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Futmetrix Verdict
74
Union Berlin
vs
Borussia Dortmund
Sat, Oct 17 • 13:30 Deutsch
⚡ Form 95
⚖️ Balance 67
🏆 Stakes 67
⭐ Stars 87
League leaders Dortmund hunt a decisive victory.

Win Probability

  • Union Berlin 20%
  • Draw 22%
  • Borussia Dortmund 58%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Leaders Look to Punish Struggling Berliners

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 74/100. An unstoppable attacking machine rolls into the capital to face a leaky defence in a fixture that could heavily impact both ends of the table.

The Setup

The Stakes are massive as top-of-the-table Borussia Dortmund visit a reeling Union Berlin side. Dortmund are firmly asserting their dominance in the title race, boasting an unbeaten record and a ruthless attacking edge. Conversely, the hosts find themselves dragged into a grim early relegation battle following a dreadful run of results. A commanding Form rating highlights BVB's current supremacy over the league, and with an average of 3.7 combined goals per game, absolute fireworks are expected. While the competitive Balance tilts heavily toward the visiting heavyweights, the sheer quality of Dortmund's Stars—including rock-solid N. Schlotterbeck, dynamic F. Nmecha, and reliable G. Kobel—makes this a mismatch you cannot ignore.

Key Battle

The defining clash pits Dortmund's relentless attacking unit directly against a fragile Union backline that has already leaked an astonishing 17 goals in five league outings. If the home defence cannot maintain a rigid shape and close down the passing lanes, the visitors will carve them open with devastating ease.

Our Prediction

We expect a comfortable away win for Dortmund. The league leaders will suffocate the hosts through controlled possession, ruthlessly exploit the inevitable gaps in the final third, and likely cruise to an emphatic 3-0 victory without ever moving out of second gear.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

Yes, Dortmund's explosive attack against a highly vulnerable defence guarantees entertainment and likely plenty of goals.

What's the predicted outcome?

Dortmund to win comfortably by dominating the midfield and completely overwhelming the fragile home defence.

Where are Union Berlin and Borussia Dortmund in the league table?

Dortmund sit proudly at the summit in first place, while Union Berlin are languishing deep in trouble in sixteenth.

What is Union Berlin's current form?

Dire. They have managed just one single victory alongside three frustrating defeats in their last five matches.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

S. Guirassy of Borussia Dortmund is brilliant right now, registering 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 matches with a 7.5 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/31/2025 Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 Union Berlin Bundesliga Signal Iduna Park
02/22/2025 Borussia Dortmund 6 - 0 Union Berlin Bundesliga SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
10/05/2024 Union Berlin 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga Stadion An der Alten Försterei
03/02/2024 Union Berlin 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga Stadion An der Alten Försterei
10/07/2023 Borussia Dortmund 4 - 2 Union Berlin Bundesliga BVB Stadion Dortmund
04/08/2023 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 1 Union Berlin Bundesliga SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
08/31/2025
Bundesliga Signal Iduna Park
02/22/2025
Bundesliga SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
10/05/2024
Bundesliga Stadion An der Alten Försterei
03/02/2024
Bundesliga Stadion An der Alten Försterei
10/07/2023
Bundesliga BVB Stadion Dortmund
04/08/2023
Bundesliga SIGNAL IDUNA PARK
Union Berlin Win
Borussia Dortmund Win
Draw

Season Statistics

16
League Position
2
4
Points
13
5
Goals Scored
11
17
Goals Conceded
4

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 SC Freiburg 5 13 14 4 +10 WSC Freiburg 2 - 1 FC Schalke 04 (11-10-2026)DEintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2 SC Freiburg (19-09-2026)WSC Freiburg 5 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (12-09-2026)WSC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg (05-09-2026)WSC Freiburg 4 - 1 Werder Bremen (30-08-2026)
2 Borussia Dortmund 5 13 11 4 +7 DBorussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen (09-10-2026)WVfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund (19-09-2026)WBorussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 (12-09-2026)W1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (05-09-2026)WBorussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV (29-08-2026)
3 Bayern München 5 11 16 4 +12 DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern München (10-10-2026)WBayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin (18-09-2026)WSV Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern München (13-09-2026)DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 Bayern München (05-09-2026)WBayern München 5 - 1 VfB Stuttgart (28-08-2026)
4 Bayer Leverkusen 5 10 14 8 +6 WFSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen (10-10-2026)WBayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig (20-09-2026)DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen (12-09-2026)WBayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin (05-09-2026)LSV Elversberg 3 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen (29-08-2026)
5 RB Leipzig 5 9 15 5 +10 WRB Leipzig 6 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt (10-10-2026)LBayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig (20-09-2026)WRB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV (13-09-2026)LWerder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig (05-09-2026)WRB Leipzig 3 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (29-08-2026)
6 FC Augsburg 5 8 13 8 +5 DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern München (10-10-2026)LWerder Bremen 3 - 2 FC Augsburg (19-09-2026)DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen (12-09-2026)WEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 4 FC Augsburg (06-09-2026)WFC Augsburg 3 - 0 FC Schalke 04 (30-08-2026)
7 Werder Bremen 5 8 10 10 0 DBorussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen (09-10-2026)WWerder Bremen 3 - 2 FC Augsburg (19-09-2026)D1. FC Köln 1 - 1 Werder Bremen (12-09-2026)WWerder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig (05-09-2026)LSC Freiburg 4 - 1 Werder Bremen (30-08-2026)
8 FSV Mainz 05 5 7 13 10 +3 LFSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen (10-10-2026)WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 (19-09-2026)LFSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (12-09-2026)WHamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 (06-09-2026)DFSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 (29-08-2026)
9 SV Elversberg 5 7 8 8 0 LUnion Berlin 1 - 0 SV Elversberg (10-10-2026)DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 SV Elversberg (20-09-2026)LSV Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern München (13-09-2026)WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 SV Elversberg (05-09-2026)WSV Elversberg 3 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen (29-08-2026)
10 1. FC Köln 5 7 8 10 -2 W1. FC Köln 2 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (11-10-2026)LHamburger SV 2 - 1 1. FC Köln (19-09-2026)D1. FC Köln 1 - 1 Werder Bremen (12-09-2026)LVfB Stuttgart 4 - 1 1. FC Köln (04-09-2026)W1. FC Köln 3 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim (29-08-2026)
11 VfB Stuttgart 5 6 8 9 -1 WSC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart (10-10-2026)LVfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund (19-09-2026)L1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart (12-09-2026)WVfB Stuttgart 4 - 1 1. FC Köln (04-09-2026)LBayern München 5 - 1 VfB Stuttgart (28-08-2026)
12 Hamburger SV 5 6 5 15 -10 W1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Hamburger SV (10-10-2026)WHamburger SV 2 - 1 1. FC Köln (19-09-2026)LRB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV (13-09-2026)LHamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 (06-09-2026)LBorussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV (29-08-2026)
13 FC Schalke 04 5 5 4 6 -2 LSC Freiburg 2 - 1 FC Schalke 04 (11-10-2026)DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 SV Elversberg (20-09-2026)WUnion Berlin 1 - 3 FC Schalke 04 (11-09-2026)DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 Bayern München (05-09-2026)LFC Augsburg 3 - 0 FC Schalke 04 (30-08-2026)
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 5 5 9 16 -7 LRB Leipzig 6 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt (10-10-2026)DEintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2 SC Freiburg (19-09-2026)WFSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (12-09-2026)LEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 4 FC Augsburg (06-09-2026)DUnion Berlin 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (29-08-2026)
15 SC Paderborn 07 5 4 3 7 -4 LSC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart (10-10-2026)WSC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim (20-09-2026)LBorussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 (12-09-2026)LSC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg (05-09-2026)DFSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 (29-08-2026)
16 Union Berlin 5 4 5 17 -12 WUnion Berlin 1 - 0 SV Elversberg (10-10-2026)LBayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin (18-09-2026)LUnion Berlin 1 - 3 FC Schalke 04 (11-09-2026)LBayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin (05-09-2026)DUnion Berlin 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (29-08-2026)
17 1899 Hoffenheim 5 3 9 13 -4 L1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Hamburger SV (10-10-2026)LSC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim (20-09-2026)W1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart (12-09-2026)L1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (05-09-2026)L1. FC Köln 3 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim (29-08-2026)
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 5 0 7 18 -11 L1. FC Köln 2 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (11-10-2026)LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 (19-09-2026)LSC Freiburg 5 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (12-09-2026)LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 SV Elversberg (05-09-2026)LRB Leipzig 3 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (29-08-2026)

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