Premier League Regular Season - 16

Sunderland 1 - 0 FT Newcastle

Stadium of Light

AI-powered match analysis and previews to help you decide which games are worth watching

35
FT
Sun, Dec 14
Sunderland
1-0
Newcastle
⚡ Intensity 22
⚖️ Balance 5
🏆 Stakes 33
🎲 Upset 60
Woltemade's own goal gifts Sunderland derby gold

Own Goal Heartbreak: Sunderland Stuns Newcastle in Tyne-Wear Thriller

Skip It Futmetrix Score: 35/100. A moment of madness from N. Woltemade at the Stadium of Light turned a tight, contested derby into a Sunderland celebration—and a Newcastle reckoning.

The Turning Point: 46th-Minute Disaster

Just as the second half kicked off, Newcastle's Woltemade deflected a low cross past his own goalkeeper to hand Sunderland the lead. The own goal at 46 minutes—when Newcastle should have been resetting tactically—proved the decisive blow. Intensity spiked momentarily, but the psychological damage was done. With an Upset Factor of 6.0 and a 15% probability gap favouring the visitors, this was a classic case of underdog fortune colliding with preventable error.

Possession Without Penetration

Newcastle controlled the ball—53% possession to Sunderland's 47%—and strung together 429 passes at an 85% accuracy rate. Yet the Balance of the match tilted decisively against them: six shots produced just two on target, while an expected goals tally of 0.25 exposed their toothlessness in the final third. Defensively, Malick Thiaw was a colossus for Newcastle, earning a 7.6 rating and the match's outstanding performance award, but even his commanding display couldn't salvage a team that lacked clinical edge. Sunderland, meanwhile, managed only five shots but made their limited chances count—a 0.28 xG masked the ruthlessness required to win derbies.

The Context: Sunderland's Statement

This victory propels Sunderland to 7th place on 26 points, a Stakes-heavy result that signals their playoff credentials. Newcastle, sitting 12th with 22 points and a fragile form line reading LWDWW, face mounting pressure. The Magpies' goal difference of +1 and inconsistent defensive record (20 conceded in 16 games) have become liabilities. For Sunderland, the three points on home soil represent a statement: they belong in the promotion conversation, not the fringe.

Key Questions

How did Sunderland win despite lower possession?

Woltemade's own goal gifted the lead. Sunderland defended compactly thereafter, absorbing Newcastle's pressure without conceding further chances.

Why is this an upset at 6.0 factor?

15% probability gap favoured Newcastle pre-match. Sunderland's 7th-place finish and underdog status made this a genuine shock victory.

What does this mean for promotion race?

Sunderland's 26 points in 16 games puts them in playoff contention. Newcastle's 22 points signal a mid-table slide.

How is the Futmetrix Score calculated?

The Futmetrix Score (0-100) combines multiple factors: match intensity, competitive balance, stakes importance, and entertainment value to help you decide if this match is worth watching.

Match Statistics

Possession
47%
53%
Sunderland 47%
Newcastle 53%
Shots
5
6
Sunderland 5
Newcastle 6
Shots on Target
1
2
Sunderland 1
Newcastle 2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.28
0.25
Sunderland 0.28
Newcastle 0.25
Passes
382
429
Sunderland 382
Newcastle 429
Pass Accuracy
77%
85%
Sunderland 77%
Newcastle 85%
Corners
3
6
Sunderland 3
Newcastle 6
Fouls
10
10
Sunderland 10
Newcastle 10
Yellow Cards
4
3
Sunderland 4
Newcastle 3
Red Cards
0
0
Sunderland 0
Newcastle 0

Match Events

27' 🟨 B. Brobbey
34' 🟨 N. Mukiele
D. Burn F. Schar 🔄 42'
HT
46' N. Woltemade
S. Tonali 🟨 57'
58' 🟨 R. Mandava
A. Gordon H. Barnes 🔄 59'
S. Tonali J. Willock 🔄 59'
A. Elanga J. Murphy 🔄 59'
71' 🔄 B. Brobbey W. Isidor
71' 🔄 B. Traore T. Hume
N. Woltemade Y. Wissa 🔄 75'
83' 🔄 C. Talbi R. Mundle
86' 🟨 E. Le Fee
Bruno Guimaraes 🟨 90'+4
J. Willock 🟨 90'+4
90'+4 🟨 W. Isidor
M. Thiaw 🟨 90'+6
FT

Player Cards

Season performance ratings for players in this match

Sunderland

Goalkeepers
Robin Roefs
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
fouls won
2
fouls won
3
Duels Won
0
pens won
Defenders
Nordi Mukiele
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
4
cleanups
4
cleanups
3
interceptions
1
blocks
Daniel Ballard
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
fouls won
2
fouls won
6
Duels Won
0
pens won
Omar Alderete
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
3
cleanups
3
cleanups
2
interceptions
1
blocks
Reinildo Mandava
WALL
WALL
0
dribbled past
0
dribbled past
2
tackles
75%
duel win %
Midfielders
Granit Xhaka
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
94
total mins
Started
entry
Noah Sadiki
SWEEPER
SWEEPER
2
cleanups
2
cleanups
2
interceptions
0
blocks
Bertrand Traoré
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
70
total mins
71
entry
Enzo Le Fée
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
94
total mins
Started
entry
Chemsdine Talbi
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
7
late mins
7
late mins
83
total mins
83
entry
Forwards
Brian Brobbey
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
70
total mins
71
entry
BENCH
Anthony Patterson
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
saves
0
saves
0
conceded
0
minutes
Trai Hume
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
24
total mins
Started
entry
Lutsharel Geertruida
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
Dan Neil
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
Chris Rigg
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
Wilson Isidor
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
24
total mins
Started
entry
Simon Adingra
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
Eliezer Mayenda
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
Romaine Mundle
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
11
total mins
Started
entry

Newcastle

Goalkeepers
Aaron Ramsdale
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
94
total mins
Started
entry
Defenders
Valentino Livramento
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
94
total mins
Started
entry
Malick Thiaw
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
94
total mins
Started
entry
Dan Burn
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
42
total mins
42
entry
Lewis Hall
PROVOCATEUR
PROVOCATEUR
2
fouls won
2
fouls won
7
Duels Won
0
pens won
Midfielders
Bruno Guimarães
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
94
total mins
Started
entry
Sandro Tonali
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
59
total mins
59
entry
Lewis Miley
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
94
total mins
Started
entry
Forwards
Anthony Elanga
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
59
total mins
59
entry
Nick Woltemade
FRIENDLY FIRE
FRIENDLY FIRE
0
mistake
0
mistake
1
fouls
5.5
rating
Anthony Gordon
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
59
total mins
59
entry
BENCH
John Ruddy
SPECTATOR
SPECTATOR
0
saves
0
saves
0
conceded
0
minutes
Fabian Schär
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
52
total mins
Started
entry
Alex Murphy
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
Joe Willock
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
35
total mins
Started
entry
Harvey Barnes
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
35
total mins
Started
entry
Jacob Murphy
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
35
total mins
Started
entry
Joelinton
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
Jacob Ramsey
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
0
total mins
Started
entry
Yoane Wissa
LATE SHIFT
LATE SHIFT
15
late mins
15
late mins
19
total mins
Started
entry

Head to Head

Date Home Score Away Competition Venue
06/01/2024 Sunderland 0 - 3 Newcastle FA Cup Stadium of Light
20/03/2016 Newcastle 1 - 1 Sunderland Premier League St James' Park
25/10/2015 Sunderland 3 - 0 Newcastle Premier League Stadium of Light
05/04/2015 Sunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle Premier League Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
21/12/2014 Newcastle 0 - 1 Sunderland Premier League St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
01/02/2014 Newcastle 0 - 3 Sunderland Premier League St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
27/10/2013 Sunderland 2 - 1 Newcastle Premier League Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
14/04/2013 Newcastle 0 - 3 Sunderland Premier League St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
21/10/2012 Sunderland 1 - 1 Newcastle Premier League Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
04/03/2012 Newcastle 1 - 1 Sunderland Premier League Sports Direct Arena (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
06/01/2024
FA Cup Stadium of Light
20/03/2016
Premier League St James' Park
25/10/2015
Premier League Stadium of Light
05/04/2015
Premier League Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
21/12/2014
Premier League St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
01/02/2014
Premier League St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
27/10/2013
Premier League Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
14/04/2013
Premier League St. James' Park (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
21/10/2012
Premier League Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
04/03/2012
Premier League Sports Direct Arena (Newcastle-upon-Tyne)
Sunderland Win
Newcastle Win
Draw

League Standings

Pos Team P Pts GF GA GD Form
1 Arsenal 16 36 30 10 +20 WArsenal 2 - 1 Wolves (13-12-2025)LAston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal (06-12-2025)WArsenal 2 - 0 Brentford (03-12-2025)DChelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal (30-11-2025)WArsenal 4 - 1 Tottenham (23-11-2025)
2 Manchester City 16 34 38 16 +22 WCrystal Palace 0 - 3 Manchester City (14-12-2025)WManchester City 3 - 0 Sunderland (06-12-2025)WFulham 4 - 5 Manchester City (02-12-2025)WManchester City 3 - 2 Leeds (29-11-2025)LNewcastle 2 - 1 Manchester City (22-11-2025)
3 Aston Villa 16 33 25 17 +8 WWest Ham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (14-12-2025)WAston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal (06-12-2025)WBrighton 3 - 4 Aston Villa (03-12-2025)WAston Villa 1 - 0 Wolves (30-11-2025)WLeeds 1 - 2 Aston Villa (23-11-2025)
4 Chelsea 16 28 27 15 +12 WChelsea 2 - 0 Everton (13-12-2025)DBournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea (06-12-2025)LLeeds 3 - 1 Chelsea (03-12-2025)DChelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal (30-11-2025)WBurnley 0 - 2 Chelsea (22-11-2025)
5 Crystal Palace 16 26 20 15 +5 LCrystal Palace 0 - 3 Manchester City (14-12-2025)WFulham 1 - 2 Crystal Palace (07-12-2025)WBurnley 0 - 1 Crystal Palace (03-12-2025)LCrystal Palace 1 - 2 Manchester United (30-11-2025)WWolves 0 - 2 Crystal Palace (22-11-2025)
6 Manchester United 16 26 30 26 +4 DManchester United 4 - 4 Bournemouth (15-12-2025)WWolves 1 - 4 Manchester United (08-12-2025)DManchester United 1 - 1 West Ham (04-12-2025)WCrystal Palace 1 - 2 Manchester United (30-11-2025)LManchester United 0 - 1 Everton (24-11-2025)
7 Liverpool 16 26 26 24 +2 WLiverpool 2 - 0 Brighton (13-12-2025)DLeeds 3 - 3 Liverpool (06-12-2025)DLiverpool 1 - 1 Sunderland (03-12-2025)WWest Ham 0 - 2 Liverpool (30-11-2025)LLiverpool 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest (22-11-2025)
8 Sunderland 16 26 19 17 +2 WSunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle (14-12-2025)LManchester City 3 - 0 Sunderland (06-12-2025)DLiverpool 1 - 1 Sunderland (03-12-2025)WSunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth (29-11-2025)LFulham 1 - 0 Sunderland (22-11-2025)
9 Everton 16 24 18 19 -1 LChelsea 2 - 0 Everton (13-12-2025)WEverton 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest (06-12-2025)WBournemouth 0 - 1 Everton (02-12-2025)LEverton 1 - 4 Newcastle (29-11-2025)WManchester United 0 - 1 Everton (24-11-2025)
10 Brighton 16 23 25 23 +2 LLiverpool 2 - 0 Brighton (13-12-2025)DBrighton 1 - 1 West Ham (07-12-2025)LBrighton 3 - 4 Aston Villa (03-12-2025)WNottingham Forest 0 - 2 Brighton (30-11-2025)WBrighton 2 - 1 Brentford (22-11-2025)
11 Tottenham 16 22 25 21 +4 LNottingham Forest 3 - 0 Tottenham (14-12-2025)WTottenham 2 - 0 Brentford (06-12-2025)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Tottenham (02-12-2025)LTottenham 1 - 2 Fulham (29-11-2025)LArsenal 4 - 1 Tottenham (23-11-2025)
12 Newcastle 16 22 21 20 +1 LSunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle (14-12-2025)WNewcastle 2 - 1 Burnley (06-12-2025)DNewcastle 2 - 2 Tottenham (02-12-2025)WEverton 1 - 4 Newcastle (29-11-2025)WNewcastle 2 - 1 Manchester City (22-11-2025)
13 Bournemouth 16 21 25 28 -3 DManchester United 4 - 4 Bournemouth (15-12-2025)DBournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea (06-12-2025)LBournemouth 0 - 1 Everton (02-12-2025)LSunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth (29-11-2025)DBournemouth 2 - 2 West Ham (22-11-2025)
14 Fulham 16 20 23 26 -3 WBurnley 2 - 3 Fulham (13-12-2025)LFulham 1 - 2 Crystal Palace (07-12-2025)LFulham 4 - 5 Manchester City (02-12-2025)WTottenham 1 - 2 Fulham (29-11-2025)WFulham 1 - 0 Sunderland (22-11-2025)
15 Brentford 16 20 22 25 -3 DBrentford 1 - 1 Leeds (14-12-2025)LTottenham 2 - 0 Brentford (06-12-2025)LArsenal 2 - 0 Brentford (03-12-2025)WBrentford 3 - 1 Burnley (29-11-2025)LBrighton 2 - 1 Brentford (22-11-2025)
16 Nottingham Forest 16 18 17 25 -8 WNottingham Forest 3 - 0 Tottenham (14-12-2025)LEverton 3 - 0 Nottingham Forest (06-12-2025)WWolves 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest (03-12-2025)LNottingham Forest 0 - 2 Brighton (30-11-2025)WLiverpool 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest (22-11-2025)
17 Leeds 16 16 20 30 -10 DBrentford 1 - 1 Leeds (14-12-2025)DLeeds 3 - 3 Liverpool (06-12-2025)WLeeds 3 - 1 Chelsea (03-12-2025)LManchester City 3 - 2 Leeds (29-11-2025)LLeeds 1 - 2 Aston Villa (23-11-2025)
18 West Ham 16 13 19 32 -13 LWest Ham 2 - 3 Aston Villa (14-12-2025)DBrighton 1 - 1 West Ham (07-12-2025)DManchester United 1 - 1 West Ham (04-12-2025)LWest Ham 0 - 2 Liverpool (30-11-2025)DBournemouth 2 - 2 West Ham (22-11-2025)
19 Burnley 16 10 18 33 -15 LBurnley 2 - 3 Fulham (13-12-2025)LNewcastle 2 - 1 Burnley (06-12-2025)LBurnley 0 - 1 Crystal Palace (03-12-2025)LBrentford 3 - 1 Burnley (29-11-2025)LBurnley 0 - 2 Chelsea (22-11-2025)
20 Wolves 16 2 9 35 -26 LArsenal 2 - 1 Wolves (13-12-2025)LWolves 1 - 4 Manchester United (08-12-2025)LWolves 0 - 1 Nottingham Forest (03-12-2025)LAston Villa 1 - 0 Wolves (30-11-2025)LWolves 0 - 2 Crystal Palace (22-11-2025)