Own Goal and Red Card Hand Kasımpaşa an Unlikely Lifeline
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 29/100. Fatih Karagümrük dominated possession with clinical passing, yet a cruel own goal and Kasımpaşa's defensive discipline—reinforced by a late dismissal—proved that control alone cannot guarantee victory.
Possession Without Precision: The Karagümrük Paradox
Fatih Karagümrük arrived with 72% possession, 584 passes at 83% accuracy, and a clear intensity on the pitch. Yet by the 31st minute, M. Kadioglu's own goal handed Kasımpaşa an unearned gift. The home side fired 14 shots—10 from inside the box—but managed only 3 on target, an xG of 0.83 that belied their dominance. Kasımpaşa, by contrast, operated on a knife's edge: 28% possession, 8 shots, yet they survived. The midfield balance was entirely disrupted by Karagümrük's relentless pressure, but Andri Baldursson emerged as the match's standout performer (7.7 rating), orchestrating Kasımpaşa's rare moments of coherence in a chaotic opening period.
The Red Card That Sealed a Desperate Escape
By the 76th minute, Kasımpaşa had absorbed wave after wave of Karagümrük attacks. Then Pape Habib Gueye saw red—a foul that reduced the visitors to 10 men. The stakes suddenly shifted: Karagümrük, now with a numerical advantage, still could not find the equaliser. Anıl Yiğit Çınar held firm in Karagümrük's defence (7.5 rating), yet the team's attacking impotence was staggering. Kasımpaşa's 17 fouls and 4 yellows told the story of a side clinging to survival; the red card, though damaging, paradoxically gave them a clearer defensive shape in the final stages.
A Season-Defining Reprieve
Kasımpaşa arrived in 13th place with just 4 points from 5 games and a -2 goal difference. This 1-0 away victory—built on fortune rather than football—was a lifeline. Karagümrük, now 15th with 3 points and a -7 goal difference, slipped further into crisis. The upset factor was minimal on paper, yet the manner of the victory—own goal, red card, defensive heroics—underscored football's cruelty: dominance does not guarantee destiny. Karagümrük's fans left in silence; Kasımpaşa's celebrations were muted but real.
Key Questions
How did Pape Habib Gueye's red card impact the match?
The 76th-minute dismissal reduced Kasımpaşa to 10 men. Karagümrük gained numerical advantage but failed to convert chances; Kasımpaşa held firm and secured the 1-0 win.
Why couldn't Karagümrük convert their dominance?
Despite 14 shots and 0.83 xG, only 3 were on target. The own goal and Kasımpaşa's resolute defending negated their possession advantage and attacking pressure.
Why is this match rated 29/100?
Our Futmetrix algorithm analyzed intensity, balance, and stakes. The final score of 29/100 places this match in the "Skip It" category.
