Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle: Woltemade's own goal gifts Sunderland derby gold | 試合レポート

Item: Sunderland vs Newcastle
Rating: 22
Author: Futmetrix

Own Goal Heartbreak: Sunderland Stuns Newcastle in Tyne-Wear Thriller

スキップ Futmetrix スコア: 22/100. A moment of madness from N. Woltemade at the Stadium of Light turned a tight, contested derby into a Sunderland celebration—and a Newcastle reckoning.

The Turning Point: 46th-Minute Disaster

Just as the second half kicked off, Newcastle's Woltemade deflected a low cross past his own goalkeeper to hand Sunderland the lead. The own goal at 46 minutes—when Newcastle should have been resetting tactically—proved the decisive blow. Intensity spiked momentarily, but the psychological damage was done. With an Upset Factor of 6.0 and a 15% probability gap favouring the visitors, this was a classic case of underdog fortune colliding with preventable error.

Possession Without Penetration

Newcastle controlled the ball—53% possession to Sunderland's 47%—and strung together 429 passes at an 85% accuracy rate. Yet the Balance of the match tilted decisively against them: six shots produced just two on target, while an expected goals tally of 0.25 exposed their toothlessness in the final third. Defensively, Malick Thiaw was a colossus for Newcastle, earning a 7.6 rating and the match's outstanding performance award, but even his commanding display couldn't salvage a team that lacked clinical edge. Sunderland, meanwhile, managed only five shots but made their limited chances count—a 0.28 xG masked the ruthlessness required to win derbies.

The Context: Sunderland's Statement

This victory propels Sunderland to 7th place on 26 points, a Stakes-heavy result that signals their playoff credentials. Newcastle, sitting 12th with 22 points and a fragile form line reading LWDWW, face mounting pressure. The Magpies' goal difference of +1 and inconsistent defensive record (20 conceded in 16 games) have become liabilities. For Sunderland, the three points on home soil represent a statement: they belong in the promotion conversation, not the fringe.

Key Questions

How did Sunderland win despite lower possession?

Woltemade's own goal gifted the lead. Sunderland defended compactly thereafter, absorbing Newcastle's pressure without conceding further chances.

Why is this an upset at 6.0 factor?

15% probability gap favoured Newcastle pre-match. Sunderland's 7th-place finish and underdog status made this a genuine shock victory.

What does this mean for promotion race?

Sunderland's 26 points in 16 games puts them in playoff contention. Newcastle's 22 points signal a mid-table slide.

Futmetrix Scoreとは？

Futmetrix Scoreは試合のエンタメ性を0-100で評価したものです。激しさ、拮抗度、重要度、スター性を分析し、観る価値があるかを判定します。

Northeast Fire: Sunderland's Title Credentials Meet Newcastle's Resurgence

平均的 Futmetrix スコア: 37/100. This derby carries Stakes that transcend the table—bragging rights in a region hungry for redemption, with both keepers performing at elite levels and attacking talent firing on all cylinders.

The Setup

Sunderland sits fourth, a genuine contender with Form that's steadied after early wobbles. Newcastle lurks eleventh but shows dangerous momentum—two wins in their last five mask a side finding rhythm. The Balance here is delicate: Sunderland's defensive solidity (13 goals conceded) faces Newcastle's unpredictability. Robin Roefs has been immense for Sunderland (20 saves in five games), while Nick Pope keeps Newcastle competitive despite the chaos around him (4.2 saves per game).

Key Battle

Brian Brobbey versus Malick Thiaw—the striker's movement and finishing craft against the centre-back's aerial authority and set-piece threat. Brobbey's two goals in five matches show clinical edge; Thiaw's two headers in the same span reveal Newcastle's danger from dead balls. Whoever dominates this personal duel controls the match's narrative.

Our Prediction

Newcastle's Bruno Guimarães orchestrates early pressure, but Sunderland absorbs and strikes via Brobbey's composure. The keepers' form keeps this tight. Final score: 1-1. A derby that delivers intensity without a decisive blow—both sides leave frustrated but unbowed.

試合スタッツ

ポゼッション

47%

53%

Sunderland 47%

Newcastle 53%

シュート

Sunderland 5

Newcastle 6

枠内シュート

Sunderland 1

Newcastle 2

期待得点 (xG)

0.28

0.25

Sunderland 0.28

Newcastle 0.25

パス

382

429

Sunderland 382

Newcastle 429

パス成功率

77%

85%

Sunderland 77%

Newcastle 85%

コーナーキック

Sunderland 3

Newcastle 6

ファウル

Sunderland 10

Newcastle 10

イエローカード

Sunderland 4

Newcastle 3

レッドカード

Sunderland 0

Newcastle 0

試合イベント

27' 🟨 B. Brobbey

34' 🟨 N. Mukiele

↓ D. Burn ↑F. Schar 🔄 42'

46' ⚽ N. Woltemade

S. Tonali 🟨 57'

58' 🟨 R. Mandava

↓ A. Gordon ↑H. Barnes 🔄 59'

↓ S. Tonali ↑J. Willock 🔄 59'

↓ A. Elanga ↑J. Murphy 🔄 59'

71' 🔄 ↓ B. Brobbey ↑W. Isidor

71' 🔄 ↓ B. Traore ↑T. Hume

↓ N. Woltemade ↑Y. Wissa 🔄 75'

83' 🔄 ↓ C. Talbi ↑R. Mundle

86' 🟨 E. Le Fee

Bruno Guimaraes 🟨 90'+4

J. Willock 🟨 90'+4

90'+4 🟨 W. Isidor

M. Thiaw 🟨 90'+6

過去の対戦

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition	Venue
2025/12/14	Sunderland	1 - 0	Newcastle	Premier League	Stadium of Light
2024/01/06	Sunderland	0 - 3	Newcastle	FA Cup	Stadium of Light
2016/03/20	Newcastle	1 - 1	Sunderland	Premier League	St James' Park
2015/10/25	Sunderland	3 - 0	Newcastle	Premier League	Stadium of Light
2015/04/05	Sunderland	1 - 0	Newcastle	Premier League	Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
2014/12/21	Newcastle	0 - 1	Sunderland	Premier League	St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
2014/02/01	Newcastle	0 - 3	Sunderland	Premier League	St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
2013/10/27	Sunderland	2 - 1	Newcastle	Premier League	Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
2013/04/14	Newcastle	0 - 3	Sunderland	Premier League	St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
2012/10/21	Sunderland	1 - 1	Newcastle	Premier League	Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

2025/12/14

Sunderland

1 - 0

Newcastle

Premier League Stadium of Light

2024/01/06

Sunderland

0 - 3

Newcastle

FA Cup Stadium of Light

2016/03/20

Newcastle

1 - 1

Sunderland

Premier League St James' Park

2015/10/25

Sunderland

3 - 0

Newcastle

Premier League Stadium of Light

2015/04/05

Sunderland

1 - 0

Newcastle

Premier League Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

2014/12/21

Newcastle

0 - 1

Sunderland

Premier League St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)

2014/02/01

Newcastle

0 - 3

Sunderland

Premier League St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)

2013/10/27

Sunderland

2 - 1

Newcastle

Premier League Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

2013/04/14

Newcastle

0 - 3

Sunderland

Premier League St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)

2012/10/21

Sunderland

1 - 1

Newcastle

Premier League Stadium of Light (Sunderland)

Sunderland Win

Newcastle Win

Draw

Pos	チーム	試	勝点	得	失	差	調子
1	Arsenal	16	36	30	10	+20	WArsenal 2 - 1 Wolves (13-12-2025)LAston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal (06-12-2025)WArsenal 2 - 0 Brentford (03-12-2025)DChelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal (30-11-2025)WArsenal 4 - 1 Tottenham (23-11-2025)
2	Manchester City	16	34	38	16	+22	WCrystal Palace 0 - 3 Manchester City (14-12-2025)WManchester City 3 - 0 Sunderland (06-12-2025)WFulham 4 - 5 Manchester City (02-12-2025)WManchester City 3 - 2 Leeds (29-11-2025)LNewcastle 2 - 1 Manchester City (22-11-2025)
3	Aston Villa	16	33	25	17	+8	WWest Ham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (14-12-2025)WAston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal (06-12-2025)WBrighton 3 - 4 Aston Villa (03-12-2025)WAston Villa 1 - 0 Wolves (30-11-2025)WLeeds 1 - 2 Aston Villa (23-11-2025)
4	Chelsea	16	28	27	15	+12	WChelsea 2 - 0 Everton (13-12-2025)DBournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea (06-12-2025)LLeeds 3 - 1 Chelsea (03-12-2025)DChelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal (30-11-2025)WBurnley 0 - 2 Chelsea (22-11-2025)
5	Crystal Palace	16	26	20	15	+5	LCrystal Palace 0 - 3 Manchester City (14-12-2025)WFulham 1 - 2 Crystal Palace (07-12-2025)WBurnley 0 - 1 Crystal Palace (03-12-2025)LCrystal Palace 1 - 2 Manchester United (30-11-2025)WWolves 0 - 2 Crystal Palace (22-11-2025)
6	Manchester United	16	26	30	26	+4	DManchester United 4 - 4 Bournemouth (15-12-2025)WWolves 1 - 4 Manchester United (08-12-2025)DManchester United 1 - 1 West Ham (04-12-2025)WCrystal Palace 1 - 2 Manchester United (30-11-2025)LManchester United 0 - 1 Everton (24-11-2025)
7	Liverpool	16	26	26	24	+2	WLiverpool 2 - 0 Brighton (13-12-2025)DLeeds 3 - 3 Liverpool (06-12-2025)DLiverpool 1 - 1 Sunderland (03-12-2025)WWest Ham 0 - 2 Liverpool (30-11-2025)LLiverpool 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest (22-11-2025)
8	Sunderland	16	26	19	17	+2	WSunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle (14-12-2025)LManchester City 3 - 0 Sunderland (06-12-2025)DLiverpool 1 - 1 Sunderland (03-12-2025)WSunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth (29-11-2025)LFulham 1 - 0 Sunderland (22-11-2025)
9	Everton	16	24	18	19	-1	LChelsea 2 - 0 Everton (13-12-2025)WEverton 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest (06-12-2025)WBournemouth 0 - 1 Everton (02-12-2025)LEverton 1 - 4 Newcastle (29-11-2025)WManchester United 0 - 1 Everton (24-11-2025)
10	Brighton	16	23	25	23	+2	LLiverpool 2 - 0 Brighton (13-12-2025)DBrighton 1 - 1 West Ham (07-12-2025)LBrighton 3 - 4 Aston Villa (03-12-2025)WNottingham Forest 0 - 2 Brighton (30-11-2025)WBrighton 2 - 1 Brentford (22-11-2025)
11	Tottenham	16	22	25	21	+4	LNottingham Forest 3 - 0 Tottenham (14-12-2025)WTottenham 2 - 0 Brentford (06-12-2025)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Tottenham (02-12-2025)LTottenham 1 - 2 Fulham (29-11-2025)LArsenal 4 - 1 Tottenham (23-11-2025)
12	Newcastle	16	22	21	20	+1	LSunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle (14-12-2025)WNewcastle 2 - 1 Burnley (06-12-2025)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Tottenham (02-12-2025)WEverton 1 - 4 Newcastle (29-11-2025)WNewcastle 2 - 1 Manchester City (22-11-2025)
13	Bournemouth	16	21	25	28	-3	DManchester United 4 - 4 Bournemouth (15-12-2025)DBournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea (06-12-2025)LBournemouth 0 - 1 Everton (02-12-2025)LSunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth (29-11-2025)DBournemouth 2 - 2 West Ham (22-11-2025)
14	Fulham	16	20	23	26	-3	WBurnley 2 - 3 Fulham (13-12-2025)LFulham 1 - 2 Crystal Palace (07-12-2025)LFulham 4 - 5 Manchester City (02-12-2025)WTottenham 1 - 2 Fulham (29-11-2025)WFulham 1 - 0 Sunderland (22-11-2025)
15	Brentford	16	20	22	25	-3	DBrentford 1 - 1 Leeds (14-12-2025)LTottenham 2 - 0 Brentford (06-12-2025)LArsenal 2 - 0 Brentford (03-12-2025)WBrentford 3 - 1 Burnley (29-11-2025)LBrighton 2 - 1 Brentford (22-11-2025)
16	Nottingham Forest	16	18	17	25	-8	WNottingham Forest 3 - 0 Tottenham (14-12-2025)LEverton 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest (06-12-2025)WWolves 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest (03-12-2025)LNottingham Forest 0 - 2 Brighton (30-11-2025)WLiverpool 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest (22-11-2025)
17	Leeds	16	16	20	30	-10	DBrentford 1 - 1 Leeds (14-12-2025)DLeeds 3 - 3 Liverpool (06-12-2025)WLeeds 3 - 1 Chelsea (03-12-2025)LManchester City 3 - 2 Leeds (29-11-2025)LLeeds 1 - 2 Aston Villa (23-11-2025)
18	West Ham	16	13	19	32	-13	LWest Ham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (14-12-2025)DBrighton 1 - 1 West Ham (07-12-2025)DManchester United 1 - 1 West Ham (04-12-2025)LWest Ham 0 - 2 Liverpool (30-11-2025)DBournemouth 2 - 2 West Ham (22-11-2025)
19	Burnley	16	10	18	33	-15	LBurnley 2 - 3 Fulham (13-12-2025)LNewcastle 2 - 1 Burnley (06-12-2025)LBurnley 0 - 1 Crystal Palace (03-12-2025)LBrentford 3 - 1 Burnley (29-11-2025)LBurnley 0 - 2 Chelsea (22-11-2025)
20	Wolves	16	2	9	35	-26	LArsenal 2 - 1 Wolves (13-12-2025)LWolves 1 - 4 Manchester United (08-12-2025)LWolves 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest (03-12-2025)LAston Villa 1 - 0 Wolves (30-11-2025)LWolves 0 - 2 Crystal Palace (22-11-2025)

Pos

チーム

試

勝点

得

失

差

調子

Arsenal

+20

W L W D W

Manchester City

+22

W W W W L

Aston Villa

W W W W W

Chelsea

+12

W D L D W

L W W L W

D W D W L

W D D W L

W L D W L

-1

L W W L W

L D L W W

L W D L L

L W D W W

-3

D D L L D

Fulham

-3

W L L W W

Brentford

-3

D L L W L

Nottingham Forest

-8

W L W L W

Leeds

-10

D D W L L

West Ham

-13

L D D L D

Burnley

-15

L L L L L

Wolves

-26

L L L L L

Sunderland 1 - 0 FT Newcastle

Own Goal Heartbreak: Sunderland Stuns Newcastle in Tyne-Wear Thriller

The Turning Point: 46th-Minute Disaster

Possession Without Penetration

The Context: Sunderland's Statement

Key Questions

Northeast Fire: Sunderland's Title Credentials Meet Newcastle's Resurgence

The Setup

Key Battle

Our Prediction

試合スタッツ

試合イベント

選手カード

Sunderland

Newcastle

過去の対戦

リーグ順位表

リーグ順位表

Pos	チーム	試	勝点	得	失	差	調子
1	Arsenal	31	70	61	22	+39	WArsenal 2 - 0 Everton (14-03-2026)WBrighton 0 - 1 Arsenal (04-03-2026)WArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (01-03-2026)WTottenham 1 - 4 Arsenal (22-02-2026)DWolves 2 - 2 Arsenal (18-02-2026)
2	Manchester City	30	61	60	28	+32	DWest Ham 1 - 1 Manchester City (14-03-2026)DManchester City 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (04-03-2026)WLeeds 0 - 1 Manchester City (28-02-2026)WManchester City 2 - 1 Newcastle (21-02-2026)WManchester City 3 - 0 Fulham (11-02-2026)
3	Manchester United	31	55	56	43	+13	DBournemouth 2 - 2 Manchester United (20-03-2026)WManchester United 3 - 1 Aston Villa (15-03-2026)LNewcastle 2 - 1 Manchester United (04-03-2026)WManchester United 2 - 1 Crystal Palace (01-03-2026)WEverton 0 - 1 Manchester United (23-02-2026)
4	Aston Villa	30	51	40	37	+3	WAston Villa 2 - 0 West Ham (22-03-2026)LManchester United 3 - 1 Aston Villa (15-03-2026)LAston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea (04-03-2026)LWolves 2 - 0 Aston Villa (27-02-2026)DAston Villa 1 - 1 Leeds (21-02-2026)
5	Liverpool	31	49	50	42	+8	LBrighton 2 - 1 Liverpool (21-03-2026)DLiverpool 1 - 1 Tottenham (15-03-2026)LWolves 2 - 1 Liverpool (03-03-2026)WLiverpool 5 - 2 West Ham (28-02-2026)WNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Liverpool (22-02-2026)
6	Chelsea	31	48	53	38	+15	LEverton 3 - 0 Chelsea (21-03-2026)LChelsea 0 - 1 Newcastle (14-03-2026)WAston Villa 1 - 4 Chelsea (04-03-2026)LArsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea (01-03-2026)DChelsea 1 - 1 Burnley (21-02-2026)
7	Brentford	31	46	46	42	+4	DLeeds 0 - 0 Brentford (21-03-2026)DBrentford 2 - 2 Wolves (16-03-2026)DBournemouth 0 - 0 Brentford (03-03-2026)WBurnley 3 - 4 Brentford (28-02-2026)LBrentford 0 - 2 Brighton (21-02-2026)
8	Everton	31	46	37	35	+2	WEverton 3 - 0 Chelsea (21-03-2026)LArsenal 2 - 0 Everton (14-03-2026)WEverton 2 - 0 Burnley (03-03-2026)WNewcastle 2 - 3 Everton (28-02-2026)LEverton 0 - 1 Manchester United (23-02-2026)
9	Fulham	31	44	43	44	-1	WFulham 3 - 1 Burnley (21-03-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Fulham (15-03-2026)LFulham 0 - 1 West Ham (04-03-2026)WFulham 2 - 1 Tottenham (01-03-2026)WSunderland 1 - 3 Fulham (22-02-2026)
10	Brighton	31	43	41	37	+4	WBrighton 2 - 1 Liverpool (21-03-2026)WSunderland 0 - 1 Brighton (14-03-2026)LBrighton 0 - 1 Arsenal (04-03-2026)WBrighton 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest (01-03-2026)WBrentford 0 - 2 Brighton (21-02-2026)
11	Sunderland	31	43	32	36	-4	WNewcastle 1 - 2 Sunderland (22-03-2026)LSunderland 0 - 1 Brighton (14-03-2026)WLeeds 0 - 1 Sunderland (03-03-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Sunderland (28-02-2026)LSunderland 1 - 3 Fulham (22-02-2026)
12	Newcastle	31	42	44	45	-1	LNewcastle 1 - 2 Sunderland (22-03-2026)WChelsea 0 - 1 Newcastle (14-03-2026)WNewcastle 2 - 1 Manchester United (04-03-2026)LNewcastle 2 - 3 Everton (28-02-2026)LManchester City 2 - 1 Newcastle (21-02-2026)
13	Bournemouth	31	42	46	48	-2	DBournemouth 2 - 2 Manchester United (20-03-2026)DBurnley 0 - 0 Bournemouth (14-03-2026)DBournemouth 0 - 0 Brentford (03-03-2026)DBournemouth 1 - 1 Sunderland (28-02-2026)DWest Ham 0 - 0 Bournemouth (21-02-2026)
14	Crystal Palace	30	39	33	35	-2	DCrystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds (15-03-2026)WTottenham 1 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-03-2026)LManchester United 2 - 1 Crystal Palace (01-03-2026)WCrystal Palace 1 - 0 Wolves (22-02-2026)LCrystal Palace 2 - 3 Burnley (11-02-2026)
15	Leeds	31	33	37	48	-11	DLeeds 0 - 0 Brentford (21-03-2026)DCrystal Palace 0 - 0 Leeds (15-03-2026)LLeeds 0 - 1 Sunderland (03-03-2026)LLeeds 0 - 1 Manchester City (28-02-2026)DAston Villa 1 - 1 Leeds (21-02-2026)
16	Tottenham	30	30	40	47	-7	LTottenham 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest (22-03-2026)DLiverpool 1 - 1 Tottenham (15-03-2026)LTottenham 1 - 3 Crystal Palace (05-03-2026)LFulham 2 - 1 Tottenham (01-03-2026)LTottenham 1 - 4 Arsenal (22-02-2026)
17	Nottingham Forest	30	29	28	43	-15	WTottenham 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest (22-03-2026)DNottingham Forest 0 - 0 Fulham (15-03-2026)DManchester City 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest (04-03-2026)LBrighton 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest (01-03-2026)LNottingham Forest 0 - 1 Liverpool (22-02-2026)
18	West Ham	30	29	36	55	-19	LAston Villa 2 - 0 West Ham (22-03-2026)DWest Ham 1 - 1 Manchester City (14-03-2026)WFulham 0 - 1 West Ham (04-03-2026)LLiverpool 5 - 2 West Ham (28-02-2026)DWest Ham 0 - 0 Bournemouth (21-02-2026)
19	Burnley	31	20	33	61	-28	LFulham 3 - 1 Burnley (21-03-2026)DBurnley 0 - 0 Bournemouth (14-03-2026)LEverton 2 - 0 Burnley (03-03-2026)LBurnley 3 - 4 Brentford (28-02-2026)DChelsea 1 - 1 Burnley (21-02-2026)
20	Wolves	31	17	24	54	-30	DBrentford 2 - 2 Wolves (16-03-2026)WWolves 2 - 1 Liverpool (03-03-2026)WWolves 2 - 0 Aston Villa (27-02-2026)LCrystal Palace 1 - 0 Wolves (22-02-2026)DWolves 2 - 2 Arsenal (18-02-2026)