Match Preview

Match previews and recaps to help you decide which games are worth watching

Futmetrix Verdict
94
FSV Mainz 05
vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Sep 12 • 13:30 Deutsch
⚡ Form 39
⚖️ Balance 85
🏆 Stakes 100
⭐ Stars 93
Rhein-Main derby promises early season tension.

Win Probability

  • FSV Mainz 05 48%
  • Draw 24%
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 28%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Rhein-Main Rivals Seek First Win

Must-Watch Futmetrix Score: 94/100. Early season rust meets local pride in a derby where neither side wants to blink first.

The Setup

A modest Stakes rating reflects the early nature of this Bundesliga campaign, but try telling that to the fans packing the Mewa Arena this September 12. FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt both sit mid-table on a single point. A towering Balance rating highlights exactly how evenly matched these regional rivals are on paper. Mainz ground out a gritty, goalless draw in their opener, whilst Frankfurt were involved in a chaotic 3-3 thriller. The Form numbers are understandably muted this early in the year, but derby day adrenaline usually renders the form book useless.

Key Battle

Mainz rely heavily on the defensive know-how of D. da Costa to lock down the flank. He faces a monumental test against Frankfurt's Y. Ebnoutalib. Buoyed by a strong Stars rating, the visiting wide man has exploded out of the blocks this season, demanding constant attention and threatening to bypass the home side's defensive block entirely.

Our Prediction

Expect a physical, stop-start encounter that ultimately leans towards a stalemate. Mainz's defensive solidity will frustrate Frankfurt's explosive attackers early on. We back a 1-1 draw, with both sides settling for a hard-fought point rather than risking crushing derby heartbreak.

Key Questions

Should I watch this match?

You can probably skip it. Despite the derby narrative, both teams are struggling for early season rhythm, pointing towards a cagey affair.

What's the predicted outcome?

We predict a 1-1 draw. Mainz will dig in defensively, effectively neutralising Frankfurt's potent but inconsistent attacking threat.

Where are FSV Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt in the league table?

Mainz currently sit in 10th place, whilst Eintracht Frankfurt are slightly ahead in 8th position in the Bundesliga standings.

What is FSV Mainz 05's current form?

Mainz have made a slow start, grinding out a 0-0 draw in their opening fixture to sit on a single point.

Who is the in-form player to watch?

Y. Ebnoutalib of Eintracht Frankfurt is the standout, boasting 3 goals in 1 match with a stellar 9.2 average rating.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
11/09/2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga Deutsche Bank Park
05/04/2025 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga MEWA ARENA
12/21/2024 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 3 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga Deutsche Bank Park
01/26/2024 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga Frankfurt Arena
08/27/2023 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga MEWA ARENA
05/13/2023 Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 0 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga Deutsche Bank Park
11/09/2025
Bundesliga Deutsche Bank Park
05/04/2025
Bundesliga MEWA ARENA
12/21/2024
Bundesliga Deutsche Bank Park
01/26/2024
Bundesliga Frankfurt Arena
08/27/2023
Bundesliga MEWA ARENA
05/13/2023
Bundesliga Deutsche Bank Park
FSV Mainz 05 Win
Eintracht Frankfurt Win
Draw

Season Statistics

10
League Position
8
1
Points
1
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0

League Standings

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Bayern München 1 3 5 1 +4 DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 Bayern München (05-09-2026)WBayern München 5 - 1 VfB Stuttgart (28-08-2026)
2 SC Freiburg 1 3 4 1 +3 WSC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg (05-09-2026)WSC Freiburg 4 - 1 Werder Bremen (30-08-2026)
3 FC Augsburg 1 3 3 0 +3 WFC Augsburg 3 - 0 FC Schalke 04 (30-08-2026)
4 RB Leipzig 1 3 3 0 +3 LWerder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig (05-09-2026)WRB Leipzig 3 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (29-08-2026)
5 Borussia Dortmund 1 3 2 0 +2 W1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (05-09-2026)WBorussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV (29-08-2026)
6 SV Elversberg 1 3 3 2 +1 WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 SV Elversberg (05-09-2026)WSV Elversberg 3 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen (29-08-2026)
7 1. FC Köln 1 3 3 2 +1 LVfB Stuttgart 4 - 1 1. FC Köln (04-09-2026)W1. FC Köln 3 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim (29-08-2026)
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 1 3 3 0 DUnion Berlin 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (29-08-2026)
9 Union Berlin 1 1 3 3 0 LBayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin (05-09-2026)DUnion Berlin 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (29-08-2026)
10 FSV Mainz 05 1 1 0 0 0 WHamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 (06-09-2026)DFSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 (29-08-2026)
11 SC Paderborn 07 1 1 0 0 0 LSC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg (05-09-2026)DFSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 (29-08-2026)
12 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0 2 3 -1 L1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (05-09-2026)L1. FC Köln 3 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim (29-08-2026)
13 Bayer Leverkusen 1 0 2 3 -1 WBayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin (05-09-2026)LSV Elversberg 3 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen (29-08-2026)
14 Hamburger SV 1 0 0 2 -2 LHamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 (06-09-2026)LBorussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV (29-08-2026)
15 Werder Bremen 1 0 1 4 -3 WWerder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig (05-09-2026)LSC Freiburg 4 - 1 Werder Bremen (30-08-2026)
16 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 0 0 3 -3 LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 SV Elversberg (05-09-2026)LRB Leipzig 3 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (29-08-2026)
17 FC Schalke 04 1 0 0 3 -3 DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 Bayern München (05-09-2026)LFC Augsburg 3 - 0 FC Schalke 04 (30-08-2026)
18 VfB Stuttgart 1 0 1 5 -4 WVfB Stuttgart 4 - 1 1. FC Köln (04-09-2026)LBayern München 5 - 1 VfB Stuttgart (28-08-2026)