Burnley vs NS West Ham

A Basement Battle of Pure Desperation

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 34/100. This is a classic relegation six-pointer where the fear of losing might outweigh the will to win for two sides trapped in the bottom three.

The Setup

As the Premier League enters its 25th round on February 07, 2026, the Stakes could not be higher at Turf Moor. Burnley find themselves in 19th, five points adrift of West Ham who currently occupy the 18th spot. The home side’s Form is a cause for major concern; they have managed just two wins in twelve home fixtures this season. Despite the shot-stopping heroics of Martin Dúbravka, who has been averaging 5.8 saves per game, the Clarets have struggled to turn draws into wins. West Ham arrive with a slight edge in the Stars department, boasting creative outlets that the home side simply lacks, though their own consistency has been wildly erratic throughout this campaign.

Key Battle

This match will be won or lost in the transition zones. Burnley’s tactical approach relies on a disciplined low block anchored by M. Estève, designed to frustrate and absorb pressure. However, the West Ham midfield unit is built to exploit exactly this kind of setup. The battle between Burnley’s defensive shell and West Ham’s ability to move the ball vertically with speed will define the afternoon. If the Hammers' midfield can break the lines, Burnley’s league-low home win rate of 16.7% is likely to be exposed once again. Conversely, if Burnley can maintain their Balance and catch the visitors over-committing, it could be a rare day of celebration for the Turf Moor faithful.

Our Prediction

While the Balance between these two sides is statistically close, the individual quality of Jarrod Bowen and Lucas Paquetá should provide the spark required to break the deadlock. Burnley will likely fight for every scrap, but their inability to convert chances often leaves them vulnerable in the closing stages. Expect a tense, cagey affair that West Ham eventually edges as the game opens up in the second half. We are forecasting a 1-2 victory for the visitors, leaving Burnley in a perilous position at the foot of the table.