Liga MX Gameweek 7, Apertura

Puebla vs NS Toluca

Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
86
Puebla
vs
Toluca
Wed, Sep 16 • 01:00 Español
⚡ Form 68
⚖️ Balance 69
🏆 Stakes 67
⭐ Stars 71
High stakes in Liga MX's top four.

Win Probability

  • Puebla 21%
  • Draw 23%
  • Toluca 56%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Top Four Ambitions on the Line as Puebla Host Toluca

Must-Watch Futmetrix Score: 86/100. Tied on ten points near the summit of the Liga MX table, this Apertura showdown is an early litmus test for both sides' post-season credentials.

The Setup

The early season has been extremely productive for both Puebla and Toluca. Currently sitting third and fifth respectively, the visitors hold a slight edge purely on goal difference. This September 05, 2026 encounter carries an immense Stakes rating, reflecting the importance of cementing a top-four spot early in the Apertura campaign to secure direct qualification advantages. Toluca arrives with a formidable away Form, having already clinched two victories on the road while carving open opposing defenses with ease. Puebla, meanwhile, will need to rely on superb tactical Balance to disrupt the visitors' rhythm, protect their backline, and establish dominance on home soil.

Key Battle

The clash of Stars will inevitably define this fixture. Eduardo Mustre has been a revelation for the hosts, providing a relentless and clinical attacking threat. He will look to outshine Toluca's creative forces, notably Helinho, whose vision and execution in the final third can unlock the tightest of backlines. Whoever manages to exploit the half-spaces more effectively will likely steer their team to victory in this tightly contested affair.

Our Prediction

The underlying metrics lean heavily toward the visitors, and their clinical edge away from home fully justifies that confidence. Expect Toluca to absorb early pressure before picking Puebla apart on the counter-attack as spaces open up in the second half. We anticipate a 2-1 victory for the away side.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Absolutely. With both clubs level on points in the top five, this is a crucial early-season battle for dominance.

What's the predicted outcome?

We expect Toluca to claim a narrow 2-1 win, utilizing their superior attacking efficiency on the road.

Where are Puebla and Toluca in the league table?

Toluca currently sits third, while Puebla follows closely in fifth. Both teams have gathered ten points so far.

What is Puebla's current form?

Puebla is enjoying a solid run, having secured three wins, one draw, and just one loss in their last five fixtures.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Eduardo Mustre of Puebla is the standout, registering 3 goals and 1 assist in 3 matches with a 7.4 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
01/31/2026 Puebla 0 - 0 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtemoc
09/14/2025 Toluca 3 - 1 Puebla Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
03/15/2025 Puebla 0 - 3 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc
10/23/2024 Toluca 5 - 0 Puebla Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
01/27/2024 Puebla 1 - 1 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc
11/01/2023 Toluca 0 - 1 Puebla Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
06/24/2023 Toluca 1 - 1 Puebla Friendlies Clubs Estadio Nemesio Díez
04/08/2023 Puebla 1 - 2 Toluca Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc
08/03/2022 Toluca 1 - 1 Puebla Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
04/03/2022 Toluca 2 - 1 Puebla Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
01/31/2026
0 - 0
Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtemoc
09/14/2025
3 - 1
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
03/15/2025
0 - 3
Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc
10/23/2024
5 - 0
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
01/27/2024
1 - 1
Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc
11/01/2023
0 - 1
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
06/24/2023
1 - 1
Friendlies Clubs Estadio Nemesio Díez
04/08/2023
1 - 2
Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc
08/03/2022
1 - 1
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
04/03/2022
2 - 1
Liga MX Estadio Nemesio Díez
Puebla Win
Toluca Win
Draw

Season Statistics

8
League Position
3
10
Points
13
9
Goals Scored
12
7
Goals Conceded
4

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Club America 6 16 12 2 +10 WClub America 2 - 0 Puebla (30-08-2026)WFC Juarez 1 - 2 Club America (22-08-2026)WClub America 3 - 0 Atletico San Luis (16-08-2026)WClub America 3 - 0 Santos Laguna (02-08-2026)DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Club America (25-07-2026)
2 Guadalajara Chivas 7 14 12 6 +6 WAtletico San Luis 0 - 3 Guadalajara Chivas (05-09-2026)DCF Pachuca 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (29-08-2026)WGuadalajara Chivas 5 - 2 Club Tijuana (22-08-2026)WSantos Laguna 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (17-08-2026)DPuebla 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (01-08-2026)
3 Toluca 6 13 12 4 +8 WToluca 4 - 0 FC Juarez (31-08-2026)WClub Queretaro 1 - 2 Toluca (22-08-2026)DAtlante FC 0 - 0 Toluca (15-08-2026)WToluca 3 - 1 Necaxa (03-08-2026)LToluca 1 - 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (22-07-2026)
4 Club Tijuana 6 13 10 7 +3 WClub Tijuana 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (29-08-2026)LGuadalajara Chivas 5 - 2 Club Tijuana (22-08-2026)WClub Tijuana 2 - 1 Cruz Azul (17-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 0 - 0 Club Tijuana (01-08-2026)WClub Tijuana 1 - 0 Leon (25-07-2026)
5 Atlas 6 12 9 8 +1 DAtlas 1 - 1 Atlante FC (06-09-2026)LAtlas 1 - 3 Club Queretaro (29-08-2026)WCruz Azul 0 - 2 Atlas (23-08-2026)WAtlas 2 - 1 Tigres UANL (16-08-2026)LAtlas 0 - 2 Monterrey (02-08-2026)
6 Club Queretaro 6 10 9 7 +2 WAtlas 1 - 3 Club Queretaro (29-08-2026)LClub Queretaro 1 - 2 Toluca (22-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 0 Club Queretaro (16-08-2026)WClub Queretaro 3 - 2 Tigres UANL (01-08-2026)WCF Pachuca 1 - 2 Club Queretaro (27-07-2026)
7 Leon 6 10 8 6 +2 DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Leon (29-08-2026)WLeon 2 - 0 Monterrey (22-08-2026)WNecaxa 1 - 2 Leon (18-08-2026)WLeon 1 - 0 CF Pachuca (02-08-2026)LClub Tijuana 1 - 0 Leon (25-07-2026)
8 Puebla 6 10 9 9 0 LClub America 2 - 0 Puebla (30-08-2026)WPuebla 3 - 2 Santos Laguna (23-08-2026)WCF Pachuca 2 - 3 Puebla (18-08-2026)DPuebla 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (01-08-2026)LCruz Azul 2 - 1 Puebla (22-07-2026)
9 Monterrey 6 9 13 10 +3 LMonterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis (31-08-2026)LLeon 2 - 0 Monterrey (22-08-2026)WMonterrey 6 - 1 FC Juarez (16-08-2026)WAtlas 0 - 2 Monterrey (02-08-2026)LNecaxa 2 - 1 Monterrey (26-07-2026)
10 Cruz Azul 6 9 11 11 0 WNecaxa 1 - 3 Cruz Azul (29-08-2026)LCruz Azul 0 - 2 Atlas (23-08-2026)LClub Tijuana 2 - 1 Cruz Azul (17-08-2026)LCruz Azul 2 - 3 Atlante FC (02-08-2026)WCruz Azul 2 - 1 Puebla (22-07-2026)
11 CF Pachuca 7 8 10 8 +2 WFC Juarez 0 - 2 CF Pachuca (05-09-2026)DCF Pachuca 1 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (29-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 1 - 1 CF Pachuca (23-08-2026)LCF Pachuca 2 - 3 Puebla (18-08-2026)LLeon 1 - 0 CF Pachuca (02-08-2026)
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 6 8 8 8 0 LClub Tijuana 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (29-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa (24-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 - 0 Club Queretaro (16-08-2026)WFC Juarez 1 - 5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (01-08-2026)WToluca 1 - 2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (22-07-2026)
13 Necaxa 6 7 8 11 -3 DTigres UANL 1 - 1 Necaxa (06-09-2026)LNecaxa 1 - 3 Cruz Azul (29-08-2026)DU.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 1 Necaxa (24-08-2026)LNecaxa 1 - 2 Leon (18-08-2026)LToluca 3 - 1 Necaxa (03-08-2026)
14 Atlante FC 6 6 6 8 -2 DAtlas 1 - 1 Atlante FC (06-09-2026)DAtlante FC 1 - 1 Leon (29-08-2026)LTigres UANL 2 - 0 Atlante FC (22-08-2026)DAtlante FC 0 - 0 Toluca (15-08-2026)WCruz Azul 2 - 3 Atlante FC (02-08-2026)
15 Atletico San Luis 7 6 8 13 -5 LAtletico San Luis 0 - 3 Guadalajara Chivas (05-09-2026)WMonterrey 1 - 3 Atletico San Luis (31-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 1 - 1 CF Pachuca (23-08-2026)LClub America 3 - 0 Atletico San Luis (16-08-2026)DAtletico San Luis 0 - 0 Club Tijuana (01-08-2026)
16 Tigres UANL 6 5 8 10 -2 DTigres UANL 1 - 1 Necaxa (06-09-2026)DSantos Laguna 0 - 0 Tigres UANL (30-08-2026)WTigres UANL 2 - 0 Atlante FC (22-08-2026)LAtlas 2 - 1 Tigres UANL (16-08-2026)LClub Queretaro 3 - 2 Tigres UANL (01-08-2026)
17 Santos Laguna 6 1 4 11 -7 DSantos Laguna 0 - 0 Tigres UANL (30-08-2026)LPuebla 3 - 2 Santos Laguna (23-08-2026)LSantos Laguna 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas (17-08-2026)LClub America 3 - 0 Santos Laguna (02-08-2026)LSantos Laguna 0 - 1 Atlas (26-07-2026)
18 FC Juarez 7 0 3 21 -18 LFC Juarez 0 - 2 CF Pachuca (05-09-2026)LToluca 4 - 0 FC Juarez (31-08-2026)LFC Juarez 1 - 2 Club America (22-08-2026)LMonterrey 6 - 1 FC Juarez (16-08-2026)LFC Juarez 1 - 5 U.N.A.M. - Pumas (01-08-2026)