pride at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 34/100. A mid-table encounter where technical quality meets a lack of immediate pressure, making for a strategic regional battle.
The Setup
On February 08, 2026, the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara plays host to an Emilian derby that finds both clubs in the belly of the Serie A table. Bologna enters the match in 10th place, having recently snapped a four-game losing streak to post a Form score of 4.1. Their visitors, Parma, sit in 14th and are looking to build momentum after their own recent victory. With Stakes rated at a low 1.0, neither side is currently threatened by the drop or chasing European spots, which often leads to a more open, expressive style of football. The high Balance rating of 7.2 suggests these two squads are evenly matched in terms of depth and tactical discipline.
Key Battle
The outcome likely hinges on the clash between Bologna's creative spark Jonathan Rowe and Parma's midfield maestro Adriรกn Bernabรฉ. Rowe provides the verticality and flair that can unsettle a settled defense, while Bernabรฉ has been the structural glue for the visitors. If Rowe can find pockets of space between the lines, he will force the Parma backline into difficult decisions. However, if Bernabรฉ continues his elite level of control in the center of the pitch, Parma will likely dictate the tempo and limit the number of opportunities the home side can generate.
Our Prediction
The Stars metric (7.3) indicates there is enough individual quality on both sides to provide moments of brilliance. However, the low competitive urgency often results in teams settling for a point rather than over-extending late in the game. We anticipate a 1-1 draw, with both sides finding the net but ultimately canceling each other out in a respectful regional duel.