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Futmetrix Verdict
82
FT
Sat, Oct 17
Deutsch
Bayern München
6-1
RB Leipzig
⚡ Intensity 78
⚖️ Balance 8
🏆 Stakes 70
🎲 Upset 0
Díaz hat-trick destroys Leipzig in Munich.

Win Probability

  • Bayern München 77%
  • Draw 13%
  • RB Leipzig 10%

Futmetrix AI estimate

Díaz Hat-Trick Sparks Six-Goal Munich Masterclass

Highly Entertaining Futmetrix Score: 82/100. A devastating, free-flowing attacking performance at the Allianz Arena proves that Bayern München are the undisputed heavyweights in this year's title race.

Early Demolition

A quick look at the Stakes instantly highlights the massive pressure surrounding this heavyweight clash, but the actual contest on the pitch was effectively decided within a blistering, one-sided opening half-hour. Bayern München completely dominated possession right from the referee's first whistle, utterly starving RB Leipzig of the ball in key areas. The overall Balance of the match heavily favoured the relentless hosts the very moment Luis Díaz cleanly converted a beautifully weighted pass from midfield maestro Joshua Kimmich in the 12th minute. That devastating early breakthrough completely shattered the visitors' fragile game plan and instantly opened the floodgates for the hungry Bavarian giants. By the 34th minute, tremendously sharp finishes from the impressive Aleksandar Pavlović and the incredibly dynamic Michael Olise had already extended the lead to a comfortable margin, leaving Leipzig utterly bewildered and desperately chasing shadows all across the park.

The Díaz Show

An off-the-charts Intensity clearly defined the early stages of the second half as the clinical hosts absolutely refused to take their foot off the gas pedal. Díaz continued his absolute reign of terror against the struggling Leipzig backline, eventually completing a magnificent and truly memorable hat-trick with clinical precision in the final third. Any mathematical chance of a high Upset Factor completely evaporated entirely as star striker Harry Kane, who had already brilliantly showcased his elite playmaking skills with two fantastic assists, got in on the goalscoring act himself after smoothly linking up with Nathaniel Brown. The sheer shot volume throughout this dominant period was truly staggering for a match of this magnitude. The pitch essentially turned into a chaotic shooting gallery, with the two sides combining for a massive 41 attempts on goal, though the home side clearly created by far the superior scoring opportunities.

Late Consolation

With the three crucial points completely secured and the final result absolutely beyond any reasonable doubt, the overall tempo naturally dropped in the dying moments of the completely lopsided fixture. Leipzig finally managed to string together a meaningful, coherent attack, resulting in a solitary consolation goal when talented substitute Andrija Maksimović proudly found the back of the net deep into stoppage time, thanks to a lovely delivery from Brajan Gruda. However, this late and rather insignificant strike did absolutely nothing to diminish the profound impact of a truly historic 6-1 demolition. This astonishing result serves as a massive, echoing statement of intent from the triumphant home side in front of their fiercely passionate supporters. They looked absolutely and terrifyingly unstoppable going forward, laying down a definitive marker that will undoubtedly send shockwaves throughout the upper echelons of the Bundesliga standings as the long season progresses.

Key Questions

What made H. Kane the Man of the Match?

Kane was the ultimate offensive hub, combining lethal finishing with elite playmaking by scoring a brilliant goal and providing two crucial assists.

What caused the 7-goal thriller?

Bayern's relentless attacking pressure generated a massive 29 shots, which combined with a clinical hat-trick from Luis Díaz to tear the match wide open.

What does this mean for Bayern München's season?

This emphatic 6-1 victory cements their status as serious title contenders, demonstrating a terrifying attacking fluidity that their league rivals will deeply fear.

What is the Futmetrix Score?

The Futmetrix Score is our 0-100 verdict on how entertaining a match is. We look at intensity, balance, stakes, and star quality to tell you if it's worth your time.

Match Statistics

Possession
62%
38%
Bayern München 62%
RB Leipzig 38%
Shots
29
12
Bayern München 29
RB Leipzig 12
Shots on Target
17
4
Bayern München 17
RB Leipzig 4
Expected Goals (xG)
3.77
0.86
Bayern München 3.77
RB Leipzig 0.86
Passes
666
411
Bayern München 666
RB Leipzig 411
Corners
11
3
Bayern München 11
RB Leipzig 3
Fouls
15
6
Bayern München 15
RB Leipzig 6
Yellow Cards
1
0
Bayern München 1
RB Leipzig 0
Red Cards
0
0
Bayern München 0
RB Leipzig 0

Match Events

12' ⚽ Luis Díaz (Joshua Kimmich)
26' ⚽ Aleksandar Pavlović (Luis Díaz)
34' ⚽ Michael Olise (Harry Kane)
↓ Ezechiel Banzuzi ↑Nicolas Seiwald 🔄 45'
↓ Christopher Nkunku ↑Tidiam Gomis 🔄 45'
HT
47' ⚽ Luis Díaz (Harry Kane)
51' 🟨 Konrad Laimer
52' ⚽ Harry Kane (Nathaniel Brown)
↓ Lukas Klostermann ↑Benjamin Henrichs 🔄 59'
59' 🔄 ↓ Ismael Saibari ↑Serge Gnabry
59' 🔄 ↓ Konrad Laimer ↑Josip Stanišić
59' 🔄 ↓ Aleksandar Pavlović ↑Tom Bischof
59' 🔄 ↓ Harry Kane ↑Lennart Karl
↓ Antonio Nusa ↑Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz 🔄 60'
69' ⚽ Luis Díaz (Michael Olise)
↓ Rocco Reitz ↑Andrija Maksimović 🔄 71'
77' 🔄 ↓ Kim Min-Jae ↑Sacha Boey
Andrija Maksimović (Brajan Gruda) ⚽ 90'+1
FT

Player Cards

Our take on every player in this match

Bayern München

Goalkeepers
Jonas Urbig
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Defenders
Konrad Laimer
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
Cleanups
3
Cleanups
2
Interceptions
1
Blocks
Dayot Upamecano
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
90
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Kim Min-Jae
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
13
Late Mins
13
Late Mins
77
Total Mins
77
Entry
Nathaniel Brown
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
1
Assists
27%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Joshua Kimmich
MAGNET
MAGNET
99
Activity
99
Activity
95
Passes
4
Duels
Aleksandar Pavlović
SNIPER
SNIPER
100%
Conversion
100%
Conversion
1
Goals
1
Shots
Michael Olise
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
5
Key Passes
5
Key Passes
1
Assists
50%
Pass Acc
Ismael Saibari
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Luis Díaz
HATMAN
HAT-TRICK HERO
3
Goals
3
Goals
4
On Target
9.4
Rating
Forwards
Harry Kane
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
4
Key Passes
4
Key Passes
2
Assists
19%
Pass Acc
BENCH
Sven Ulreich
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Sacha Boey
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Josip Stanišić
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
31
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Alphonso Davies
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Jonathan Tah
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Hiroki Ito
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Lennart Karl
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
31
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tom Bischof
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
2
Shots
2
Shots
0
Goals
1
On Target
Serge Gnabry
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
31
Total Mins
Started
Entry

RB Leipzig

Goalkeepers
Maarten Vandevoordt
OCTOPUS
OCTOPUS
11
Saves
11
Saves
0
Conceded
100%
Save %
Defenders
Lukas Klostermann
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
59
Total Mins
59
Entry
Willi Orbán
STORMTROOPER
STORMTROOPER
1
Shots
1
Shots
0
Goals
0
On Target
Castello Lukeba
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
5
Cleanups
5
Cleanups
5
Interceptions
0
Blocks
David Raum
ARCHITECT
ARCHITECT
2
Key Passes
2
Key Passes
0
Assists
38%
Pass Acc
Midfielders
Brajan Gruda
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
7
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Rocco Reitz
GHOST
GHOST
11
Actions
11
Actions
71
Minutes
5.8
Rating
Neil El Aynaoui
ENFORCER
ENFORCER
4
Tackles
4
Tackles
6
Duels Won
86%
Win %
Ezechiel Banzuzi
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
7
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Antonio Nusa
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
3
Fouls Won
3
Fouls Won
5
Duels Won
0
Pens Won
Forwards
Christopher Nkunku
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
46
Total Mins
45
Entry
BENCH
Ørjan Nyland
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
Saves
0
Saves
0
Conceded
0
Minutes
Maxime Estève
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Max Finkgräfe
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Benjamin Henrichs
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
31
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Ridle Baku
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
0
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Andrija Maksimović
CLUTCH HERO
CLUTCH HERO
90
Goal Time
90
Goal Time
Goal
Impact
6.9
Rating
Nicolas Seiwald
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
44
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Rômulo
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
30
Total Mins
Started
Entry
Tidiam Gomis
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
Late Mins
15
Late Mins
44
Total Mins
Started
Entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
08/15/2026 Bayern München 3 - 1 RB Leipzig Friendlies Clubs Allianz Arena
02/11/2026 Bayern München 2 - 0 RB Leipzig DFB Pokal Allianz Arena
01/17/2026 RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern München Bundesliga Red Bull Arena
08/22/2025 Bayern München 6 - 0 RB Leipzig Bundesliga Allianz Arena
05/03/2025 RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Bayern München Bundesliga Red Bull Arena
12/20/2024 Bayern München 5 - 1 RB Leipzig Bundesliga Allianz Arena
02/24/2024 Bayern Munich 2 - 1 RB Leipzig Bundesliga Fußball Arena München
09/30/2023 RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Bayern Munich Bundesliga Leipzig Stadium
08/12/2023 Bayern Munich 0 - 3 RB Leipzig Super Cup Allianz Arena
05/20/2023 Bayern Munich 1 - 3 RB Leipzig Bundesliga Allianz Arena
08/15/2026
Friendlies Clubs Allianz Arena
02/11/2026
DFB Pokal Allianz Arena
01/17/2026
Bundesliga Red Bull Arena
08/22/2025
Bundesliga Allianz Arena
05/03/2025
Bundesliga Red Bull Arena
12/20/2024
Bundesliga Allianz Arena
02/24/2024
Bundesliga Fußball Arena München
09/30/2023
Bundesliga Leipzig Stadium
08/12/2023
Super Cup Allianz Arena
05/20/2023
Bundesliga Allianz Arena
Bayern München Win
RB Leipzig Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Bayern München 6 14 22 5 +17 WBayern München 6 - 1 RB Leipzig (17-10-2026)DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern München (10-10-2026)WBayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin (18-09-2026)WSV Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern München (13-09-2026)DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 Bayern München (05-09-2026)
2 Borussia Dortmund 6 14 11 4 +7 DUnion Berlin 0 - 0 Borussia Dortmund (17-10-2026)DBorussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen (09-10-2026)WVfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund (19-09-2026)WBorussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 (12-09-2026)W1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (05-09-2026)
3 SC Freiburg 6 13 15 6 +9 LBayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg (18-10-2026)WSC Freiburg 2 - 1 FC Schalke 04 (11-10-2026)DEintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2 SC Freiburg (19-09-2026)WSC Freiburg 5 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (12-09-2026)WSC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg (05-09-2026)
4 Bayer Leverkusen 6 13 16 9 +7 WBayer Leverkusen 2 - 1 SC Freiburg (18-10-2026)WFSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen (10-10-2026)WBayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig (20-09-2026)DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen (12-09-2026)WBayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin (05-09-2026)
5 FSV Mainz 05 6 10 14 10 +4 WFC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 (17-10-2026)LFSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen (10-10-2026)WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 (19-09-2026)LFSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (12-09-2026)WHamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 (06-09-2026)
6 SV Elversberg 6 10 12 11 +1 WSV Elversberg 4 - 3 FC Augsburg (17-10-2026)LUnion Berlin 1 - 0 SV Elversberg (10-10-2026)DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 SV Elversberg (20-09-2026)LSV Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern München (13-09-2026)WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 SV Elversberg (05-09-2026)
7 RB Leipzig 6 9 16 11 +5 LBayern München 6 - 1 RB Leipzig (17-10-2026)WRB Leipzig 6 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt (10-10-2026)LBayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig (20-09-2026)WRB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV (13-09-2026)LWerder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig (05-09-2026)
8 Werder Bremen 6 9 12 12 0 DWerder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 (17-10-2026)DBorussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen (09-10-2026)WWerder Bremen 3 - 2 FC Augsburg (19-09-2026)D1. FC Köln 1 - 1 Werder Bremen (12-09-2026)WWerder Bremen 3 - 1 RB Leipzig (05-09-2026)
9 Hamburger SV 6 9 6 15 -9 WHamburger SV 1 - 0 VfB Stuttgart (17-10-2026)W1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Hamburger SV (10-10-2026)WHamburger SV 2 - 1 1. FC Köln (19-09-2026)LRB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV (13-09-2026)LHamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 (06-09-2026)
10 FC Augsburg 6 8 16 12 +4 LSV Elversberg 4 - 3 FC Augsburg (17-10-2026)DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern München (10-10-2026)LWerder Bremen 3 - 2 FC Augsburg (19-09-2026)DFC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen (12-09-2026)WEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 4 FC Augsburg (06-09-2026)
11 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 8 10 16 -6 WEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0 1. FC Köln (16-10-2026)LRB Leipzig 6 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt (10-10-2026)DEintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2 SC Freiburg (19-09-2026)WFSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt (12-09-2026)LEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 4 FC Augsburg (06-09-2026)
12 1. FC Köln 6 7 8 11 -3 LEintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0 1. FC Köln (16-10-2026)W1. FC Köln 2 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (11-10-2026)LHamburger SV 2 - 1 1. FC Köln (19-09-2026)D1. FC Köln 1 - 1 Werder Bremen (12-09-2026)LVfB Stuttgart 4 - 1 1. FC Köln (04-09-2026)
13 VfB Stuttgart 6 6 8 10 -2 LHamburger SV 1 - 0 VfB Stuttgart (17-10-2026)WSC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart (10-10-2026)LVfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund (19-09-2026)L1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart (12-09-2026)WVfB Stuttgart 4 - 1 1. FC Köln (04-09-2026)
14 FC Schalke 04 6 5 4 7 -3 LFC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 (17-10-2026)LSC Freiburg 2 - 1 FC Schalke 04 (11-10-2026)DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 SV Elversberg (20-09-2026)WUnion Berlin 1 - 3 FC Schalke 04 (11-09-2026)DFC Schalke 04 0 - 0 Bayern München (05-09-2026)
15 SC Paderborn 07 6 5 5 9 -4 DWerder Bremen 2 - 2 SC Paderborn 07 (17-10-2026)LSC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart (10-10-2026)WSC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim (20-09-2026)LBorussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 (12-09-2026)LSC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 SC Freiburg (05-09-2026)
16 Union Berlin 6 5 5 17 -12 DUnion Berlin 0 - 0 Borussia Dortmund (17-10-2026)WUnion Berlin 1 - 0 SV Elversberg (10-10-2026)LBayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin (18-09-2026)LUnion Berlin 1 - 3 FC Schalke 04 (11-09-2026)LBayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin (05-09-2026)
17 1899 Hoffenheim 5 3 9 13 -4 L1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Hamburger SV (10-10-2026)LSC Paderborn 07 3 - 1 1899 Hoffenheim (20-09-2026)W1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart (12-09-2026)L1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Borussia Dortmund (05-09-2026)L1. FC Köln 3 - 2 1899 Hoffenheim (29-08-2026)
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 5 0 7 18 -11 L1. FC Köln 2 - 1 Borussia Mönchengladbach (11-10-2026)LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 (19-09-2026)LSC Freiburg 5 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (12-09-2026)LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 4 SV Elversberg (05-09-2026)LRB Leipzig 3 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach (29-08-2026)

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