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Futmetrix Verdict
51
FT
Sat, Sep 12
Gamba Osaka
0-2
FC Tokyo
⚡ Form
70
⚖️ Balance
80
🏆 Stakes
0
⭐ Stars
89
Futmetrix Verdict
87
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
vs
Cerezo Osaka
Sat, Sep 12 • 10:00 UTC
⚡ Form
59
⚖️ Balance
63
🏆 Stakes
67
⭐ Stars
92
Top four ambitions tested in Hiroshima.
Futmetrix Verdict
92
Racing Santander
vs
Alaves
Sat, Sep 12 • 12:00 UTC
⚡ Form
46
⚖️ Balance
100
🏆 Stakes
67
⭐ Stars
64
Early points in the survival race.
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | Venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2026 | Toulouse | 0 - 4 | Lille | Ligue 1 | Stadium de Toulouse |
| 09/14/2025 | Lille | 2 - 1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 | Stade Pierre-Mauroy |
| 04/12/2025 | Toulouse | 1 - 2 | Lille | Ligue 1 | Stadium de Toulouse |
| 10/05/2024 | Lille | 2 - 1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 | Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy |
| 02/25/2024 | Toulouse | 3 - 1 | Lille | Ligue 1 | Stadium de Toulouse |
| 11/12/2023 | Lille | 1 - 1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 | Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy |
| 03/18/2023 | Toulouse | 0 - 2 | Lille | Ligue 1 | Stadium de Toulouse |
| 09/17/2022 | Lille | 2 - 1 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 | Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy |
| 02/22/2020 | Lille | 3 - 0 | Toulouse | Ligue 1 | Stade Pierre-Mauroy |
| 10/19/2019 | Toulouse | 2 - 1 | Lille | Ligue 1 | Stadium de Toulouse |
Toulouse Win
Lille Win
Draw
League Standings
P: 3 GD: +4
P: 3 GD: +4
P: 3 GD: +4
P: 3 GD: +3
P: 3 GD: +2
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: 0
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: -2
P: 3 GD: -3
League Standings
P: 4 GD: +3
P: 3 GD: +4
P: 3 GD: +4
P: 3 GD: +4
P: 3 GD: +3
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 3 GD: 0
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: +1
P: 4 GD: 0
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -1
P: 3 GD: -3
P: 3 GD: -2
P: 3 GD: -3
Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching
Toulouse
Lille
Toulouse
Lille
Win Probability
Futmetrix AI estimate
The Great Robbery at Stadium de Toulouse
Skip It Futmetrix Score: 30/100. A monumental goalkeeping performance allowed the league leaders to steal all three points, leaving the frustrated hosts firmly stuck in the relegation mire.
The Siege of Stadium de Toulouse
The Intensity was off the charts from the opening exchanges as Toulouse turned their home turf, the Stadium de Toulouse, into an absolute shooting gallery. Driven by a desperate need for early-season points, the hosts edged possession with 53 percent of the ball, deliberately overwhelming the flanks and repeatedly carving through the visiting midfield. This aggressive tactical setup allowed them to unleash a staggering 21 shots, keeping the opposition defense pinned deep inside their own penalty area. Generating a massive 3.41 expected goals and creating four big chances, they essentially did everything right tactically—except put the ball in the back of the net. Lille were forced into an extreme, backs-to-the-wall defensive shape just to survive the onslaught. The sheer volume of chances created by the home side dictated a frantic, breathless tempo, but their complete lack of clinical finishing in the final third kept the door dangerously wide open for a smash-and-grab raid.
Özer's Wall and Ueda's Strike
The defining storyline of this gripping contest ultimately boiled down to pure goalkeeper heroics. B. Özer delivered an absolute masterclass between the posts, registering nine crucial saves to single-handedly break the hosts' offensive spirit. Despite facing 10 shots on target and navigating a storm of 28 crosses into his area, the Turkish shot-stopper simply refused to be beaten. That extraordinary defensive resilience provided the perfect foundation for a brutal, calculated counter-punch. Completely against the run of play, A. Ueda silenced the vibrant home crowd with a ruthless, decisive finish. It was a classic demonstration of elite efficiency—Lille managed just eight total shots and generated a mere 1.06 xG, yet they ruthlessly punished their opponents' profligacy. The Balance of the match was entirely deceptive; the hosts overwhelmingly controlled the territorial battle, but the visitors commanded the only metric that truly mattered on the scoreboard.
Leaders Survive the Gauntlet
Holding onto their slender advantage through a chaotic final twenty minutes required a massive collective effort, highlighted by an outstanding defensive shift from Tiago Santos. With the Stakes heavily skewed by the current league table, this gritty, smash-and-grab victory keeps Lille perched securely at the summit of the standings with seven points from their opening three fixtures. Conversely, the result is a tremendously bitter pill to swallow for a Toulouse side that deserved much more from their relentless, 29-shot combined spectacle. Sitting 16th in the relegation playoff zone with just a single point to their name, they are already feeling the intense heat of a looming relegation battle. If they cannot find a way to convert a 3.41 xG performance into tangible points on the board, the Upset Factor will remain frustratingly low for the remainder of their challenging campaign.
Key Questions
What made B. Özer the Man of the Match?
He repelled a massive 3.41 xG from the hosts, making 9 spectacular saves to single-handedly secure a clean sheet against relentless attacking pressure.
What does this mean for Toulouse's season?
Sitting 16th with only one point, their inability to score despite dominating the chances signals a very difficult relegation battle ahead.
What is the Futmetrix Score?
The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.
Lille's Title Intentions Face a Desperate Toulouse Test
Average Entertainment Futmetrix Score: 52/100. An undefeated Lille aims to solidify their early championship credentials against a Toulouse side already flirting with relegation anxiety.
The Setup
Arriving at the Stadium de Toulouse on September 03, 2026, Lille look to impose their will. Sitting comfortably in second place, the visitors have seamlessly embraced the title race narrative. Meanwhile, Toulouse find themselves stranded in 16th, having gathered just a single point from their opening two fixtures. Our eye on the match reveals a Balance rating heavily skewed toward the visitors, emphasizing the gulf in quality between the squads. Though the early season context means the ultimate Stakes are still simmering, Toulouse's dismal Form is a glaring weakness. Backed by elite Stars in the final third, Lille possesses all the tools necessary to dominate proceedings away from home.
Key Battle
The midfield trench warfare directly pits Cristian Cásseres Jr. against the relentless danger of Olivier Giroud. The Toulouse midfielder must establish an iron grip in the center of the park, specifically aiming to sever the supply lines before the veteran Lille striker can inflict damage inside the penalty area.
Our Prediction
Lille’s attacking momentum should prove far too potent for the hosts to contain. We expect the visitors to patiently unpick the defensive locks, securing a clinical 2-0 victory by starving Toulouse of possession and punishing their transitional mistakes.