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Futmetrix Verdict
100
FT
Sun, Oct 25
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
⚡ Intensity
68
⚖️ Balance
42
🏆 Stakes
100
🎲 Upset
60
Mbappé breaks El Clásico late
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Pass Accuracy
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
HT
Gianluca Gaetano 46'
46' ↓ A. Romagnoli ↑O. Provstgaard
↓ G. Gaetano ↑M. Felici 57'
Mattia Felici 59'
62' ↓ T. Basic ↑M. Vecino
65' G. Isaksen (M. Guendouzi)
↓ S. Esposito ↑Z. Luvumbo 69'
↓ G. Borrelli ↑S. Kilicsoy 69'
73' ↓ M. Lazzari ↑L. Pellegrini
↓ M. Folorunsho ↑L. Pavoletti 79'
↓ M. Palestra ↑R. Idrissi 79'
84' ↓ G. Isaksen ↑Pedro
84' ↓ B. Dia ↑T. Noslin
90' M. Zaccagni
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Lazio
Goalkeepers
Ivan Provedel 
OCTOPUS
5
Saves
5
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
Defenders
Manuel Lazzari 
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Mario Gila
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Alessio Romagnoli 
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
46
Entry
Adam Marušić 
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Midfielders
Mattéo Guendouzi 
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7.6
Rating
Danilo Cataldi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Toma Bašić
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
61
Total Mins
62
Entry
Forwards
Gustav Isaksen 
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Boulaye Dia
LATE SHIFT
6
Late Mins
6
Late Mins
84
Total Mins
84
Entry
Mattia Zaccagni 
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
8.3
Rating
BENCH
Christos Mandas 
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Alessio Furlanetto
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Luca Pellegrini
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Patric
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Elseid Hysaj
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Oliver Provstgaard
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
45
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matías Vecino
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
29
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Reda Belahyane
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Pedro
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tijjani Noslin
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
10
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Cagliari
Goalkeepers
Elia Caprile 
SIEVE
33%
Save %
33%
Save %
2
Conceded
1
Saves
Defenders
Gabriele Zappa
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Yerry Mina 
MAGNET
84
Activity
84
Activity
74
Passes
10
Duels
Sebastiano Luperto
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Marco Palestra 
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
4
Tackles
64%
Duel Win %
Midfielders
Michel Adopo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Matteo Prati
STORMTROOPER
3
Shots
3
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Michael Folorunsho
LATE SHIFT
11
Late Mins
11
Late Mins
79
Total Mins
79
Entry
Gianluca Gaetano
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
57
Total Mins
57
Entry
Forwards
Sebastiano Esposito
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
68
Total Mins
69
Entry
Gennaro Borrelli
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
69
Total Mins
69
Entry
BENCH
Boris Radunovic
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Vincenzo Sarno
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Riyad Idrissi
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Juan Martín Rodríguez
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alessandro Di Pardo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Zé Pedro
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Luca Mazzitelli
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Nicolò Cavuoti
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Mattia Felici
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
33
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Semih Kılıçsoy
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Leonardo Pavoletti
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
11
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Zito Luvumbo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
22
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2025 | Lazio | 2 - 0 | Cagliari | Serie A | Stadio Olimpico |
| 02/03/2025 | Cagliari | 1 - 2 | Lazio | Serie A | Unipol Domus |
| 11/04/2024 | Lazio | 2 - 1 | Cagliari | Serie A | Stadio Olimpico |
| 02/10/2024 | Cagliari | 1 - 3 | Lazio | Serie A | Unipol Domus |
| 12/02/2023 | Lazio | 1 - 0 | Cagliari | Serie A | Stadio Olimpico |
| 03/05/2022 | Cagliari | 0 - 3 | Lazio | Serie A | Unipol Domus |
Lazio Win
Cagliari Win
Draw
League Standings
P: 10 GD: +8
P: 10 GD: +12
P: 10 GD: +8
P: 10 GD: +5
P: 10 GD: +8
P: 10 GD: +4
P: 10 GD: +6
P: 10 GD: +6
P: 10 GD: -3
P: 10 GD: 0
P: 10 GD: +5
P: 10 GD: -1
P: 10 GD: -6
P: 10 GD: -5
P: 10 GD: -6
P: 10 GD: -7
P: 10 GD: -7
P: 10 GD: -8
P: 10 GD: -10
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Lazio
Cagliari
Lazio
Cagliari
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Clinical Lazio Punish Profligate Cagliari at the Olimpico
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 29/100. Lazio's superior efficiency in front of goal proved the difference in a match where Cagliari's persistent pressure failed to crack a resilient home defence.
Tactical Tension in the Capital
The match at the Stadio Olimpico began with a surprising rhythm as the visitors refused to be intimidated by the historic surroundings. While Lazio edged possession with 51%, it was the Cagliari attack that looked more frequent in the early exchanges. An Intensity rating of 4.8 was fueled by a barrage of 25 combined shots, as both sides looked to exploit gaps in transition. The Balance score of 2.2 reflected a first half where neither side could find the clinical touch, despite 12 corners indicating heavy set-piece pressure. Ivan Provedel was forced into several crucial interventions early on, maintaining the stalemate as the visitors peppered his goal with efforts from both inside and outside the box.
Isaksen Breaks the Deadlock
The turning point arrived in the 65th minute when the home side finally displayed the cutting edge that had been lacking. A well-constructed move saw M. Guendouzi provide a sharp assist for G. Isaksen, who finished clinically to give the Biancocelesti the lead. This breakthrough shifted the Stakes of the contest, forcing the visitors to commit even more bodies forward in search of an equaliser. Despite Cagliari registering a higher expected goals (xG) figure of 1.51 compared to Lazio's 0.69, the scoreboard remained stubbornly in favour of the hosts. The Upset Factor remained at zero as the home side’s experience began to tell, slowing the tempo and frustrating a Cagliari team that struggled to turn their 17 total shots into tangible results against a disciplined backline.
Zaccagni Seals the Points
As the match entered its final stages, the desperation in the visitors' play became evident, leading to increased fouls and a loss of composure. Lazio took full advantage of the spaces left behind during the dying moments of the contest. In the 90th minute, M. Zaccagni confirmed the victory with a composed finish, putting the result beyond doubt. Zaccagni's performance, rated at 8.3, epitomised the difference between the two teams: clinical execution over raw volume. Provedel finished the night with 5 saves, ensuring a clean sheet that leaves Lazio in a strong position in the Serie A table. For the visitors, it was a night of missed opportunities, while the home crowd celebrated a professional performance that prioritised results over aesthetics.
Key Questions
Who was the standout performer for Lazio?
Mattia Zaccagni was the top performer with a rating of 8.3, scoring the decisive second goal in the 90th minute.
How did Ivan Provedel influence the result?
Provedel was essential to the clean sheet, making 5 saves to deny a Cagliari side that attempted 17 shots during the match.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Archive note: this preview was written after the match was played.
Capital Clash at the Olimpico
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 23/100. Lazio aims to stabilize their league position against a Cagliari side that has proven capable of causing upsets on the road.
The Setup
The encounter at the Stadio Olimpico finds Lazio searching for consistency to climb back toward the European spots. While a Stakes score of 1.0 indicates a mid-table reality, the tactical intrigue remains. Lazio's Form rating of 5.3 highlights a season of ebbs and flows, whereas Cagliari arrives with momentum despite their lower standing, looking to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts.
Key Battle
The game will likely be won or lost in the transition phases. Lazio's midfield, anchored by M. Guendouzi and N. Rovella, will attempt to dictate the tempo and provide service to the flanks. Cagliari’s defensive unit will need to remain disciplined against the creative movements of Mattia Zaccagni, while S. Kılıçsoy provides the outlet for the visitors to relieve pressure.
Our Prediction
Despite a low Balance score of 2.8, Lazio’s individual Stars are expected to shine through. Ivan Provedel has been in inspired form between the posts, which should provide a safety net for any counter-attacks. We predict a 2-1 victory for Lazio; expect Matteo Cancellieri to be the catalyst, breaking through a stubborn Cagliari defense led by E. Caprile late in the second half.