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Futmetrix Verdict
52
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Bournemouth
3-0
AC Milan
⚡ Intensity
75
⚖️ Balance
20
🏆 Stakes
3
🎲 Upset
0
Two penalties, one red card, total control
Futmetrix Verdict
26
FT
Thu, Oct 22
Sturm Graz
1-0
Marseille
⚡ Intensity
22
⚖️ Balance
31
🏆 Stakes
11
🎲 Upset
60
Diakité struck; Marseille never answered
Match Statistics
Possession
Shots
Shots on Target
Expected Goals (xG)
Passes
Corners
Fouls
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
Match Events
5' Dilane Bakwa (Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi)
22' ↓ Tiago Santos ↑Maxima Goffi
HT
57' ↓ Gaëtan Perrin ↑Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
57' ↓ Olivier Giroud ↑Ayase Ueda
Ayumu Seko 61'
Rassoul Ndiaye 63'
↓ Josh Maja ↑Junior Mwanga 69'
↓ Sota Nakamura ↑Rayan Fofana 69'
73' ↓ Romain Perraud ↑Calvin Verdonk
73' ↓ Ngal'ayel Mukau ↑Osame Sahraoui
Djibril Ouziad 76'
↓ Amir Richardson ↑Kaito Mizuta 82'
90'+2 Maxima Goffi
FT
Player Cards
Our take on every player in this match
Lille
Goalkeepers
Berke Özer
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Tiago Santos
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
22
Total Mins
22
Entry
Tanguy Nianzou
PROVIDER
1
Assists
1
Assists
1
Key Passes
7.6
Rating
Alexsandro Ribeiro
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Romain Perraud
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
73
Total Mins
73
Entry
Midfielders
Ngal'ayel Mukau
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
73
Total Mins
73
Entry
Nabil Bentaleb
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maurits Kjærgaard
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Forwards
Gaëtan Perrin
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
57
Total Mins
57
Entry
Dilane Bakwa
SNIPER
50%
Conversion
50%
Conversion
1
Goals
2
Shots
Olivier Giroud
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
57
Total Mins
57
Entry
BENCH
Orlando Gill
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Isaac Cossier
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Maxima Adeagan Goffi
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
2
Tackles
45%
Duel Win %
Calvin Verdonk
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Benjamin André
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Soriba Diaoune
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Osame Sahraoui
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
17
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ayase Ueda
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
33
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Le Havre
Goalkeepers
Gauthier Gallon
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
90
Minutes
Defenders
Ayumu Seko
FRIENDLY FIRE
Red Card
Mistake
Red Card
Mistake
1
Fouls
5.8
Rating
Ahmed Touba
MAGNET
88
Activity
88
Activity
82
Passes
6
Duels
Midfielders
Rassoul Ndiaye
ARCHITECT
6
Key Passes
6
Key Passes
0
Assists
34%
Pass Acc
Simon Ebonog
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
3
Interceptions
0
Blocks
Amir Richardson
LATE SHIFT
8
Late Mins
8
Late Mins
82
Total Mins
82
Entry
Forwards
D. Ouziad
WALL
0
Dribbled Past
0
Dribbled Past
3
Tackles
60%
Duel Win %
Sota Nakamura
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
69
Total Mins
69
Entry
Mbwana Samatta
STORMTROOPER
6
Shots
6
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Joshua Oluwaseun
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
69
Total Mins
69
Entry
BENCH
Arnaud Bodart
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Vincent Sasso
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Junior Mwanga
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
21
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Daren Mosengo
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ismail Bouneb
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Guy Zohouri
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kaito Mizuta
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
8
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Enzo Koffi Vinette
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Rayan Fofana
PROVOCATEUR
2
Fouls Won
2
Fouls Won
2
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | Lille | 1 - 1 | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | Stade Pierre-Mauroy |
| 11/30/2025 | Le Havre | 0 - 1 | Lille | Ligue 1 | Stade Océane |
| 02/08/2025 | Lille | 1 - 2 | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy |
| 09/28/2024 | Le Havre | 0 - 3 | Lille | Ligue 1 | Stade Océane |
| 02/17/2024 | Lille | 3 - 0 | Le Havre | Ligue 1 | Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy |
| 10/01/2023 | Le Havre | 0 - 2 | Lille | Ligue 1 | Stade Océane |
| 07/26/2023 | Lille | 3 - 2 | Le Havre | Friendlies Clubs | Complexe Sportif de Luchin |
Lille Win
Le Havre Win
Draw
League Standings
P: 6 GD: +5
P: 6 GD: +5
P: 6 GD: +2
P: 6 GD: +7
P: 6 GD: +4
P: 6 GD: +3
P: 6 GD: +3
P: 6 GD: 0
P: 6 GD: -2
P: 6 GD: +1
P: 6 GD: -1
P: 6 GD: -3
P: 6 GD: +1
P: 6 GD: -2
P: 6 GD: -2
P: 6 GD: -8
P: 6 GD: -9
League Standings
P: 7 GD: +5
P: 6 GD: +5
P: 6 GD: +5
P: 6 GD: +2
P: 6 GD: +7
P: 6 GD: +4
P: 7 GD: +1
P: 6 GD: +3
P: 6 GD: 0
P: 6 GD: -2
P: 6 GD: +1
P: 7 GD: -3
P: 6 GD: -3
P: 6 GD: +1
P: 7 GD: -5
P: 6 GD: -8
P: 6 GD: -9
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Lille
Le Havre
Lille
Le Havre
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
Smash and Grab: Lille Survive Le Havre Siege at Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 46/100. A ruthless early strike papered over the cracks of a disjointed Lille performance against a relegation-threatened opponent that simply forgot how to score.
The Early Ambush
A momentary lapse in concentration is all it takes to unravel a game plan. Barely five minutes into the clash at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille drew first blood. A sharp combination culminated in Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi threading the needle for Dilane Bakwa, who ruthlessly dispatched the opener. Given the severe Stakes for a visiting side mired in the relegation zone, going behind this early should have triggered a complete collapse. Instead, Le Havre dusted themselves off and began to dictate the tempo. The hosts surprisingly retreated into their shell, inviting pressure and abandoning any attempt to dictate the rhythm. The Balance of play shifted wildly toward the visitors, setting the stage for an incredibly anomalous afternoon of football.
The Defiant Pivot
The defining moment arrived in the 61st minute, though not with the expected outcome. Ayumu Seko was shown a straight red card, reducing the visitors to ten men. In standard tactical lore, this is where the trailing team folds and the hosts run up the score. We saw the exact opposite. Fueled by sheer desperation and a frantic Intensity, the ten men of Le Havre astonishingly edged possession over the ninety minutes. They mounted a relentless attacking siege, turning the Lille penalty area into a shooting gallery. The visitors racked up 17 shots compared to Lille's paltry five, repeatedly knocking on the door but finding themselves entirely devoid of a clinical finisher to convert their dangerous buildup play.
The Statistical Mirage
Sometimes the scoreboard tells a massive lie. The final whistle brought immense relief to the home faithful, though their team had been thoroughly outplayed for large stretches. A monumental defensive effort from Alexsandro Ribeiro proved essential, as he single-handedly extinguished fires throughout the second half to secure the clean sheet. Despite flirting dangerously with a massive Upset Factor, the lack of quality in the final third condemned Le Havre to another week stranded in 18th place. They played with immense pride but leave with zero points. For Lille, this ugly victory cements their status in 4th, proving that top sides often scrape out wins even when they perform far below their optimal standards.
Key Questions
How did the red card for Ayumu Seko impact the match?
Remarkably, going down to ten men only fueled Le Havre's aggression. They launched an attacking siege but lacked the finishing touch to convert their pressure into goals.
What does this mean for Lille's season?
This gritty victory keeps them firmly in 4th place, demonstrating their ability to grind out crucial results even when heavily outshot on home soil.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Top Meets Bottom as Lille Target Struggling Le Havre
Worth Watching Futmetrix Score: 57/100. Lille's push for European football threatens to further submerge a Le Havre side desperately gasping for Ligue 1 survival.
The Setup
The Stade Pierre-Mauroy sets the stage on October 10, 2026, for a quintessential top-versus-bottom clash. Lille sit comfortably in fourth place, boasting a dominant Form rating that spells immediate trouble for the visitors. Le Havre are rooted to 18th place, turning the Stakes into an early-season relegation nightmare. This stark contrast creates a remarkably low Balance rating for this fixture, meaning we anticipate heavy one-way traffic as the high-flying hosts parade their Stars against a frail and porous defence.
Key Battle
Veteran forward Olivier Giroud remains a supreme focal point in the opposition box. His intelligent movement and aerial threat will severely test Lionel Mpasi Nzau between the sticks. If the visiting goalkeeper cannot command his area and produce a string of saves, the floodgates could open quickly.
Our Prediction
Our take is a comfortable and routine home victory. Expect Lille to monopolise possession, starve the opposition of any meaningful chances, and methodically break down a deep defensive block for a 2-0 or 3-0 win.