Kasımpaşa 0 - 1 FT Samsunspor

Assoumou Snatches Late Victory for Samsunspor

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 34/100. A match defined by tactical patience ended in dramatic fashion as Samsunspor bolstered their European ambitions while Kasımpaşa's relegation fears deepened.

The Tactical Grind

The atmosphere at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu was thick with tension as Kasımpaşa sought to arrest their slide toward the relegation zone. The early exchanges were defined by a high physical Intensity, with both sides committing a combined 41 fouls over the 90 minutes. Kasımpaşa edged possession with 52%, attempting to dictate the tempo through short, controlled passing, yet they struggled to test the opposition goalkeeper, managing only a single shot on target throughout the contest. Samsunspor, sitting comfortably in sixth, appeared content to absorb pressure and maintain their defensive Balance. The home side’s 11 shots were largely speculative, with six being blocked by a disciplined Samsunspor wall, as the first half ended in a stalemate that lacked a clinical edge in the final third.

The Shifting Momentum

As the second half progressed, the Stakes became palpable. Kasımpaşa’s inability to turn possession into clear-cut opportunities began to invite Samsunspor forward. Despite having less of the ball, the visitors remained more efficient, creating three shots on target from fewer attempts. The introduction of tactical shifts in the closing quarter-hour saw the visitors find more space on the counter-attack. The game seemed destined for a goalless draw, a result that would have done little to help Kasımpaşa’s survival hopes. However, the visitors' persistence paid off in the dying embers of the match. The breakthrough came from a moment of pure focus amidst the fatigue of a grueling encounter, as the away side exploited a momentary lapse in the home defence’s concentration.

The Assoumou Clincher

The definitive moment arrived in the 90th minute. A. Makoumbou delivered a precise ball that found Jaures Assoumou in a scoring position. Assoumou made no mistake, firing home to secure a 1-0 victory and spark wild celebrations on the away bench. It was a cruel blow for the hosts, who had fought hard but lacked the instinct required to secure a result. This victory cements Samsunspor’s position in the top six, while Kasımpaşa remains mired in 15th place, desperately needing a spark to avoid the drop. For the visitors, the Upset-free victory was a testament to their road resilience, while for the fans at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, it was a night of late-game heartbreak and missed opportunities.

Home-shy Kasimpasa test Samsunspor’s credentials

Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 49/100. This is a mid-table clash where Form, confidence and future momentum matter far more than the points column suggests.

The Setup

No title race drama here, but there is a clear storyline. Kasimpasa sit 14th with 16 points from 18 games and a worrying trend: five without a win and just three victories all season. The real red flag is at home – nine league matches, not a single win. That’s the kind of run that drains belief in the stands.

Samsunspor, by contrast, are 7th on 26 points, close enough to look upwards, but their recent Form tells a different story. The last five read “DLLLD”, a slide that quietly undercuts their league position. Futmetrix numbers still make them clear favourites, with almost a 50% chance of an away victory, largely because Kasimpasa have yet to crack the home code.

For the hosts, the pulse of the team is Kerem Demirbay. Even without goals or assists in his two matches so far, he’s averaging a 7.6 rating – a sign of how he controls rhythm and distribution rather than chasing highlight reels. Behind him, Andreas Gianniotis is in sharp shot-stopping form, with three clean sheets and 11 saves in his last five; he’s the main reason Kasimpasa stay competitive despite a -10 goal difference.

Samsunspor spread their Stars impact more evenly, but Ali Diabaté stands out early: one appearance, a 7.5 average rating and a constant threat with runs in behind. In a team that scores enough (23) yet concedes regularly (21), his verticality can tilt tight games.

Key Battle

The decisive zone is the strip between midfield and the visitors’ penalty area. Kasimpasa rely on Kerem Demirbay’s vision and tempo control to stitch attacks, while Samsunspor look to Ali Diabaté’s direct running to rip that structure apart. When Demirbay gets time on the ball, Kasimpasa can pin Samsunspor back and work shooting angles; when possession turns over, Diabaté’s first steps into space will test Kasimpasa’s fragile defensive line. Whoever imposes their style in this duel will swing the Balance of the entire match.

Our Prediction

At Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, the data still leans away. Kasimpasa should have periods of control through Demirbay, but their habit of failing to turn that into home wins is hard to ignore. Samsunspor’s more coherent structure and superior attacking variety, led by Diabaté’s movement, are likely to carve out the better chances. Expect Kasimpasa to rally late, but the visitors to edge it. Predicted script: Kasimpasa 1-2 Samsunspor, with the away side punishing transitions.